The apes of The Shrewdness break down the Week 10 that was, look forward to Week 11 in the NFL, talk about end game players, and deliver their stone-cold gambling locks.
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Ladies and gentlemen. You.
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Are about to enter the shrewdness zone.
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Yes, shrewdness fans, we are super excited to have you this
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week. We are into the double digit
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weeks ladies and gentlemen. And if you still have your head,
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you are amongst the fortunate because most have lost theirs at
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this point. So you need us more than ever.
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We recognize that you need us badly and we are here to provide
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you that support. So this week we're going to talk
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about week 10, the week that was the last hopefully, yeah, the
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last major by by Mageddon that we had from skill position
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standpoint. We're going to talk about week
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11, what you could look to and some end game strategy.
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So it's time to start thinking about using those fab dollars
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and using them aggressively. So we'll give you some tips on
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that. So let's start it off though
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with a little bit of the week that was rolling 2 decks.
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All right, welcome. Good to be back for another week
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here. It was a fun week in the NFL
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last week. So I mean that the key
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storylines obviously is Miami just beaten down Buffalo.
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That was unexpected. I believe if you're in a
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survivor league, you're in a survivor league.
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I mean, I think that was the largest, what, 13 points or
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something? It's a lot.
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It's a huge spread and those divisional games are always
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weird. But Miami, HN just said I think
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we're pretty good still. I mean, despite 2 over here, we
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don't need Tyreek. We're just going to go beat
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Buffalo badly. It was unbelievable.
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So that was an interesting game. New England, that's a big win
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over Tampa Bay 2823. So that was huge.
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Houston rallies over Jacksonville.
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We just see that Jacksonville cannot finish games.
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Cannot do it. They can't finish.
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They had a huge lead, blew it, lost 3629.
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That's gonna. That might sting for the old
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playoff run down the stretch. Chicago comes back and rallies
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over the Giants, which leads to Brian Dabel losing his head.
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So we have a real world guillotine chop with another
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coach down and somehow it's never the Miami coach.
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He just keeps his head. He's bobbing and weaving.
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He's the guillotine's chasing him.
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No, he goes and beats Buffalo to save himself and probably the
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rest of the season. Really.
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I don't know. Do you think Mike McDaniels gets
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fired after? Is there anything he can do the
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rest of the year to lose his head?
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I see no reason to get rid of him at this point.
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You might as well keep him through the whole thing and and
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what else do you get? The other thing with with
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McDaniel is like, so you fired him and what happened?
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Like, who's going to take over? You're going to have an interim
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guy who's not your guy. So like, you might as well let
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him run it out. You're paying him.
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Exactly. You don't need to do a buyout
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like LSU. That's not working out, right.
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Let's just keep it clean, go to the end of the season, then do
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the firing. We had Chicago rallying over the
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Giants. Like I said, 2420, which helps
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hit our bet. We'll talk about that later.
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The Rams just pounded on San Fran, and I think what we're
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learning here is San Fran's defense is just decimated.
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They don't have any of their star players, Fred Warner, Nick
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Bosa, all the guys that scare you are gone.
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And they're just so depleted in all the positions.
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I mean, giving up 42 points, 42 to 26, LA just pounded them.
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And again, a lot of credit goes to Stafford and McVeigh having
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good game plans and four touchdowns for him.
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But interesting. So the season's kind of keeping
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on moving. We saw Denver look terrible.
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Bo Knicks look terrible. Are they really that scary?
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They're a good record in the AFC West.
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Bo Knicks, as we highlighted last week, wasn't the top five
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quarterback, fantasy quarterback.
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If you're going to believe that for the rest of your guillotine
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season, man, we got some screen doors for your submarine.
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Better. Than that is.
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Right, better luck next season. Yeah, that's recording, right.
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That's don't know about that. Absolutely.
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So those are the interesting real life ones.
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We had another team down in our sureness listener league, so
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doze rush hour. So we're going to learn from
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what happened there together. So what really happened?
