The Shrewdness breaks down the week that was in the NFL, previews Week 12 fantasy prospects, and reveal their gambling locks.
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What is up shrewdness? Listeners, it is great to see
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you here on the 18th or thereabouts of November heading
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into the home stretch of the fantasy season.
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Hopefully you still have your head.
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One of us here still does. We'll leave that till later.
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But it was a very entertaining week.
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Not so entertaining if you're a Chiefs fan like us, but the
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games were entertaining still and some really interesting
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fantasy performances which we'll break down and get into.
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We're also going to give you some direction about how to go
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down the home stretch here because it truly is the home
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stretch. If you're in it now, you're
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getting to see some super teams that are forming.
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Yeah. But before we dive into it and I
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toss it on over to Dex, let me give you a second to do
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Please do that and forward to a friend.
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And now let's dive into the week that was with Dex.
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Yes, so there's some ugly performances, almost as ugly as
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my beautiful stash, but hopefully everyone out there
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doing No Shave November is having a great time getting a
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furry lip because man, I love it every single year.
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It's a blast. But let's go into some of the
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scarier performances from this past week.
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We'll just hit right off the bat to Kansas City, Denver.
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I know all the Kansas City haters out there like we've been
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waiting for this day for a long time because the Chiefs at the
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midpoints of the season will pass 5:00 and 5:00.
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Not what anyone really expected after a dozen straight years of
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routing the AFC West. And it wasn't like they got
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destroyed. That's what makes it even worse.
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We kind of had to go ahead, touchdown that we thought, and
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the defense just continued to play well, but not in the
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situations we needed, like a third and 15 completed by
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Cortland Sutton. That really, really, really
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hurt. And when that play happened, I'm
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like that, that could kill a. Huge one.
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Yeah, So takeaways from KC, Denver, do you still believe
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that KC is a playoff contender? And on the flip side, do you
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truly believe in Denver being a playoff contender?
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Like for the whole thing? I want to get you guys opinions.
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I have my own thoughts but. Go ahead, Prue, and then I'll
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jump in. I think the only reason Denver
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is a playoff contender is Sean Payton.
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I don't really trust in the team, but they have a great
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coach and he's he's pulled out several close games this year.
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And you can't get lucky that many times.
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Yeah, you can't get lucky that many times.
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So I think it's it's a coaching edge that they've figured out
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this year, Yeah. And they're figuring out ways to
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win. He did a great job, to your
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point, through with managing the clock at the end of that game.
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They they'd sucked every last second.
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And he very much intended to do that, to not give Mahomes one
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single chance to beat him. And that's the way you beat the
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Chiefs. You don't give Mahomes the ball
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with 13 seconds. Yeah.
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So he didn't give him the ball at all.
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And I agree with you on that. Overall, I forwarded the
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shrewdness crew some stats. Here's the crazy part.
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If you look at the stats for the Chiefs last year and this year,
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they're almost exactly the same. Actually a little better this
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year, which is the metrics. Last year they were nine and
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one. This year they're 5 and 5.
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S dims the brakes, right? This is how stuff plays out in
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the NFL. It just shows you how little
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margin for error there is in NFL.
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So you cannot have fun. Mistake.
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Mahomes had a mistake. He threw a pick in the red zone.
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They should have had three out of that.
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That changed the game immensely. And in the game that's that
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close against the division rival that made the difference.
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So, you know, it's that close to the NFL now.
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Think it back. If you think back to last year,
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too, the Chiefs should not have been 9:00 to 1:00, right?
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That's exactly. Right.
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So much luck on their side and a few of those games, the block
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field goal and the toad, the toe on the line in the very first
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game that I mean they could have easily started O and 2 instead
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of 2 and O and for sure. So I mean it is a little
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concerning that they have better stats this year and have lost
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four more games. But like you said, it's.
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Stevens out. 0 Margin for error in the NFL.
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Totally. And then on the flip side,
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Denver, do you believe in them when they make the playoffs as
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they look like they're well on their way to doing?
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Are they going to make noise or are they going to be a one and
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done? Pruitt, what do you think you've
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seen them play with? I don't know.
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I mean, defense wins championship, Yeah, defense wins
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championships. It's really hard to discount
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them out too much. And and Bonex makes plays.
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He makes some bonehead plays, but he makes some good plays
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too, so. Yeah, it's.
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Kind of like Chisholm's fantasy team, right?
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They just kind of, they hang around.
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They look. They look like they're dead and
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then all of a sudden they spring to life and and they just hang
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around so. Yeah, I.
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Don't know, I, I hate to see KC fall from grace here a little
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bit, but Denver's got a good team this year and they could
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make a run in the playoffs. That defense.
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It's hard for me to objectively evaluate the Denver Broncos.
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I have so much hate in my heart for them.
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But yes, but I think the fact that I had one of my Broncos
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friends send me a text at the end of the game, you know, it
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was just the guy with a little smiley :).
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And I was like, you know, 2 out of 17 isn't bad.
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That's what I said. 2 out of 17 is not bad.
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And that's how many times the Broncos have beaten this in the
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last 17 games, twice. So, you know, I'm not ready to
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hand the mantle over yet. I don't think to prove it's
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point. I think they're a very good team
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and I think their defenses championship caliber, but I
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don't think their offense is consistent enough to win enough
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games in the play offs. So I don't think they're going
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to make it to the Super Bowl. I think Bo Nicks is going to lay
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a turd somewhere along the way there and JK Dobbins is out for
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the year now. So you're going to be relying on
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a rookie running back and it's like, I don't know about that.
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One interesting thing I saw, and this is going to be interesting
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from a fantasy perspective too. If I am the Broncos, this could
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be an interesting acquisition. I just saw came off the is now
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eligible Odell Beckham junior, who could be a really
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interesting addition to a very no.
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He's a free agent. OK.
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So I don't remember being signed.
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He could be one who might be a good veteran presence for a
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super young team on offense. I could see that be an
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interesting fit and one that I saw floated today.
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But as they stand, I think they're too flawed to win the
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Super Bowl. I I will give them credit.
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They are a very good team this year.
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And I agree Pruitt, their coach is really good and he's done a
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really good job managing them. Dex.
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My Co worker sent me a a meme that's I think nails this thing
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a Johnny Depp. So Jack Sparrow and he's being
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told you are without a doubt the worst pirate I've ever heard of,
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but you have heard of me. The name is like the Denver
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Broncos. You are the worst eight and two
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team I've ever seen, but you have seen me and it's like.
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You are 8 and so true. It's just, well, you are so.
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True. I'm saying like it's not about
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9:00 and 2:00 now I guess, but whatever.
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Right. There's another really mediocre
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team that's killing it too, and that's Philadelphia.
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And we keep saying they're, they're not that good, but I
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believe in Philly. Games Denver, though.
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I do too. Throw that out.
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They've been there. Getting back to the Super Bowl
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1, I can't see getting anywhere near the championship game.
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Yeah, I would agree. So that's the difference.
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But anyways. Well, if you come over to the
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NFC decks, you had a similar battle in the West.
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That was really important with Seattle and LA.
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What did you think of that one? So I thought that was a really
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good game of two of the best teams in the NFC, in my opinion,
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and they're in the same division.
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But all I know is that Seattle's defense showed what they can do
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because their quarterback, Sam Darnold pumpkin like a mofo in
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this game, much like we saw at the end of last year for the
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Vikings. And two, gotta have a games.
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Darnold did not give you anything.
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And so even with his worst performance as a Seahawk to
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date, 4 interceptions and they were bad.
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They were like they were. They were skip drills and
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bounced off. The dudes airmailed over here.
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I don't even know who he's throwing.
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Two on one. Oh my.
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It was repulsive. To watch, even with all that,
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they had a 62 yard field goal in regulation to win it that fell
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short and to the right. Yeah.
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Myers. And so I don't know if I learned
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more about the Rams or about Seattle, but I think I learned
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the Seattle defense is absolutely championship caliber
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and but for half the mistakes not being made, Seattle would
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have beat the Rams in LA. So that's yeah, the Rams.
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I think that's a good team. I think it's a really, really
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good team with a good. Defense.
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And Stafford playing at an MVP level, those are good teams.
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And Seattle showed me a lot with how they lost.
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So even though they lost, I don't want to mess with them.
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I think that's a team to reckon with come playoff time because
00:11:02
they're they're going to get in. And I still think so Pruitt
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hasn't had them pick to win the West.
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I think they're still going to win the West.
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And the Rams and San Fran, they're not bad teams at all.
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I mean, I think those are three good division is AFC West, it's
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AFC West, the NFC West. Frankly, they're going to try
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and pump in three teams each, which is pretty cool.
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So that was a good one. One of the games that we thought
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would be more fun to watch, Detroit and Philly.
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I think we saw Dan Campbell again, just take away
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opportunities from his team and take away field position from
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his defense and his offensive, being honest.
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But on 3rd down, you're 3 for 13, fourth down over 5.
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And some of these, that fake punt didn't fool anybody.
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They didn't even they didn't even take their defense off the
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field. They kept him in saying, OK,
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we're not even going to put our special teams in gotcha.
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Looks like a punt. No, it didn't.
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Everyone knew and that's what they were even saying on TV and
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it's what we all thought. I was like, he's not punting and
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weirdly didn't. It didn't work.
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Terrible play screwed his team again and again and again and
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they just kept putting themselves behind the 8 ball
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every single possession. Billy, how many times do they
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start on their side of the field?
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Hardly ever. They're on the Detroit side most
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of the time. That was hard to watch it
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because coaching kind of screwed them more than I mean Philly's
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defense. God Dang they look good, but
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they also got to. Always be running.
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At them because they got the lead and then.
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It's hard to, I mean, yeah, then Dan Campbell's philosophy is
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just super aggressive to keep pace right where Andy Reid is
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more like chip away and and claw back in it.
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Dan Campbell's like just immediately it gets the red
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button. Just different coaching
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philosophies and you saw the results.
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It can get out of hand quickly. And.
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It did, it did. And and Dan Campbell reminds me
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of like if you're, if you're a Lions fan, you know, like
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everyone is like a couple of seasons ago when Dan Campbell
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started doing all this stuff and was like, that is awesome.
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Oh my gosh, look at him. He's fearless.
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He's going, it's like, you know, it's kind of like the girl when
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you start dating the girl and it's like, this is kind of cool.
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Like she's a little crazy. I like it.
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You know, it was a little wild and, and and then like, and then
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like you get married and it's like, OK, lots of fun anymore
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like. We don't drink every night.
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I I feel like that's the Lions right now.
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If you're a Lions fan, you're like, everyone else is kind of
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like, Oh yeah, that's cute. Dan Campbell.
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Yeah, that's kind of fun. It's like fun watching.
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They're like, OK, yeah, enough, enough.
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We've got a team that's good enough to win here, and you are
00:14:00
actively hamstringing us. And he really is.
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I will never deny the passion that he has.
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And I love that as a fan. I love the fact that he like,
00:14:08
believes in his team and all that.
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But at some point you do have to have a little more of the, I
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hate to say, Marty Schottenheimer mentality, but
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the Marty Schottenheimer mentality in that it's 4th down
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and two, and we're punting. Yeah, every time, you know.
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You'd have controlled aggression though, like be on at least the
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other side of the field or don't do your 25 yard line.
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Stop doing that. Like that kills you when you
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don't. And then there's just the fact
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it was so many times I felt like this game could have been
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competitive, I really feel like. Detroit was.
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It should have been you'll. Think Detroit's a better team
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overall, Like talent, top to bottom roster.
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But boy. And when we're saying Sirianni's
00:14:49
a better coach, that hurts us to say because we don't like all
00:14:52
his crap either. Or do you see?
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What he did at the end of the game, I was like, what?
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Are you doing again? It's like 2 weeks in a row and
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last week he said I will learn from that end of the game
00:15:01
management and play call. I'm like.
00:15:05
Not fast enough, Nick. Yeah, right.
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Like go back just watch your interview post game last week.
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Remember. What you said, totally, totally.
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All right, let's go to some of the games.
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So we had Jacksonville steamrolled the Chargers.
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I think that surprised a lot of people because 35 to 6, did you
00:15:29
see that? Herbert, I haven't seen a game
00:15:32
like this for what? I think he had 81 yards passing
00:15:35
and then they took him out and put Trey Lance in.
00:15:39
And I mean it makes. Sense I probably.
00:15:42
Would have too, but how on earth did you get down that far to
00:15:46
Jacksonville Wolf? So that was an interesting game
00:15:50
the. Chargers, of all the teams that
00:15:52
are ahead of the Chiefs right now, look the least likely to
00:15:55
stay ahead of the Chiefs right now.
00:15:56
Like they they do not look like a team that is rounding into
00:16:00
form for sure. No, they're losing all their
00:16:02
lineman. And kind of what Pruitt
00:16:05
mentioned earlier is like, hey, well, maybe the reason they
00:16:07
won't or that Herbert's passing so much because they got to get
00:16:10
rid of the ball and pass more because you can't run behind
00:16:12
that. All I see Gentie in the Raiders,
00:16:15
who can't run behind a line. Well, I can't even call the
00:16:19
line. Whatever.
00:16:19
We'll get to that one in a minute.
00:16:21
But what do you do when you have to always pass in your left
00:16:25
tackles gone, your right tackles gone, your left guards gone, and
00:16:28
you got people just flopping into whatever position they can
00:16:32
play. But that's not how the NFL works
00:16:35
in DNS. Eat those guys up, man.
00:16:38
If you haven't been playing tackle in a elite level, you run
00:16:42
into some of these guys. And I think the Jacksonville D
00:16:45
end he broke the franchise record for sacks against this
00:16:50
Chargers offensive line this week.
00:16:53
So with Heinz Allen, believe that was his name.
00:16:55
So Congrats to him. Golf clap.
00:16:57
Great job, man. He's just like high school team
00:17:00
going through like a middle school team.
00:17:02
You know. These highlights were not good
00:17:04
for the Chargers. So yeah, oh, Harbaugh did not
00:17:06
look like he's having a great time over there on the sideline.
00:17:09
Another person who did not have a good time on the sideline.
00:17:12
So Baltimore had to rally back against Cleveland, who started
00:17:17
Dylan Gabriel and finished with should do her Sanders.
00:17:20
And you still had to overcome it, Like should do her.
00:17:23
Had to throw a pick for you to be in this game to win it.
00:17:26
I don't feel too comfortable if I'm a Baltimore Raven fan.
00:17:29
I know you've now won what 4/05 in a row?
00:17:32
They they've won a lot, but they don't look that good it at all
00:17:38
and they're. Squeaking by team does either
00:17:40
though. That is it I mean.
00:17:42
It's it's the. It's the.
00:17:43
I don't. Fat kid in that division.
00:17:46
Right. It is totally the that is the
00:17:49
epitome of the division of I don't have to outrun the bear, I
00:17:52
just have to outrun you. Yeah.
00:17:55
You know that that's. That's not out of it yet.
00:17:59
No like crazy. And Pittsburgh is not terrifying
00:18:04
at all. Pittsburgh 0 fear meter, 0 fear.
00:18:07
And yeah, they had a good week and they they won comfortably.
00:18:12
But if you're Pittsburgh, I don't even know.
00:18:15
Do you want Aaron Rodgers to rest his wrist?
00:18:18
He seems to have hurt his wrist this week.
00:18:20
Mason Rudolph looked just fine, like he always does because he's
00:18:23
a consummate backup. I don't even know.
00:18:26
I mean, Rodgers, I guess he's fine.
00:18:28
I don't even know. But they just don't look.
00:18:30
Very busy though is he is. You know, I used to watch Aaron
00:18:35
Rodgers for the throws and like what he was going to pull off.
00:18:40
And now I watch Aaron Rodgers for the slo MO cutaways when
00:18:44
they're going to when they're going to commercial break
00:18:46
because it's always something like, you know.
00:18:50
Or. It's always or that side or.
00:18:54
Or he's chastising a wide receiver.
00:18:56
He's like, yeah, yeah. You know it's.
00:18:59
That's that's what, that's what you get about Aaron Rodgers now.
00:19:02
Yeah, this is the least scary division.
00:19:05
OK, One of one of the least scariest divisions in football
00:19:08
right now is any of these teams. They don't strike fear into
00:19:12
anybody. They've got holes on both sides
00:19:15
of every team in that division. So I think that's what I learned
00:19:18
from this week is just God, even the good teams suck in that
00:19:22
division. That's a bad division.
00:19:24
All right, let's go to one of my favorite teams.
00:19:26
Minnesota loses in heartbreaking fashion to the Bears.
00:19:30
They stole defeat from the jaws of victory.
00:19:33
Finally. They played terrible all game
00:19:35
like, but then they made the one play.
00:19:37
They did one good drive. JJ McCarthy hits Addison in the
00:19:40
end zone. Like, there we go.
00:19:42
That's all we have to do is just the Bears for love.
00:19:44
God, just stop the kickoff, right?
00:19:46
No, no, they give up A50 freaking yard kickoff return to
00:19:51
put immediately in field goal range a couple plays, clock goes
00:19:56
down to three. Just like the Chiefs game, Walk
00:20:00
off field goal. And just like the Chiefs game, a
00:20:02
bad special teams play set them up.
00:20:05
Yep, Yep. Huh.
00:20:06
Special teams still matter people.
00:20:08
They still matter. They do awesome If I would just
00:20:10
rather them kick goddamn thing in the end zone to get a
00:20:12
touchback. Right.
00:20:14
Might as well now, right? Yeah.
00:20:17
That's come up a lot this year. I feel like we talked about
00:20:20
special teams play every week and it is there's been a ton of
00:20:24
blocked kicks. We we talked about several weeks
00:20:26
back and just a lot of Yep, good returns.
00:20:30
People are kind of finally figuring out the new.
00:20:33
Right strategy. Dynamic kickoff.
00:20:35
Rule and all that. I like it and yeah, it's been
00:20:38
exciting. There's been a lot of good.
00:20:39
Does make returns? It has.
00:20:41
Absolutely impacted the games and changed them from wins to.
00:20:45
Losses. Losses to wins on whether you
00:20:47
can tackle and make a kick. I mean, what I think is either
00:20:50
the Chiefs or the Vikings. I can't remember.
00:20:51
One of the teams I like a lot kicked the ball out of bounds
00:20:54
earlier this season. They got at the 40, they went 20
00:20:57
yard, got to feel going lost. I'm like, Oh yeah, loss is so
00:21:01
painful. You kicked it out of bounds.
00:21:03
Yeah, it was. But right, That's right.