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What did we learn from? Well, Michael Pittman had a bad
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week and that can hurt TJ Hawkinson.
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So there's always a couple super bad performances.
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That's kind of what this one was. 2 for eight for 2.8 for
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Hawkinson, Pittman 2 for 19, so only 3.9.
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Those are two critical positions you're tight in and your wide
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receiver one for his particular team.
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And then he's had a couple guys on IR, say at Hampton and Trey
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Benson on IR still T Higgins on by.
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But the real thing that happened here and it there's nothing you
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can do. He had a pretty good team, just
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no * performances. So he had a couple bad ones.
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But unless you get one of these guys we'll talk about in sinners
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and Saints later. If you get if you don't have one
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of the Saints to carry you through.
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He just didn't have any stars and he had Drake May he was
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fine, CMC he was fine. Rico Dowdell, he was fine, But
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none of these guys went off for one of those huge game week
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saving games for you. So that's really what happened.
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Nothing really to learn. He had a good team, did
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everything right, started the right guys, did all the right
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moves. But in Guillotine, as with real
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life, sometimes shish kebab happens.
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So thanks for playing Eric. Hope you and your spouse had a
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good time trying out Guillotine for the first time and hopefully
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come back next year for Lister league #2.
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That's right. Consolation prize is that he had
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the highest total that had gotten cut this year.
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So he, yeah, had a decent week. That's right.
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Just. Everybody else.
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Had a better week? Right, the scores.
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Get high at this point. Yeah, 95 points is chopped when
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you get to this late in the season.
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All right, So speaking about chopped players, we're going to
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swing it over to Peru for bidding strategies on our chop.
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So who got chopped and how much are we bidding on to Peru?
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Yeah, so this week some interesting players, some top
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players that were among the the top chopped league wide.
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Justin Jefferson was #1 believe it or not, had a.
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Jets. Wow.
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Rough Week followed by Michael Pittman and A.J.
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Brown. A.J.
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Brown seems like he's just stuck on this list.
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He's a regular. Yeah, he, he just cannot seem to
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get involved this year. And I don't, I don't think you
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can bid them on them at all really can't count on more than
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five at maybe seven or eight points at the most right now.
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Unless. He just had a.
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Upside, which is so weird for a perennial top 10.
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Wider. Yeah.
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A.J. Brown.
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It's that's somebody's somebody's probably second pick
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right in the shoot draft, so. Absolutely.
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Second round for sure. Jamar's chase was on by this
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week, so he did get chopped from a lot of teams that were used to
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having 20 points from him. Didn't have it this week.
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Jalen Hurts so, so performance this week against the Green Bay.
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Garrett Wilson's been banged up. He was among the top chopped
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Bowers. Had a rough week.
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Wolf that. One there, yeah.
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And then rounding out the top 10, not a terrible performance,
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but James Cook and Bijon Robinson both had about 10
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points and they were scheduled for or like predicted, have more
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like 18 to 20. So for any, you know,
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hypothetical managers that have both of those guys on their
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team. Yeah, who would that be?
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Like no one would have that combination.
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And survived somehow, but just sweat it.
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All the way through it. La Cucaracha, the cockroach.
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I don't know if La Cucaracha is actually cockroach, but it
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sounds right. It is La Cockroacha Cucaracha.
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It is so somehow survival strategies, right?
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Chisholm is just living a blessed, blessed season.
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Because every time we read this list, he's always like, had him,
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had him. He has all these dudes on the
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chop list, but as we'll get to you later in the Saints, he
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always ends up with a couple, the top 10 on the Saints list.
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It's unbelievable how you can combo that up all the time.
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Right, he's he's got the magic touch to have.
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I'm a couple. Saints.
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Every time he's. Bipolar is what I am, so I my
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team looks like this in the scoring.
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A bunch of guys up here, a bunch of guys down here not.
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Last. Week I go, yeah, switches.
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Then it just goes to the middle. Just average.
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Right, All right, so, So what do we do with that?
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Let me hit the list real quick. So Bijan Cook, Bowers, Jamar
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Chase and Justin Jefferson, I think you got to still go all in
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on those guys. Those are still top talent.