00:21:05
I have to remember which debilitating loss it was.
00:21:07
I've been getting so many stacked up this year.
00:21:10
Last year was kind of a fun year being a Vikings and Chiefs fan.
00:21:14
Right. Exact opposite exactly.
00:21:17
Not fun, not right. Yeah, and special teams and the
00:21:22
words of the great the college coach used to nut special teams
00:21:26
got to play special. And right now, you know,
00:21:30
especially on the defensive side of the ball and and honestly, on
00:21:34
the offensive side, I've seen, I feel like I've seen more black
00:21:35
kicks, more black, extra points, more black.
00:21:38
You know, like there's been, there's a lot.
00:21:39
Going on I feel like doesn't happen that often and the one
00:21:42
thing I do want to see more onside kicks, they've ruined it
00:21:45
like. Yeah, it was trash.
00:21:47
Like did you see the one? They did.
00:21:48
Last night it was like a punt. What was that last night in the
00:21:52
Cowboys game? Yeah, it was a safety.
00:21:54
I'll go to that game next. So Dallas, Las Vegas, I feel
00:21:58
like we saw a mirage in the desert last night because I
00:22:01
still do not believe Dallas has a good defense, but then again,
00:22:05
I wasn't tracking. They replaced over 50% of them.
00:22:09
So 6 new defensive starters, one unfortunately for a reason that
00:22:14
they had all the pictures up for.
00:22:15
That sucks. Yeah, the trades they had, the
00:22:18
two trades they got from The Jets and the Bengals.
00:22:21
So they got a linebacker and a lineman and then just other
00:22:25
people came back from injuries. Can they really be that much
00:22:29
better just in one game? I don't know.
00:22:32
I mean, it's the Raiders. So I want to let you guys kind
00:22:35
of pipe in. On I mean, I think the, I think
00:22:37
the three of us lined up against Vegas this last week and we held
00:22:40
them to seven. So I don't know.
00:22:42
Oh, fruit. Fruit you.
00:22:44
Had you had a hell of a tackle? A live backer on Jitty.
00:22:47
Yeah. Yeah, it's not hard to go hit
00:22:49
Gino. Good Lord, the line didn't
00:22:51
block. Anybody.
00:22:53
Yeah. When he's standing still, it's
00:22:54
pretty easy to hunt him down. I think it was the Raiders this
00:22:58
year that they had the clip that went viral.
00:23:00
I could be wrong but I think it's the Raiders where they
00:23:02
showed a breakdown of their line and on one play 2 of the lineman
00:23:07
turned and blocked each other immediately.
00:23:10
And then? Block each other and then the
00:23:14
other 3 blocked one guy. Yeah.
00:23:17
So it was like. And they all ran through.
00:23:21
I saw that clip too jizz and it was like is this possibly the
00:23:24
the worst pass blocking Rep ever recorded?
00:23:29
There's five guys that blocked one defensive guy total, yeah.
00:23:34
The guard, the tackle, turning to block each other was the best
00:23:37
thing I've ever seen. I.
00:23:40
Don't even know it's so good. Possible, but.
00:23:42
Then so I, I, I don't think they're, I don't think their
00:23:45
defence is it again. And the reason why is, I mean,
00:23:47
you saw what the Chiefs did, the Raiders, the Chiefs, yeah,
00:23:50
Chiefs do have a good defence. It's a top 10 defence.
00:23:52
It's not, you know, it's not making phenomenal plays right
00:23:56
now, but if you compare that to the Cowboys playing them, just
00:23:59
think the Raiders are that bad. And I, it's hard for me to
00:24:02
believe that because like you look at the like, Genti and Max
00:24:07
Crosby's a great player. But like, yeah, that's kind of
00:24:11
what you got on the Raiders. Like, what else are you getting
00:24:14
excited about if you're a Raiders fan?
00:24:16
Bowers and Meyer are. Probably.
00:24:18
A good tight end combo. They can both block.
00:24:20
They don't catch. I mean, if they had any sort of
00:24:24
lineman whatsoever, your tight end shouldn't be your best
00:24:26
lineman. And that's not a good start when
00:24:29
your guys line out wide can block better than your five
00:24:31
fatties on the front. I mean, that is terrible.
00:24:35
God, it's hard to watch. And then you knew it was bad.
00:24:38
If you're an Ashton Gentioner in fantasy, you've seen it because
00:24:42
when you watch your guys, you're like, why is he always get hit
00:24:46
in the backfield? He never has any lanes.
00:24:49
He had one, one carrier for 12 yards and he finished six for
00:24:53
seven yards. Yeah, that's right.
00:24:56
You heard me right, 6 for seven and he had a 12 yard long.
00:25:00
And he took a safety because, yeah, they handed the ball off
00:25:03
to him like 4 yards deep in the end zone, it felt like.
00:25:07
And I swear he had like five guys hanging on him and he
00:25:11
almost got out of the end zone. I was like like God did no one
00:25:14
block anyone with this running play?
00:25:16
I feel like they got. I mean, that poor guy is is
00:25:22
really not in a good spot. And if you have him and I have
00:25:25
him on one of my fantasy teams, it's really tough because you
00:25:29
want to start him and we'll talk about this.
00:25:31
Yeah, But you want to start a guy like that because he's just
00:25:34
so talented. And he is clearly the number one
00:25:36
running back. He's clearly going to get the
00:25:38
carries. You don't have a lot of bell
00:25:39
horse cows like that. And he is 1 and but you're going
00:25:46
to have games where you go 6 for seven.
00:25:49
Yeah, that hurt. It was horrible.
00:25:52
So hopefully he didn't get in on our action last night on that
00:25:55
parlay because, boy, did Ashton Gentry not come close to his 64
00:26:00
1/2. Way to go, Vegas.
00:26:02
Thanks. He should have done 11 1/2.
00:26:04
He's only 60 yards short. Just.
00:26:05
Missed it? Only 60 yards off.
00:26:08
We were waiting for that one big 60 yard run in the fourth that
00:26:10
didn't. Happen, yeah.
00:26:12
Almost all right, so. Let's one point away back.
00:26:14
To fantasy and we had another Another one bites the dust 18
00:26:19
graveyard Reedo. So Reed and the the goods been a
00:26:24
very good team all year actually, and he was one of the
00:26:28
ones I thought was going to make a good run to the final four.
00:26:32
You have a roster with Lamar Jackson, Justin Jefferson, Emeka
00:26:35
Buka, Drake London, and then you still have Judkins and Vidal.
00:26:42
Pretty freaking good. And this week, all of them did
00:26:45
nothing. Absolutely nothing.
00:26:47
Lamar Jackson, an absolute turd burger.
00:26:50
Absolute. Which never happens for him.
00:26:53
That's what's wild 4. .72 points for a guy.
00:26:57
I still call him the number one quarterback in fantasy.
00:26:59
He gets that. He gets that on one run.
00:27:01
I know 14 yards like no problem now let's pass and get some
00:27:05
touchdowns. But unfortunately for him, no
00:27:09
touchdowns, 2 picks and what is 193 yards of just a bunch of
00:27:14
nothing terrible. Justin Jefferson, he was fine,
00:27:19
11 points, but again, you need your best guys to be better than
00:27:22
fine. And Ibuka, same thing, nine
00:27:26
points, he didn't just crush you at the ankles, but nine points
00:27:31
you need more. Nice.
00:27:31
So we got 20 points out of Jefferson, Ibuka, Drake.
00:27:35
London is the only one that kind of shined for him. 7 for 119,
00:27:39
but didn't get in the end zone. And he got he got hurt at the
00:27:42
end of the game, so he didn't need to get their fourth quarter
00:27:44
points. Yep.
00:27:46
So for the owners out there with him, we'll, we'll give you some
00:27:48
sleepers here in a minute. Then he had Vidal and Judkins.
00:27:51
So all the owners have those guys.
00:27:52
You know how they did as well. 17 for 59 for Judkins, only 5.9
00:27:57
points. He dialed 3.2 points.
00:27:59
So he had less than 10 points from his running backs, 20
00:28:03
points from his top starting wide receivers combined, and
00:28:07
less than five from your quarterback.
00:28:09
That is a recipe for getting chopped.
00:28:10
You have no room for wiggle. Like, any one of those probably
00:28:13
could have killed him. Yeah, but he had all of them.
00:28:16
So unlike Chisholm who ends up with like multiple Saints when
00:28:19
he has a bunch of studs duds, Rito had no Saints this week.
00:28:24
And he? Led the entire list of the
00:28:26
sinners. So a bunch of duds this week.
00:28:29
Couple more notes on that. He had the second lowest point
00:28:33
total of any team this year. Yeah.
00:28:36
In a week, right? Yeah.
00:28:39
So week 1-2, Yeah, exactly. Dex had 71 in week 1 and and
00:28:45
lost and wow, this was a under 58 points this week for Reed.
00:28:49
So yeah, it's. A bad performance that happens
00:28:53
to get under 58 at Week 10 is unheard of.
00:28:57
Like, impressive. Yeah, you've got some super
00:28:59
teams. And it wasn't because he started
00:29:01
the wrong guys. He started the right guys.
00:29:03
They just all happened to not show up on the same time and
00:29:06
that happens sometimes, but you just got to get yourself in the
00:29:08
position to have the right guys and and hope that they could
00:29:11
perform. That when you have three top ten
00:29:14
wide receivers in fantasy, you kind of expect to.
00:29:18
Get more than Yeah expect. To get a little more so anyway
00:29:21
great job this season Rido loved having you part of the league.
00:29:23
Hopefully get back into it next next year with us and we'll get
00:29:27
you back on soon to do another spot.
00:29:28
We'll let you kind of get over the punching.
00:29:32
That's right. That happens.
00:29:33
When he was in Geo. He was also the high fab total
00:29:36
in the league before he went out.
00:29:38
Yeah, he was really hoping. Jonathan Taylor is coming
00:29:41
available. Yeah, he was really in a good
00:29:44
position. Had he survived this week?
00:29:47
I'm not going to lie and say that I didn't want him to go
00:29:51
out. I saw that fab total and I was
00:29:54
like, man, it would be nice if all of that fab went away.
00:29:57
That would make things much easier down the stretch.
00:30:00
Yeah, for sure there is. One play he could have made last
00:30:03
week and I will throw this out. So this is the one thing I think
00:30:06
he made a mistake on. You're the fab leader and last
00:30:10
week CMC came available. Yeah.
00:30:14
And he didn't get them. He didn't get them.
00:30:16
In fact, the team that got the high score this week did get
00:30:19
them, didn't even really need them, but got one more piece
00:30:22
because we highlighted last week our in game players, number one
00:30:26
man CMC, it's him and Jonathan Taylor, it's 1A and. 1A And you
00:30:30
had and you're right when you had Judkins and Vidal like
00:30:34
they're. Fine, that's a need.
00:30:36
That's a need. Those are.
00:30:36
Not in game guys though. Right, and CMC would have saved
00:30:40
him, so 33 points or whatever the heck.
00:30:43
He had 35 points this week and another team was terrible this
00:30:47
week too. And just by sheer luck that
00:30:50
Rito's team was worse, his fat kid outran the other fat kid.
00:30:54
And that's how we got there today.
00:30:56
But anyway, so a lesson learned you, you want to save Fab to get
00:31:00
the guys you can get in week 11 like CMC to save your season and
00:31:04
take you to the promised land. So that's the only mistake I saw
00:31:07
you could have made. So lessons learned, get good
00:31:10
guys when you can get them, especially when you're the chip
00:31:11
leader and you can bully people. So you should have gotten them.
00:31:16
But anyway, moving on. So let's talk about who got
00:31:19
chopped this week, Peru, and what should people do?
00:31:21
We got three weeks left of bidding on players in most
00:31:24
leagues who got chopped. How much we bidding on them?
00:31:27
Yep. So that's a good segue.
00:31:28
You're right. We do have only three weeks left
00:31:31
to spend that fab. So start ramping up your bids
00:31:33
and picking those those two or three players maybe that you
00:31:37
still have your eye on that could round out your team.
00:31:39
Like ACMC, for instance. He was not among the chop, the
00:31:43
top chop this week. He had a heck of a week.
00:31:47
Others though, Josh Jacobs was the number one overall chopped
00:31:51
player after a a super rough week.
00:31:54
I think Justin Herbert was second.
00:31:56
We talked about him a little bit.
00:31:58
I'm on Ross St. Brown was third after it just a
00:32:01
a Bismal week by his standards. Lamar Jackson, Jonathan Taylor
00:32:07
on by So a lot of a lot of teams did not survive that they were
00:32:10
used to their three touchdowns a week from John Taylor plus.
00:32:13
Points. He was not available this.
00:32:15
Totally. He got chopped in a lot of
00:32:16
leagues. Jamar Chase with another off
00:32:18
week. Yep.
00:32:20
So a lot of those guys are are in game players and many of them
00:32:24
could be available. Jamar was.
00:32:28
He did add a lot of color to the game, though with the spitting
00:32:32
incident. Yeah, you know, Jamar is
00:32:36
competitive, but maybe a little, maybe a little much with the
00:32:39
spitting this week. And it may cost some fantasy
00:32:42
owners because, you know, it sounds like he's going to get a
00:32:46
one game suspension. Now what you got to worry about
00:32:49
if you've got Jamar is when is that coming and how do you plan
00:32:53
for that? So if you've got him, you better
00:32:55
be thinking about it right now because it may not come this
00:32:58
week because he's appealing evidently.
00:33:00
I don't know what like Dexter said, I don't know what you
00:33:02
appeal. It's pretty clear you spit on
00:33:05
the guy. But.
00:33:09
Slow MO. It's still going to bounce right
00:33:11
off Ramsey's chest, man. It doesn't matter how many times
00:33:13
you go back and forth on it. You enter the insanity plea.
00:33:18
Insanity plea. I was temporarily insane that
00:33:21
that's that's your best bet. But if you got him, you know,
00:33:25
probably over the next one, 2-3 weeks, one of the next three
00:33:28
weeks, he's probably out. So think about that and and plan
00:33:31
for it. Most of you guys have been
00:33:33
through their bye week at this point.
00:33:35
Jonathan Taylor just got through his right.
00:33:38
So all these guys are are top performers.
00:33:42
Any of those guys could could round out your team.
00:33:44
Well, most of them. It's hard to spend more than
00:33:46
about 85 bucks on a quarterback. There should be 1 available that
00:33:51
can easily serve as your quarterback.
00:33:55
But if Lamar Jackson would help your team, maybe go get him.
00:33:59
Otherwise, St. Brown, Jacobs, Taylor Chase, all
00:34:02
those guys are, you know, 150 to 200 type fab bids at this point.
00:34:08
Yeah, may secure those guys. They're.
00:34:11
Probably those are in gamers, right?
00:34:13
I mean, I would say they're. All on.
00:34:14
Everybody, everybody who if like you said, crew, I mean St.
00:34:19
St. Brown, Lamar Taylor, Chase,
00:34:21
those guys are all in gamers. Maybe not Herbert.
00:34:26
But but the it's not terrible. It's.
00:34:28
Not. Terrible until this week, but
00:34:30
yeah. And even in our league we got
00:34:32
Jefferson, Ibuka, London, Lamar, that's 4IN game players that are
00:34:36
just sitting there staring you in the face.
00:34:39
And The thing is, like we talked about last week, the chip stacks
00:34:42
are getting so low now for the fab dollars, all you have to do
00:34:46
is bid one more than the next guys guy.
00:34:48
And right, for a lot of these people, that's not that much.
00:34:52
That's right. So you get some deals in these
00:34:54
guys. It's fun.
00:34:55
You're going to Dollar General now to buy the studs that you
00:34:57
weren't. That's right, bargain bed, 100
00:34:59
bucks. Yeah, the pricing, the pricing
00:35:02
kind of, you know, takes a huge bike early in the season and
00:35:06
then it starts tapering off as teams run out of fab, right.
00:35:09
And you're, you're at that point now.
00:35:11
So these last few weeks, 200, well almost for sure when when
00:35:16
one of the the end gamers, if you have 200 available to spend,
00:35:20
sometimes you can sweep by with 120 or something for a guy that
00:35:25
used to go for 300 earlier in the season.
00:35:27
So. I want to throw out a couple
00:35:29
real world scenarios for you and also help myself.
00:35:32
So you guys give me some advice on this here on my other league,
00:35:36
not my shrewdness league, I am still alive and I am the fab
00:35:40
leader right now. So I I can chip with some people
00:35:44
right now OK? Right now I have $451.00 left,
00:35:49
OK, the next highest person has 219.
00:35:55
So that's that's the scenario. The following the following
00:35:59
players are available and I want you guys this will be good real
00:36:04
world scenario. Justin Jefferson.
00:36:07
OK, Justin Jefferson is available.
00:36:09
I give the listeners some context.
00:36:12
Right now, the wide receivers I have are Drake London, who's
00:36:17
probably out, Devante Adams, Stephon Biggs, Jacoby Myers and
00:36:23
Michael Pittman. Yeah.
00:36:24
You can't white out. And that's he's available, all
00:36:28
right. He's the top one by far.
00:36:30
And running backs, James Cook is available.
00:36:34
OK, James Cook is available. My running backs are Bijan
00:36:39
Robinson, Rico Dowdle and Ashton Gente.
00:36:42
OK, So what would you guys do in my spot?
00:36:47
I like Bijan and Rico. I think those are two good ones.
00:36:50
I think you kind of already have two end game running backs.
00:36:53
James Cook could be more of a luxury, whereas I think if
00:36:56
London is out and you're rolling with that P squad B list wide
00:37:01
receiver. Stephon Biggs, Jacoby Myers.
00:37:04
Yeah. I don't know if I feel real
00:37:06
comfortable with that Mötley Crüe.
00:37:08
That's the short bus showing up to the stadium next week and I
00:37:11
think you need someone with a little little spice on around
00:37:14
the neck. I'd be trying to get Jets.
00:37:17
I don't know if you need to spend all 220.
00:37:19
I don't think the guy with 219 will go all in on Jefferson.
00:37:22
I think he'd probably win him for like 170.
00:37:24
I would assume that guy would want to spend some money.
00:37:26
He probably has some holes to fill too, so he's probably.
00:37:29
So here's the interesting part, the interesting part of who he
00:37:32
has. OK.
00:37:33
So it's a great, great. That's what I'm saying.
00:37:35
This is a good context. So wide receiver, he has Aman
00:37:38
Raw and puka and Jackson Smith and Jigba.