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Yeah, in gamers. In Gamers.
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For sure, we're talking about now, do you have kind of what
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average FAB is for remaining players?
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Like did you find that number when you're looking at the chop
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list 'cause I know that is a thing We're getting down to
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where I think 500 ish is like tops and a whole lot of people
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are below that. Oh yeah, yeah, Everybody in our
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league is below that. I know that.
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Yeah, for sure. I think top in our league is
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45486. Yeah, you've got hardly
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anything. I'm I'm drawn dead.
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Yeah, you got 20 bucks. Like you can't, you can barely
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pay the door admission to get in there to see the I'm doing.
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I'm doing Gene Hackman and Hoosiers.
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My team's on the. Floor my team is.
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On the floor, you're window shopping, just waiting for
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someone to come out and drop something on the way out the
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door. So there's currently in our
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league, there's three teams with under 100, actually under 70 and
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then it jumps up to 213. So the wide gap there and kind
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of the the haves and the have nots.
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Yeah, totally. And and a couple teams with over
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400 still, if they can survive a couple more weeks, they're going
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to be licking their chops for those last couple of drafts.
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My, my, my best shot as a have not is I'm hoping that Mondami
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will take over as commissioner and and kind of redistribute
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some wealth here because right, because those, those of us down
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here don't like it. We want some more fab, more fab.
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So I think what's funny, so we have CMC in our particular
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Lister league and I you may not be out in too many leagues
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because he wasn't horrible this week.
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And like I said, he wasn't one of the top 10 chopped, but he's
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an end game running back for sure.
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I think he's still RB one. And if you're looking at this
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list, like in when you look at your own standings and fab list,
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there's going to be a couple dudes that can just outbid.
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You're going to go. He's probably going to go for
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221 minimum because the next teams, yeah, three teams, 355,
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four 15486, which will sound strikingly similar to your
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league out there. You're just going to kind of
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chip whip the ones at the the 213 because you'll still have
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just as much money if you get them.
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So the other team will probably think that maybe go 225 or 230
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and that's just a guessing game between there how much he'll go
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for. But he's going to go for twos.
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He doesn't have to be 4 or five anymore.
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And that's what we were saying. If you can save your money till
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the end, now you get CMC for 200.
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And something and if you look at let me let me just put this in
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in context for everyone. If you look at at the top scores
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across all offense, CMC is number 2.
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So you know, if you if you spent all your fav and got CMC, you
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got the second highest scoring player in the league.
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So number one is obviously Jonathan Taylor, who scores 5
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touchdowns a week, only three. And it's just every week it
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feels like 5 touchdowns every week.
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And, and then Christian McCaffrey is number 2 and
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there's only there's only the, the third is Devon a chain.
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The third highest scoring player in fantasy this this year is
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Devon a chain. So the top three are running
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backs. And you know, if you're, if
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you're looking at where you want to invest, if you can get one of
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those three guys, do it. Yeah.
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You're not going to regret having either any of those guys.
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If Devon A Chain's putting up what he's putting up on Miami
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right now, like it's not going to get worse, you know that
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that's they all are what they are at this point.
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That's it. So I think that's where the the
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bidding comes in. You just look at the fab
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dollars. So now it becomes who in your
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league has what and how much you think you're going to spend.
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And really the numbers kind of go out the door now because
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you're just going to be like one more than the team who's go all
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in on CMC. If I had 213, I'm bidding all of
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it for CMC. And if I don't get it, my
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secondary bids will go from there.
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Probably much less because he's the only one in the in the given
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any league, right. So if you have powers out there,
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if you have Cook, Bichon, any of these guys, we kind of went off
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that are good. The top ones, you probably won't
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put all your money in on it if you want the 200 or one 150
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guys. So the yeah, like we talked
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about last week, the guys that are below 100 fab now you really
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have to pick your pick your one horse that you think you can get
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for most of you know, 80% of your fab that's left or
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something. Go all in on that guy.