00:37:41
He's not. Bidding anything?
00:37:43
So what's? Next after the 219 gay.
00:37:46
And then at running back, he has Judkins and Jameer Gibbs.
00:37:52
OK. Yeah, it's not a bad team, but
00:37:54
what? Who's who's 3rd on the chip
00:37:57
stack? So 219's next and then what?
00:38:00
3rd on the chip stack is 110. There we go.
00:38:06
I probably go 111 for Jefferson. Yep.
00:38:09
Yep, and then James Cook. I'd probably just do a healthy,
00:38:13
probably 150 somewhere in there because I think you can get both
00:38:19
those guys and if you get 2 for two like that's pretty good.
00:38:24
You'd still have some money right over.
00:38:25
He's got. What's his total?
00:38:26
He has two. Second, second guy.
00:38:30
Second guy is 219, yeah. 219 so if you went yeah, 111 for both
00:38:38
guys, you're guaranteed to get one of them.
00:38:41
Yep, yeah. Sure, yes, that's how I would
00:38:45
do. Yeah, but he's not bidding on a
00:38:47
wide receiver. He's.
00:38:49
Probably not bidding on a wide. Receiver.
00:38:51
But the other guy probably will, and 111's not a bad price
00:38:55
anyway. Yeah.
00:38:57
And could you be? Cheaper sure you.
00:38:59
Probably could maybe get it for cheaper but who cares you got
00:39:02
three more weeks. That's the key.
00:39:04
What Dex just said there I think is really important and for
00:39:07
listeners to think about 3 weeks left in the season at this point
00:39:11
that you could actually bid on players.
00:39:14
So like they get cheaper each week at this point because
00:39:17
everybody's Fab's going away. So you don't want to be left
00:39:21
with like I'm kind of at risk right now having as much as I
00:39:24
have. I've got 451.
00:39:26
I'm probably not going to be able to spend it all effectively
00:39:29
if I don't put in some semi aggressive bids.
00:39:32
Because what you don't want is to get to week 14 and you're
00:39:34
still got 200 bucks left. It's like, bro, you could have
00:39:38
you could have improved your team, right?
00:39:40
And you're like. Well I can have the top Tier 2
00:39:42
running back for 200 or something just to spend on my
00:39:45
fab, but you don't need to at that point so.
00:39:48
Right. Yeah, that's.
00:39:48
Right. I think you see opportunity this
00:39:51
week and you strategically bet to limit the chances of someone
00:39:57
else getting those players. Yep.
00:39:59
Yeah, take them away. That's the other thing to think
00:40:01
about. That's the other thing to think
00:40:02
about is blocking. Yes.
00:40:04
And that's something you got to be concerned with, too, because,
00:40:07
you know, these other guys are looking to improve.
00:40:09
And if you're in a position of chip strength, take advantage of
00:40:12
it, right? Yeah.
00:40:13
This is the time to lean on people.
00:40:15
So that's good. All right, I just want to throw
00:40:18
out a real life example. Let's talk.
00:40:19
Let's talk about what you can do here, Prue.
00:40:22
We've got sleepers, right? Yeah, that's you lead it.
00:40:28
Who are some guys? I'll tell you guys who are some
00:40:31
guys that we think right now and we have this, we have this
00:40:34
little segment, you guys may have heard of it, it's called
00:40:37
shrewdness sleepers. And what we do is we talk about
00:40:41
the guys that we feel like are going to outperform what the
00:40:46
market says they're going to do and so far.
00:40:48
We've and they should be available in your league to pick
00:40:51
up just flat out. Off they will be available.
00:40:53
We have hit 27% of these picks which are targets 33.
00:40:56
We're still a little lagging but 27's not too bad.
00:40:58
In this last week we got one of three which paces to 33.
00:41:03
Dex picked Trey Tucker. Trey Tucker delivered with 14.7
00:41:08
points. So if you picked him up you're
00:41:09
happy and he got you through last week probably Pruitt and I
00:41:15
not so lucky. Pruitt picked Mr. Washington
00:41:19
from Jacksonville and he delivered a lopping 4 points.
00:41:24
So not what you're looking for. I did not learn from Dexter the
00:41:31
week before and I chose to follow his folly and pick
00:41:35
Colstead Loveland. And Colstead Loveland delivered
00:41:39
a whopping 7 points, which was 5 below what we wanted for a
00:41:43
sleeper. So we got one of three.
00:41:45
Not horrible, but we'd like to get higher than that.
00:41:47
So this week, this is probably the last week we're doing this
00:41:50
guys because it's getting to be super teams and it's too hard to
00:41:53
find somebody. So if you're, if you're one of
00:41:55
those guys that doesn't have chips, you're sitting at the
00:41:58
bottom of fab right now and you're like, Dang it, I'm in
00:42:01
trouble. I am not going to get any of
00:42:03
those guys that you just set up because I don't have any money
00:42:06
to get any of them. This is where you go bargain.
00:42:09
Bin shopping, Jamar Chase and you spit on somebody.
00:42:14
I have Jamar Chase or I have Drake London and I'm I'm hosed
00:42:17
for this week. I need somebody to get me by
00:42:20
until those guys come back. That's right.
00:42:22
So here, this is where you're going to go.
00:42:24
This is where you're going to turn to.
00:42:25
So, Prue, where am I turning to right now?
00:42:28
I'm in trouble all right. I'm digging deep.
00:42:31
This is this is the time you got to kind of go out on a limb,
00:42:33
take a chance. And sorry, the criteria is it's
00:42:36
got to be less than 50% in your league owned.
00:42:39
So we looked at all the leagues less than 50% and we're shooting
00:42:43
to get 12.5 points, which is hella high for these guys right
00:42:46
now. So yes, all.
00:42:47
Right. There you go, that's the
00:42:49
context. So, yeah, so thanks for setting
00:42:52
that up. The I'm going to Green Bay this
00:42:57
week. Josh Jacobs is a little banged
00:43:00
up. I don't think they'll be able to
00:43:02
run the ball effectively. And a guy that's been hurt a lot
00:43:06
of the season and has kind of come back here recently.
00:43:10
Christian Watson, not my favorite receiver by any means,
00:43:14
but he's playing against a Minnesota team that has been
00:43:17
pretty decent against the pass other than the long pass.
00:43:21
And they've given up a couple big plays this year.
00:43:24
Christian Watson is the deep threat for a Green Bay.
00:43:27
So it's kind of a flyer, right? But if you're in a position
00:43:31
where you need to take a a chance on somebody, Christian
00:43:34
Watson could have a deep play down the field and instantly get
00:43:37
you 7 or eight points on one play.
00:43:41
So, and if he managed to score a touchdown on that play, it could
00:43:44
be more like 11 or 12 on that play.
00:43:46
So I don't think he'll get a ton of catches, maybe 4, but I think
00:43:51
he's a deep threat that could have some success against
00:43:54
Minnesota secondary this week. I like it.
00:43:57
You're always kind of, you're always kind of rolling the dice
00:43:59
with Green Bay receivers who you're going to get is the hot
00:44:02
one. But I think it's good rationale
00:44:04
for him and it might as well be his week in Green Bay.
00:44:07
So Christian Watson, I like it versus Minneapolis decks.
00:44:13
Let's go to you. Who is your sleeper this week?
00:44:16
All right, so I'm going down to The Dirty Birds going South to
00:44:20
Hot Lana where everything seems to be a train wreck right now.
00:44:23
They have likely lost Drake London this week with APCL
00:44:27
injury in his knee. They have likely lost Michael
00:44:30
Pinnix for the rest of the year. So Kirk Cousins is coming in.
00:44:33
One guy Kirk Cousins likes throwing to is Darnell Mooney.
00:44:37
So Darnell Mooney is being elevated to the number one spot
00:44:40
in that offense. He's actually pretty good.
00:44:43
Just go back and look at his stats.
00:44:45
That's right. He actually gets more than what
00:44:47
you think. And if you have him as an owner,
00:44:49
like I know don't tell people, but I'm telling you out there,
00:44:53
he's only 32% owned with all these guys getting hurt, We have
00:44:57
some more people on bias. We if you have Sutton Chase in
00:44:59
London, you're feeling pretty good.
00:45:01
You now have none of them this week.
00:45:03
This, this, I'm talking to you out here now.
00:45:05
So you need to go get Darnell Mooney because he's going to be
00:45:08
better than what you got. And I think at 32% owned, he's
00:45:11
projected for 15 points. I think that's very, very
00:45:14
reasonable to get. I mean, 8 for 80 is not that
00:45:17
outlandish against the Saints. That'd be 16 right there.
00:45:20
So or 14 right there. 16 Math Public Math 8 for. 8016.
00:45:25
That's the worst. Teen.
00:45:27
Public math is the worst. Here we go.
00:45:29
So Darnell Mooney is my. Sleeper sleeper of the week,
00:45:32
right? I love it.
00:45:33
Let's say it is still 16. It's still 16, OK.
00:45:38
My head, I was going touchdowns, going for six instead of eight.
00:45:41
That's right, carrying. The four six carry the one I
00:45:44
don't know. So I am going to go for mine to
00:45:48
a guy who you're like you shouldn't go to a guy who just
00:45:51
had an incredible game. But I'm going back to the well
00:45:55
Michael Wilson who had a 33.5 point game without a touchdown.
00:46:02
You do not see 33 point games without a touchdown.
00:46:06
So that. Just you get 15 catches. 15
00:46:10
catches for Wilson. I mean, seriously, Michael
00:46:16
Wilson. So granted, he was the
00:46:19
beneficiary of Harrison Junior being out this week with
00:46:22
appendicitis, so Harrison Junior's probably going to be
00:46:24
back. But here's why I think this is
00:46:26
the right place, right time play.
00:46:28
Brissette got his first start last week and he clearly is
00:46:34
comfortable with Wilson. So with Harrison coming back, I
00:46:37
do think he's not going to put up a 33 spot, but Harrison will
00:46:41
steal some of that. But I do think that rosette's
00:46:43
like, I got a guy and I like this guy and I trust this guy.
00:46:47
He's a veteran. These guys pick that stuff up
00:46:49
quickly. He's got a rhythm right now with
00:46:52
Wilson. I think that continues at least
00:46:53
for another week against Jacksonville.
00:46:56
And I think he gets a touchdown this week unless catches, which
00:46:59
is not a bold prediction since he had 15.
00:47:02
But. I think he's going to have less
00:47:05
catches, but I do think he's going to get in the end zone.
00:47:08
So I like somewhere around six catches, 5 to 6 catches and a
00:47:11
touchdown to put him over the 12 1/2 points.
00:47:14
Michael Wilson, ride the hot streak versus Jacksonville.
00:47:18
That's my sleeper for the week. Don't.
00:47:20
Don't bet that. There you go.
00:47:22
But bet a lot that on the under 15 receptions this week.
00:47:25
Bet a lot on under. If you could get that line on
00:47:28
DraftKings under 15, I would bet a lot on the under 15 this week.
00:47:34
So our wrapping it up, our sleepers are Christian Watson
00:47:37
versus Minnesota, Darnell Mooney versus.
00:47:40
Thanks Saints. New Orleans Saints and Michael
00:47:45
Wilson versus Jacksonville. Those are sleepers.
00:47:48
All right, now let's move along to sitters and Saints decks.
00:47:53
All right, we're going to go through these quickly because we
00:47:55
kind of hit on most of them. And if you are the beneficiary
00:47:58
of some of these Saints, you're like, I know, tell me again how
00:48:01
great I was with. My guys like my whole team.
00:48:05
Yes. So Josh Allen, you had him.
00:48:08
There's good Josh Weeks and there's bad Josh Weeks.
00:48:10
This one was incredible. Josh Week.
00:48:13
So 317 yards passing, throwing 3 touchdowns.
00:48:19
But OK, just to make it ridiculous, let's run six times
00:48:23
for 40 yards and three more, including two fourth late fourth
00:48:28
quarter touchdowns to put Tampa Bay away and you had to come
00:48:31
back to beat Tampa Bay. They were they were winning
00:48:33
until that. So Josh Allen, 42.68 fantasy
00:48:38
points leading the way. Second CMC and I got his
00:48:43
beneficiary of him in one of my leagues.
00:48:44
Very nice. So he had 13 for 81, two
00:48:48
touchdowns. And as always, he gives you a
00:48:50
beautiful receiving line of five for 40 and another tutty.
00:48:54
So 35 points for CMC. And here's the sounds were kind
00:48:58
of fun. So I was kind of telling the
00:49:00
boys at the beginning in our Patreon, these are not household
00:49:03
names when you start going down some of these other ones.
00:49:06
Sean Tucker. What?
00:49:09
Who? Yeah, that guy, the backup third
00:49:11
string running back for Tampa Bay had himself a day in
00:49:16
Buffalo. So 19 for 106 and 2 touchdowns,
00:49:20
2 for 34 and another touchdown. And man, did he look fast.
00:49:24
I think he's trying to say Bucky Irving might be coming back this
00:49:27
week or next week. He's trying to keep a few
00:49:30
carries for himself and he may have just earned him.
00:49:32
So Bucky Irving owners out there, this is kind of the game.
00:49:36
You didn't want to see Sean Tucker because he might have
00:49:39
just kept, I don't know, at least a chunk of the carries for
00:49:43
himself and Rashad White's still going to be there too.
00:49:45
But Sean Tucker, 34 points. If you had to throw him in there
00:49:49
now, he did not save my beautiful wife when I had Sean
00:49:52
Tucker flopped in as a fill in emergency spot start for us that
00:49:56
week. And I think he gave us 9 points,
00:50:00
so a few less. He got a few more this week.
00:50:03
Michael Wilson, we just talked about him, 15 for 185.
00:50:07
Unbelievable game. Tedderola McMillan, so rookie
00:50:11
put up. And I should highlight this was
00:50:13
Pruitt's spud. Of the week.
00:50:15
We don't need to highlight that. So 8 catches, 130 yards, 2
00:50:22
touchdowns. That's right.
00:50:24
You got the chisel. You got the chisel.
00:50:26
Disease. Fruit.
00:50:27
You got the chisel. Disease.
00:50:30
Midas touched. Midas touched again.
00:50:31
I failed to take the anytime touchdown bet so.
00:50:34
I know, right? The one time we did, they didn't
00:50:37
get it, so I was. Like this sucks.
00:50:40
We'll just let it ride. It's more fun than everybody
00:50:41
else can do it. All right, Trevion Henderson.
00:50:44
So amazing. What happens when he gets just
00:50:46
all the carries and refumble. Stevenson's not around another
00:50:50
huge week. 3 touchdowns all together, 19 for 62 on the
00:50:53
ground, 5 for 30 in the air. Trevion looks good.
00:50:57
He looks like the reason everybody drafted him so high
00:51:00
this year in leagues, because we knew he could do this.
00:51:03
I am one of those. I think I drafted him in too
00:51:05
many leagues. Too many leagues.
00:51:07
Yeah. Bryce Young.
00:51:08
If you had to do a flyer, and I don't know who you would have
00:51:11
been bench if you had Daniel. Oh, my God, where do I go for
00:51:14
quarterback? And you said Bryce Young.
00:51:17
I don't know why you would have said Bryce Young, but if you
00:51:18
did, pretty awarded you with 448 yards, 3 touchdowns and an open
00:51:25
time winner for Carolina. Yeah, I'm sure all you had that.
00:51:28
I'm sure we all had that over pick, right?
00:51:31
Bryce Young over 425. I'm going to throw a nickel on
00:51:35
that, see how that runs. Yeah.
00:51:37
And then Trey McBride. So in the game, we, we should
00:51:40
just highlight this Jacoby percent set an NFL record for
00:51:44
completions in a game. An NFL record for completions in
00:51:48
a game is is none other than Jacoby Brissett.
00:51:53
You've got that in. Trivia.
00:51:55
There's 25 between those two guys.
00:51:57
Exactly. Right, right. 10 for 1:15 and a
00:52:00
touchdown to go with 15 for 185 for Michael Wilson.
00:52:04
What? That's well.
00:52:05
When you're when you're starting, running back is D
00:52:09
Mercado I think. Who dropped the ball on the half
00:52:12
yard line? You wouldn't be on my team
00:52:14
anymore. I said that back in the day like
00:52:16
that dude cut. You will never be on the team
00:52:18
again for sure. George Pickens.
00:52:20
So he continues to deliver week after week 9 for 141 and a
00:52:25
touchdown. He's going to round out our
00:52:27
Saints and God. George Pickens free agent this
00:52:30
year. Someone's going to a a very nice
00:52:33
diva that can produce. He is cashing in on himself.
00:52:38
Big time man he is. Yes, definitely going to make
00:52:41
some money somewhere. Even as stupid as Dallas's,
00:52:43
they're not going to sign another humongously high dollar
00:52:46
wide receiver because they're seeing how that's working in
00:52:49
Cincinnati is like, so you mean don't touch my offensive line
00:52:52
and don't add any defense, but I'm going to have two hell of
00:52:55
wide? Receivers.
00:52:57
Sure you can try it out, just look amongst other teams it's
00:53:01
been. Played.
00:53:02
As long as my quarterback stays healthy, we should be great.
00:53:05
That's right. That's right.
00:53:06
So the centers, so we kind of went through a few of them on
00:53:10
the chopped list, but Lamar, Justin Herbert just killers.
00:53:14
Flacco. If he thought he had a tasty
00:53:15
match up at Pittsburgh, it was not for him. 199 and just 9.86
00:53:21
points. Terrible.
00:53:22
Sam Darnold, 4 interceptions, 279 yards.
00:53:26
JJ McCarthy, only 150 yards, 1 touchdown, 2 picks.
00:53:30
Those guys all killed you. Quinch on Judkins, so 59 yards
00:53:34
total. So 5.9 by Dow, 3.2 Amadra.
00:53:38
The two for 42 is an absolute killer at this point in the
00:53:42
season because Amadra is one of those super high floor guys we
00:53:45
love in Guillotine. Inexcusable to only get him the
00:53:48
ball that many times. That was just they hit.
00:53:51
It was. He had 12 targets and caught 2
00:53:54
balls. It's insane if it's just that
00:53:57
Philly defense was just. Wrecking the Detroit.
00:54:00
Line and just wrecking Jared Goff.
00:54:02
He looked like he was on ice skates back there just trying to
00:54:05
throw crap up. It was terrible.
00:54:07
I don't think I've ever seen double digit targets and only
00:54:11
two catches, like 2 catches. That doesn't happen.
00:54:15
Yeah. Especially the Amman Raw.