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You, you really, you know you have no shot really if the other
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teams are playing their playing their auctions, right?
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You shouldn't have a shot at guys like CMC, right?
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They should conservatively keep you out of the running for.
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Yeah, they're doing it right. So always throw your money just
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in case they all forget and think that that's what everybody
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else is. Doing so, it's.
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Fine to put it all on CMC, but realistically the other managers
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in your league should prevent you from having a guy like that
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for. The big stacks.
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That's right, correct. But I mean, you know, we were
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talking about who got cut this week and you got to understand
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like this is the brutal part of Guillotine.
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The guy who got cut in our in our league had the #2 scoring
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running back #2 scoring overall player as well and the number
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one scoring quarterback and he got cut.
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So he had Drake May and he had CMC and he lost.
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They had bad weeks same time or that they didn't have bad weeks.
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They had average weeks and everybody else had bad weeks.
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So, you know, that's the tough part.
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That's true. His biggest problem is he didn't
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have a, you know, 35 point scoring running back on his team
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this week. So right, four teams, way beyond
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normal. So like we talked about, this is
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these last few bidding weeks are really when the strategy part of
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it comes in. It's less about value of the
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pick, like Dex said, less about what you want to spend on each
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pick. It's more about what are the
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other teams have and need and what do they have for fab
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dollars and it's kind of a bidding war strategy among other
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managers versus, you know, how much should this player go for
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type thing so. Yeah.
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Starts getting really interesting these last few bid
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cycles knowing only teams on by this week, Indianapolis and New
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Orleans. So there's not a whole lot of
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players that you're missing out on because Jonathan Taylor is
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still. On He's not on the chop list.
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Yeah, he's not going to be available.
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Believe it or not, the. Other seven players would have
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to be on the centers list for you to have a shot at him.
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That's right, Right. So Alave and Pittman maybe, but
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yeah, not a lot out there this week.
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No, so I want to go through real quick.
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So we did this a few weeks ago and I wanted to kind of look
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back at it. So our in game players, who are
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the ones you would go all in on and who are you trying to get?
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That's what I read off 4 names and seen if you would change any
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of those. So top 4 quarterbacks you'd want
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going into the finals. So Lamar Jackson, Patrick
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Mahomes, Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts.
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Would you sell out any of those four for May Herbert Knicks?
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Like right now is top five still somehow?
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But would you say those are the top fours?
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Is there anyone you make an argument to slide in there
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instead? We said Mahomes, Alan Herbert.
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No. And Mahomes.
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Mahomes, Alan. Jackson, Hertz.
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Jackson and Hertz. Yep, cause Lamar's back and he
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looks just fine. Yeah, I.
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Mean Stafford as well is doing really well too.
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He's arguably in the MVP Rd. voting.
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I think I, I think at this point I go ahead and I sub out Hertz
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for May. Yep.
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OK, that's not a bad one. So may I think he's more
00:16:19
consistent rushing each week and frankly he passes more.
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He does both things. You expect your quarterback to
00:16:25
do more? Unbelievably, he has less of a
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receiving core, but he seems to be just putting up ridiculous
00:16:32
passing numbers every week. It is, yeah.
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To hobble Stefan Diggs, Kshon Booty Hunter Henry.
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Yeah, it's crazy, but I I go with that.
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I like that running back. He's only had two guys throw
00:16:44
more than him for more yardage in the NFL this year, and it's
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Daniel Jones and Justin Herbert. Wow, that's crazy.
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All right, for running backs. So CMC, Jonathan Taylor, I don't
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think we need to have any discussion on whether they're
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there. Bijon Robinson, Devon A Chan and
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then we have Gibbs, James Cook, Josh Jacobs and Rico Dowdle.
00:17:07
Now there's a couple that's the top 8, right?
00:17:09
So if you have four teams, 2 running backs each, there could
00:17:12
be cases to be made for Kyron Williams, Saquon, Javante
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Williams. Yeah.