00:54:17
Yeah, that's the guy who catches a lot.
00:54:19
Absolutely. He catches a lot of bad balls,
00:54:21
so he'll make it look good just by getting it in the zip code.
00:54:25
Jamar Chase, 3 for 30. We talked about that.
00:54:27
So kind of a dud. Now he's going to be gone for a
00:54:29
week again, We're not sure which one.
00:54:31
It's either this week or a week coming up, which I don't know if
00:54:34
it helps you or not. Lac Mcconkey.
00:54:37
So coming off a couple a few really good weeks in a row, 3
00:54:40
for 13, that's a killer. Does that hurts Devante Smith?
00:54:45
If you feel like, oh, Philly's maybe going to turn it around,
00:54:47
here we go. One catch, 8 yards, 2 drops.
00:54:51
It was a killer. The Devante AJ roller coaster.
00:54:56
If you dare ride it week to week, you will never know what
00:54:59
you're going to get. That's right.
00:55:00
And then the last one, Roma doones AI don't know.
00:55:04
I don't know if you can confidently start him anymore
00:55:07
because. This is.
00:55:08
Multiple weeks of terrible 2 for 41 that's one of his better ones
00:55:14
6.1 that's just I don't know Robin didn't say DJ Moore.
00:55:18
I just don't know how none of those guys seem to ever catch
00:55:20
the ball. I don't know who's catching it
00:55:22
really for Chicago, because they're.
00:55:24
Either that Colston. Lovely.
00:55:26
Either you look at Caleb Williams line every week and
00:55:29
it's like, well, how do you have 240 yards that you look at DJ
00:55:32
Moore and you look at Loveland, you look at a a Doons a you look
00:55:36
at burdens like they all get 40. Yeah, 8 guys for 30 yards
00:55:40
apiece. Yeah, and Caleb Williams.
00:55:42
Looks like a rock. *. 240. Thanks for spreading it around
00:55:47
man. So those are.
00:55:48
Yours well, some of these guys, some of these centers, they have
00:55:51
told you already, you know, like I don't know if you guys saw,
00:55:56
but a a a couple weeks ago, A.J. Brown said.
00:55:59
And I quote, yeah, if you got me on fantasy, man, get rid of me.
00:56:03
Like when the wide receiver is telling you to get rid of.
00:56:06
Him, yeah. You know it's bad, right?
00:56:10
So, so don't keep riding these guys that are so inconsistent.
00:56:14
You cannot have them in the playoffs.
00:56:16
You can't have a guy that inconsistent in the playoffs.
00:56:18
Nope, got a trade up. Time to go get one of these
00:56:21
guys. One more center that you
00:56:23
probably need to mention this is this is hard to do.
00:56:26
Khalil Shakur for Buffalo in a 44 to 32 game had .7 points.
00:56:35
Well, that is hard. One catch for -3 yards in a game
00:56:39
that Buffalo scored 44. List to find a less than one
00:56:43
point guy. That wasn't on your radar.
00:56:46
I mean, I I went to like backups, I mean.
00:56:49
I just, I just happened to, I hit, you know, continue one more
00:56:53
time or whatever and I was like, wow, that is.
00:56:56
That's brutal 1. Catch from -3 yards and that was
00:57:00
a 44 effort. And Keon Cole, he wasn't even
00:57:04
playing. Right.
00:57:04
Yeah. I don't know how that happens.
00:57:06
That's. Bad anyway, all right, so we're
00:57:09
a bit of a cold streak here, Pruitt, we're a bit of a cold
00:57:12
streak here. We we got it right, this ship.
00:57:15
Yeah, yeah, spuds are. We'll see.
00:57:20
We'll see. Oh, for our last six, we did hit
00:57:22
two in Week 9, but this last week, like we mentioned, Tedoro
00:57:26
McMillan suddenly woke up and had all of his catches from the
00:57:29
last three weeks yesterday. So yeah, he pulled down a huge
00:57:34
game. Derrick Henry, he got in the end
00:57:37
zone and scored over 20 points at Cleveland, which is really
00:57:41
tough to do. He is.
00:57:43
They've shut down running backs all year, and then Stefan Diggs
00:57:47
versus The Jets put up 19 1/2 points, so we were 180 from on
00:57:54
the right track. And again anytime touchdown.
00:57:57
If I pick him to be a spud, he will be anytime touchdown.
00:58:01
Now I used my powers for good this week because I knew I was
00:58:04
starting Stefan Diggs so I picked him as a spud.
00:58:08
Got my touchdown. No, he didn't get your
00:58:10
touchdown. He just had nine for 100.
00:58:12
He just had his best. Game close enough?
00:58:14
Oh, he didn't have a touchdown? He was.
00:58:16
He finally missed your right touchdown, but don't worry, Pru
00:58:20
and I delivered on any time touchdowns for our spuds, so
00:58:23
that's. Derrick.
00:58:24
Henry was. Actually horrible.
00:58:27
So just like Debo was horrible the week before, Derrick Henry
00:58:29
was actually terrible until he ripped off a 60 yard run and so.
00:58:35
Yep, which he can do. That's what he did, yeah.
00:58:37
So they made a missed tackle at the line.
00:58:39
He broke through the linebacker, whiffed, and that's all she
00:58:43
wrote, man. And then good.
00:58:44
Luck tackling that enormous man in open space.
00:58:47
Space, yeah. I feel like he was single digit
00:58:50
rushing yards in the first half, so that's where Cleveland had
00:58:53
him and you just can't miss, man, can't miss late in the
00:58:56
game. That's a, that's a 12 point
00:58:58
play, right? 60 yard run.
00:58:59
Yeah, yeah, he does. On our way to 20.
00:59:02
You go. All right, so let's let's reset
00:59:05
the clock. We're going to start over this
00:59:06
week. We need to get back on track.
00:59:08
We're below our 33% target for spuds.
00:59:13
So this week we're picking players that are at least 90%
00:59:17
owned that we feel like we'll probably not get you 12 points
00:59:22
this week. So which pretty much means no
00:59:25
any time some touchdowns. Chisholm Yeah, that's right.
00:59:29
Good luck. That's right, giving you 2 inner
00:59:30
that's. Right, excellent.
00:59:32
So this week, let's start out with Dex.
00:59:34
Who do you like this week to be a shrewdness spud?
00:59:38
All right, so I've watched Philadelphia's defense continue
00:59:42
just to crush people and keep very low scoring games and not
00:59:45
many touchdowns. Javante Williams for the Dallas
00:59:48
Cowboys is coming to town after having kind of a cakewalk
00:59:52
running through that Las Vegas defense.
00:59:54
I do not think he's going to find it as favorable this week.
00:59:58
Kind of a sort of short week for him.
01:00:00
So the Monday night game having to play on Sunday?
01:00:03
Devante Williams gonna be my spud pick for this this week at
01:00:07
Philly. Actually it's home against
01:00:09
Philly. But regardless, versus Philly
01:00:12
spud. Yep, good.
01:00:13
Yep. All right.
01:00:14
I like that Williams jizz. What do you think this week?
01:00:18
OK. We just talked about Cleveland
01:00:20
and they do scare me against running backs and as good as the
01:00:25
Dallas defense looked against the Raiders, I feel like the
01:00:28
Cleveland defense is going to look all world.
01:00:31
So poor Ashton Gente, he may have negative yards this.
01:00:34
Week it may be. One of those weeks where he
01:00:37
actually gets tackled to the backfield like 3 times and
01:00:39
they're like that's it, we're not running the ball anymore. 3
01:00:42
carries for -4 and we're done. So he's probably going to score
01:00:45
touchdown, but all the odds would say he is going to have a
01:00:48
horrible week. So Ashton Gente, leave him on
01:00:50
your bench. He's not going to score any
01:00:53
points for you this week. Ashton Genteel is my shrew to
01:00:55
spud. Predicted to score 17 points
01:00:59
against Cleveland? I don't think so.
01:01:01
So. Yeah.
01:01:02
Probably in agreement there, no? They may not get 17 fantasy
01:01:07
points in total against the whole team.
01:01:10
Probably not. They might have 17 points worth
01:01:13
of turnovers or something, I don't know exactly.
01:01:16
That prove close this out. To round us out for this week,
01:01:19
I'm going to the Green Bay, Minnesota game.
01:01:23
Josh Jacobs is looking pretty banged up.
01:01:25
I I think he may still play, looking like he's, he might
01:01:30
still play, but I think there'll take a cautious approach I guess
01:01:33
is the the easy way to say it. It's kind of a kind of an easy
01:01:37
pick if you think about it that way.
01:01:39
He's a little banged up If he gets hit the wrong way or
01:01:42
whatever, he may not even play the whole game.
01:01:44
They get up by a lot. He may not play the whole game.
01:01:46
So there's a lot of different scenarios where he will not get
01:01:51
his his 12 plus points. So I'm taking Josh Jacobs this
01:01:55
week to get you less than 12 as my assuredness, but.
01:02:00
Let's go gambling Chez hook us up.
01:02:03
All right. So for the year we are 55%,
01:02:07
which is still really good. We only went one of three.
01:02:10
We kind of got some rough breaks this week.
01:02:13
But I made the foolish pick, which shouldn't have been
01:02:17
foolish. But the chiefs -3 1/2 you
01:02:20
thought, you know, that's a pretty good bet given their
01:02:22
history in the last eight years was not.
01:02:26
They managed to blow that and I missed my KNC -3 1/2.
01:02:30
Dexter ran to the stink. He went with Green Bay -7 1/2 at
01:02:35
the Giants who somehow did not cover 7 1/2 against the Cam
01:02:43
Scataboolus Jackson Dartless Giants.
01:02:47
Can't put away bad teams, they end up being 7.
01:02:49
So if you if you by the time you heard our prop.
01:02:53
I mean, the good news is that it was already A7 by the time it
01:02:56
came. Yeah, maybe, maybe you got
01:02:57
pushed out of that, but. I did.
01:03:00
Yeah. I got yeah, I did not get the
01:03:03
push. Dang it.
01:03:04
So I lost it by the hook. But Dexter did deliver for you.
01:03:08
And he's been hot lately. Four or five with a Cleveland
01:03:11
plus 8 1/2 versus Baltimore. And like you said, Cleveland
01:03:14
just hung around. Baltimore couldn't.
01:03:16
Oh, Pru. Pru did that.
01:03:18
Sorry, Pru. Four or five and plus 8 1/2 of
01:03:22
Baltimore. So after having a really cold
01:03:23
streak, he is now on our heater, as we call it in the biz.
01:03:27
So let's start out with him for this week's pick.
01:03:30
Pruitt, what do you like? All right, not super confident
01:03:34
in my pick, but that's why I like I.
01:03:37
Love the way we're getting. It they see the game in New
01:03:41
Orleans this week as a kind of a toss up.
01:03:44
New Orleans is actually favored, which never happens.
01:03:47
And they're playing an Atlanta team that's kind of beat up kind
01:03:50
of, you know, patching, patching things together, so to speak.
01:03:54
But like we talked about earlier, Cousins is going to
01:03:56
take the reins this week. He's going to be throwing to
01:03:59
Darnell Mooney and not Drake London.
01:04:02
I think the wild card is that they have Dijon Robinson and the
01:04:05
Saints do not. So I like Atlanta this week and
01:04:10
I'm taking them money lines. I like it because Tyler Shuck is
01:04:15
Shuck is still the quarterback for the New Orleans Saints last
01:04:18
night. So that that helps a lot.
01:04:20
Although, although as a group we continue to be burned by
01:04:23
Atlantis. I would, I know.
01:04:25
As well do one more. Time.
01:04:28
We might as well go back to that well one more time.
01:04:31
It could be. It won't be bad for us.
01:04:34
It could be ugly early and I don't know, cut bait while
01:04:39
you're ahead. Maybe something?
01:04:41
I like it. I like it.
01:04:42
Early if they get up, but yeah, I think they break their losing
01:04:46
streak and I'm taking a money line this week.
01:04:49
Let's do it. All right, Dex, let's go to you.
01:04:51
What do you like this week? All right, so it's going to be
01:04:54
another smelly one. No one's going to like it.
01:04:56
But interdivision game Minnesota plus 6 1/2 at Green Bay.
01:05:03
Because all I've seen repeatedly is Green Bay can't put away
01:05:07
inferior opponents. Minnesota is inferior this
01:05:10
season. Unfortunately, JJ just hasn't
01:05:12
been playing that well. The line hasn't been playing
01:05:14
that well. Jefferson's amazing and still
01:05:17
can't get going really to what we expect them to be.
01:05:19
I just think it's going to be a close game.
01:05:23
The temperatures will mean like the 50s though.
01:05:25
So it's not going to be really a weather game that we'd expect in
01:05:27
mid November and Green Bay. So I think everybody's going to
01:05:30
be playing. I think it's going to be, I kind
01:05:31
of like the over 2. It's 41 1/2, but I went with the
01:05:34
the close game aspect, 6 1/2. So keep it close.
01:05:38
Minnesota lose in a horrifying way at the end on a field goal.
01:05:43
Make sure you break my heart. We'll get a pick six.
01:05:46
We'll be up four and we'll like no.
01:05:49
So totally. Terrible will happen.
01:05:51
Minnesota will not win this game, but just keep it close for
01:05:54
the love, all right, Right. Isn't what do you absolutely all
01:05:58
right? I got a stinky one as well, and
01:06:00
I'm on a cold streak like I've haven't been in a long time.
01:06:03
Thank goodness my prop picks have saved me lately because my
01:06:06
game pics are horrendous. This one, I should, No one
01:06:09
should ever want to pick this game, but New England looks like
01:06:12
a howitzer. They look unstoppable.
01:06:15
Cincinnati is a shell of a team. Can't tackle.
01:06:20
So what am I doing? I'm taking the Bengals at home
01:06:23
plus 7 1/2. Here's why I'm taking the
01:06:26
Bengals New England, I had a buddy that texted me this this
01:06:30
weekend after New England won 'cause they are looking like the
01:06:33
prohibitive favorite to win the East now and and the driver or
01:06:37
in the pole position to be the number one seed overall in the
01:06:40
NFC East. And so he, he texted me and he
01:06:42
said so good win for New England.
01:06:45
Who do they have next? The all girls team or the team
01:06:50
that's visually impaired 'cause if you look at their schedule,
01:06:55
it is absolute dog balls. I have never seen a worse NFL
01:06:59
schedule. They have played no one.
01:07:02
Yeah, like it's the worst schedule you could imagine,
01:07:05
especially the play. So it is the easiest schedule
01:07:07
I've seen in recent memory for going down the stretch for like
01:07:11
a November decision run. Unbelievably bad, Even so even.
01:07:15
Before the season started, they were like third the easiest, as
01:07:19
predicted. Yes, and it is which.
01:07:21
Is why, yeah, which is, I mean, there's a lot of reasons that
01:07:25
that has played out the way it has.
01:07:26
But anyway, yeah. It's not.
01:07:29
It's not good. So I don't think they've played
01:07:31
anyone. Cincinnati can still put up
01:07:33
points. I don't know if they're going to
01:07:35
stop them, but I think they're going to run with them.
01:07:36
So I think they stay within a touchdown.
01:07:39
Cincinnati is, believe it or not, still playing for
01:07:41
something. They actually still have a
01:07:43
chance to win the division and Burroughs getting ready to come
01:07:45
back. So I think they are going to go
01:07:48
all out, play really hard, try to win this game.
01:07:50
I don't think they win, but I think they keep it within a
01:07:52
touchdown and a hook for sure. So Cincinnati plus seven and a
01:07:56
half, 55% on the year. We've got Atlanta money line
01:08:02
versus New Orleans this week. Minnesota plus 6 1/2 at Green
01:08:06
Bay and Cincinnati at home plus 7 1/2 versus New England.
01:08:10
We've got all dogs this week. So Oh yeah, it feels like a good
01:08:15
week. Good week to get a sweet.
01:08:19
This is going to be a juicy parlay.
01:08:22
Whenever you put this thing in, it's going to be juicy.
01:08:24
So this is a yacht week for us all, ladies and gentlemen, it's
01:08:28
a get right yacht week. That's right.
01:08:30
That's our locks for the week. Dex, take us home.
01:08:34
All right, so as we go into this weekend, remember we got you
01:08:38
some sleepers there. Check the list of your players.
01:08:42
So make sure chases appeal. Does it go through?
01:08:45
Does it not? Got to find out.
01:08:47
But you need to have a back up plan as you go in and bid on
01:08:50
some of these players. Drake London probably out.
01:08:52
You got quarterback problems, you lost more.
01:08:55
So now you have CJ Stroud probably out.
01:08:57
Pinnix out. Rodgers out.
01:08:59
Well, maybe Rodgers I guess is not officially out yet.
01:09:02
But really look at the waiver wire.
01:09:04
Do not spend too much money on a crappy dude for one week.
01:09:07
When we say use your fat wisely. Get someone real like get Lamar
01:09:11
Jackson if you're going to do that.
01:09:13
Don't go off and get waste money especially late like 10 bucks
01:09:16
now that's a that's a lot of money on a lot of these players.
01:09:20
That can secure you #1 white out the last week.
01:09:24
Absolutely. I'm sorry, smart about that.
01:09:26
Check the weather on some of these games as we saw the
01:09:29
weather impacts. So look at yourself on Saturday
01:09:32
and Sunday and look at the the rain, the wind.
01:09:35
We saw kicks flying all over the place.
01:09:36
People could make an extra point in that Jets game.
01:09:39
It was atrocious. So just kind of be looking at
01:09:42
that. And also we have a good time
01:09:44
doing our shrewdness power party.
01:09:46
So be sure to check our socials. We'll do the Island Games again
01:09:49
for Thursday night, Sunday night, Monday night.
01:09:51
So come join us if you'd like. And again, just do them
01:09:53
individual, man. We keep getting little things.
01:09:55
Oh, you only got 2 out of 3 again.
01:09:57
Hey, man, is what it is. But you would have gotten 2 out
01:10:00
of three if you did them individually, right?
01:10:02
So it is like you don't have to bet them all at the same time.
01:10:05
We just, we say you can. So, you know, we we, we bet them
01:10:10
as we bet them as individuals and parlays.
01:10:12
That's right. But you know, do what you want.
01:10:14
But overall we're hitting really high rate on the individual side
01:10:17
of that for sure. All right.
01:10:19
As we head down to crunch time, good luck out there,
01:10:21
guillotiners. Keep your heads and until next
01:10:24
week, stay shrewd. Stay shrewd, everybody.