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Past that, though, I don't think Derrick Henry's earning his way
00:17:19
on this list. No, I don't think Ashton
00:17:21
Gentie's done enough to get on this list.
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Breece Hall, No Bucky Irving still hurt.
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I think that's probably your top 8.
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And then honorable mentions for Kyron Williams and Saquon
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Barkley, but would you just knocking you the other ones out
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though? Do you think Rico Dowdell on
00:17:35
that offense with Carolina is still worth it or do you rather
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have Barkley or Kyron, the more kind of consistent veterans?
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With Barkley, he didn't really do much yesterday either.
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And he's just been inconsistent all season.
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That's why I have him down in the 10th slot.
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But you'd never be upset having last year's rushing champ on
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your team. But as far as confidence level
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that you're going to like win your league with them, do you
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have it? Yeah, I feel like you're paying
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for the names just like you are with A.J.
00:18:01
Brown. That's.
00:18:02
Right. It's kind of over hyped from
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last year and people are still looking at that saying he should
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be better but he's just not. Yeah, yeah.
00:18:10
Right. No, I don't think you can.
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I don't think you can bump him into the top 8.
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I don't think so, Karen. Williams the only, the only
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argument I could do, yeah, I was going to say the only argument I
00:18:20
could make is is maybe Karen Williams for Rico.
00:18:24
Yep, just swap. Just because the offense is more
00:18:28
reliable. Yeah, he gets more goal line
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carries, that's for sure. But Stafford throws so many
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touchdowns he's taken away. I mean, Kyron Williams has not
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scored as many because Stafford's throwing 3 to 4
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touchdowns a game. That's right.
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Huka and Devante Adams catch them all.
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I mean, it's really nice when you have those two guys to throw
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to. Why not?
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They're always open. Even when they're not open,
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they're open. So I get it.
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Mean if I'm playing backyard football with those two guys,
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I'm not running either. Throw it up.
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Exactly. All right, so let's go to wide
00:19:01
receivers. I don't think there's going to
00:19:02
be too many surprises here, but there are some tough ones
00:19:04
towards the bottom. So my top 4, Jackson Smith and
00:19:07
Jigba Jamar, Chase Amaras, St. Brown, Pukunakua.
00:19:12
I don't know if there's really any arguments that anyone would
00:19:14
slide into those four. We could talk about it, but the
00:19:16
next 4I have, this is where they all kind of come into play.
00:19:19
So I think CD Lamb, Rishi Rice, Justin Jefferson and Mecca of
00:19:23
Buca. So that's who I have as the next
00:19:25
4I know there's some good ones, so here's the ones that you can
00:19:29
bump in there if you want. Devante Adams, Pickens, Drake,
00:19:34
London, Nico Collins, that's probably as far down as I would
00:19:37
go to try and get a top 8. Would you want to bump any of
00:19:41
those guys like Buca? I trust him, even as a rookie.
00:19:44
Justin Jefferson? How do you not trust the guy
00:19:47
who's broken every single record for entering the careers of
00:19:51
Whiteout? So who do you like or don't like
00:19:53
on that list? Or who would you bump around?
00:19:56
Man, I on any given night I would say you keep Justin
00:20:00
Jefferson in there, but tonight I'm going to say you bump out
00:20:03
Justin Jefferson for Drake London.
00:20:06
Yeah. I just can.
00:20:08
London, Drake. London's really good.
00:20:10
He has the ability to just completely dominate a game.
00:20:13
He's done it a couple times this year.
00:20:15
Justin Jefferson's got JJ McCarthy thrown to him, who I
00:20:18
personally like. He just hasn't.
00:20:20
I don't think he's that comfortable with Justin
00:20:23
Jefferson yet. The two of them, once they get
00:20:26
on the same page, it's going to be a force to be reckoned with,
00:20:28
but I don't think they're quite there yet.
00:20:31
I trust Michael connects to Drake London a little more right
00:20:34
now. OK, I'm going to, I'm going to
00:20:36
say I'm dropping CD Lamb. And it's not because I don't
00:20:41
like CD Lamb. It's because George Pickens has
00:20:44
emerged as a touchdown Steeler. He's taking a lot of all.
00:20:48
So I, I like CD, but I'm going to take CD out and I think I
00:20:53
would take CD out and drop in either Drake or Devante at this
00:20:57
point. Both of them are really
00:20:59
consistent. Drake's the clear #1 Devante's
00:21:03
the number 2, but man, there's a lot of people are all eating on
00:21:07
that team right now, so. Everybody eats when you're
00:21:09
throwing that many, and Devante Adams is always targeted so much
00:21:12
in the end zone, too. He is, he, is he just, he is,
00:21:15
repeatedly. I think he's #1.
00:21:17
He's still great at catching that high point.
00:21:21
Yeah, jump over your head, top your balls.
00:21:23
So that's what I would do. And it's not because I don't
00:21:25
like CD. It's just I think Pickens has
00:21:27
taken a lot of the Zing from some of those plays that used to
00:21:31
be him. Yeah, no, I agree.
00:21:34
So that's you guys trust IGBUCA? I do.
00:21:37
I think he's awesome. I keep him in the top eight.
00:21:39
He just every week he's healthy. He's put up a good line.
00:21:42
I think so there's, I mean like we kind of talked about in the,
00:21:46
in the Patreon, Baker's having a dip in his, you know, he's at
00:21:53
the bottom of his full circle. Baker Cycle, yeah.
00:21:57
The Baker cycle. So he's had a couple of less
00:22:00
than stellar weeks, true. And Bucky Irving, when he comes
00:22:04
back, he'll take, you know, part of the focus off that passing
00:22:09
game. So I still like him.
00:22:12
He's going to get plenty of targets with Godwin and Evans
00:22:16
out and all that, so. And I keep Evans is going to be
00:22:20
out, Godwin may come back, but. Yeah, he's not going to do much.
00:22:23
So even if he does, he's just he's kind of a broken version.
00:22:26
I think he's. Like you guys are a little
00:22:27
lower. Are you low on CD lamp 2 Pruitt?
00:22:30
I think he's still amazing, just pure targets and catches.
00:22:33
He's still amazing, but man, I Pickens has some just raw talent
00:22:38
that's ridiculous. And I, I I agree that he's going
00:22:41
to take some of the target share.
00:22:43
It's it's a very similar situation to LA right and, but.
00:22:48
Puka's not getting pulled away. He was like 13 last week.
00:22:51
No, I know. I'm just saying there's two very
00:22:53
capable guys and they're going to both get fed.
00:22:57
So it's any any given week you're going to have one or the
00:23:01
other versus a Seattle or a Atlanta that's like it's JSN or
00:23:06
bust or it's Drake London or bust, right.
00:23:09
So yeah, you can just count on those guys to get their targets
00:23:13
and their catches every week a little more than the Flip or
00:23:18
Flop that could happen. And with, Yeah.
00:23:21
That's a great point if you look at Pruitt and to your point too,
00:23:25
Dex on targets, Hookah is the 4th ranked in terms of points
00:23:30
fantasy points receiver this year and Devante is the 7th so
00:23:36
they are both top ten in points. Just getting it.
00:23:41
Just crazy because they're the only one that has that has two
00:23:43
in the top 10 terms of receivers on the same so.
00:23:46
It's funny is is Week 9 Devante Adams was third in as wide out
00:23:50
in fantasy and Puka Nakua's fourth.
00:23:52
They had both in the top 4 on the same team.
00:23:56
Was that the the five touchdown week from Yeah.
00:23:59
Yeah, yeah. So we had three to Devante and
00:24:02
then we had I think 1 in just a crapload of yards to puka to.
00:24:05
Puka. It's just ridiculous.
00:24:08
But yeah, we look at at Ibuka, though, just one more point on
00:24:11
him, like when he's been healthy, he's he's had three top
00:24:14
4 finishes this season already in 19 and he one of those he's
00:24:18
hurt. So he's been first, second and
00:24:21
4th as a rookie man. So and then you look at the fact
00:24:25
he's got no Godwin, no Mike Evans and it's K dot and who he
00:24:28
said last week, hey, me, me, me, me, we finally got some.
00:24:32
And even with that, Ibuka had another great week.
00:24:33
So he was the second white out last week in a fantasy.
00:24:37
So that's pretty good stuff. A further point out though, the
00:24:40
last point on the wide receivers, the further point out
00:24:43
the incredible season that Jackson Smith and Jigas had, he
00:24:47
already has 1041 yards receiving and that is 200 more yards than
00:24:55
the second place receiver, and that is Jamar Chase at 831.
00:25:01
That's absurd. And I don't think they're
00:25:03
getting, I don't think he's getting quite the recognition he
00:25:05
should probably because he's West Coast and not in a, you
00:25:09
know, they don't, they don't get a lot of the prime time games or
00:25:12
whatever. So but that's a, that's a he
00:25:14
hasn't had and he's got 5 touchdowns.
00:25:16
It's not nothing to sneeze at, but the yardage is what's
00:25:19
insane, right? 1000 yards already.
00:25:21
Yeah. All right, let's go into tight
00:25:23
ends, the last one. And yeah, I'm only going to
00:25:24
focus on four of these. So again, final four teams
00:25:27
you're trying to get to this type of player, the Brock
00:25:30
Bowers, Trey McBride, I think Clear 12, Tyler Warren, Travis,
00:25:35
Kelsey, and if we wanted to go anyone else, Ferguson and maybe
00:25:40
Kittle, maybe Kittle. So if you're looking to get one
00:25:44
of these guys as your final in game tight end, if you don't
00:25:47
have Bowers, McBride, one of these other two comes up, who
00:25:50
else would you think is a final four you feel great going to
00:25:53
battle in the final weeks with on your team?
00:25:56
Like we have votes for Warren. Is he clearly #3?
00:25:59
I would love to say Tucker Craft.
00:26:02
Well, true he was. I rode Mr. Crafted in one of my
00:26:06
leagues for quite some time and I feel horrible that he went
00:26:10
down. I think, I think you have to go
00:26:12
Warren. He's he's leading the league in
00:26:14
tight end reception yardage. So like that's a, you know, he's
00:26:19
not, he's not just the only thing about him, he's not got
00:26:22
quite as many touchdowns. He's only got three touchdowns
00:26:25
where if you if you go to like a God or you've got 7, you know,
00:26:31
Ferguson has 6. But they got a lot less yardage
00:26:35
and a lot less receptions. So I think Warren would probably
00:26:38
be my third. How about you Brew?
00:26:41
Yeah, I still like, yeah, I think Warren has justified
00:26:45
himself to be in the top four. I like Ferguson depending on the
00:26:50
match up, though I think he's going to lose too much now that
00:26:54
CD Lamb and Pickens are both kind of.
00:26:57
Those would be the first leads. Yeah, I think so too.
00:27:01
And again, I think if we ever get consistency out of Philly,
00:27:06
got Dallas. Goddard is really good and he
00:27:08
had his four catches last night. Laporta is still someone I feel
00:27:12
like you can not feel horrible if you're going to bat with them
00:27:16
around a Gadsden, the tight end for LA.
00:27:19
He had a bad week this week and he might be hurt, but he's also
00:27:22
someone that's been kind of coming on.
00:27:23
There's a lot of those guys after it just seems like it's
00:27:26
match up based. But I think Bowers and McBride
00:27:28
are match up proof. That's why they're one and two
00:27:30
and it's not even close. And then you got Warren, Kelsey,
00:27:32
Ferguson, Kittle, Goddard, Laporta.
00:27:34
Those guys are all kind of like if you have one of them,
00:27:37
probably all right, but you're almost looking like is this a
00:27:40
good match up or not? Whereas you're never ever giving
00:27:42
a rat's petute if you have Bowers and McBride.
00:27:45
So if those guys accidentally come on the table.
00:27:47
So Bowers is on the block for you this week.
00:27:49
It's hard for me not to put a truckload in to get it's it's a
00:27:52
critical position and if you have the advantage there, I can
00:27:55
win. You can win the whole damn
00:27:57
league with them. Yeah, that's right.
00:27:59
That's. Right, let's do sinners and
00:28:01
Saints briefly. So actually, no, I almost did it
00:28:04
again. Wait, wait, wait.
00:28:05
Sleepers, sleepers. I.
00:28:08
Got to get to sleeper. Make this bigger font.
00:28:11
Let's get down to our sleeper. Sleeper.
00:28:14
Run us through our sleepers. Woo Hoo.
00:28:17
All right, we had Titan Fest last week.
00:28:20
We we did. We predicted.
00:28:23
Absolutely. Harold Fannon, Colston Loveland
00:28:27
and Kate Auten, unfortunately. 3 feet.
00:28:31
Yeah, we actually. So overall we had a pretty good
00:28:34
week. 8.4 from Fannin, 9.5 from Colston Loveland and a 17.2 from
00:28:41
Kate Auten versus New England. Yeah, a huge game from him.
00:28:45
So he hit as a sleeper. The other two were close, but no
00:28:49
cigar. So one out of three puts us at
00:28:53
27% on the year. Our goal is 33.
00:28:57
So we're we're in target range there.
00:29:00
We got a few weeks left to to try to up that, a few more
00:29:03
points, but so yeah, only one of three last week.
00:29:07
Week 12, sorry. Week 11 is coming up.
00:29:11
And Chisholm lead us off with your sleeper pick.
00:29:15
For Week 11, yeah. So as the league, as the week's
00:29:19
go on, the numbers changed a little bit because there's less
00:29:22
people. So Max owned for this week is
00:29:26
50%, so they have to be owned by less than 50% and the leagues
00:29:31
and Yahoo, and we're looking for somebody to get more than 12
00:29:35
points. So it's getting pretty steep
00:29:37
here and it's getting pretty difficult.
00:29:39
We're going to deliver. And I was so excited by the
00:29:42
tight ends last week that I decided to go back to the well.
00:29:45
And I think that Dex was just one week off with his Colston
00:29:48
Loveland pick. I like Colston Loveland,
00:29:50
especially with the matchup against Minnesota.
00:29:53
Think he's going to have opportunity and I think he's
00:29:56
going to get the end zone. So let's go Colston Loveland,
00:29:59
this week's sleeper pick. Dex, how about you?
00:30:03
Yep. So I like that pick.
00:30:05
It's good. And Minnesota does struggle
00:30:07
giving up tight end touchdowns, as we saw with Mark Andrews last
00:30:11
week. Yes.
00:30:12
Anyway, moving on. I like Trey Tucker for the
00:30:16
Raiders. They are hosting Dallas and I
00:30:19
love going against the worst defense in the league or second
00:30:22
worst. So do you think Cincinnati's
00:30:24
worst sounds good? I won't argue with you.
00:30:26
One of the bottom feeders of defense, but Trey Tucker is kind
00:30:30
of a afterthought. Last week, they got Tyler
00:30:32
Lockett involved quick after the trade, which is kind of
00:30:34
surprising. But I think it's going to go
00:30:36
everybody eats this week and Trey Tucker's going to kind of
00:30:39
go back to being that first one because we look at at at Tucker.
00:30:44
I mean, he probably had the best corner on him last week, which
00:30:46
left Lockett with the third defender because Pastor Tan
00:30:49
wasn't there. And so they had the other guy
00:30:51
I'm blanking on right now. He's on Tucker the whole game
00:30:53
this week, though, I don't care who's on them.
00:30:56
It's a Dallas cornerback or a Dallas safety or a Dallas
00:30:59
linebacker. It's the equivalent Chism.
00:31:02
Yeah, it's a Trey Tucker. I'm covering Trey Tucker this
00:31:05
week. It's it so he's 41% owned, so he
00:31:07
should be available in your league.
00:31:09
So if you've got a lava on by or Pittman or downs one of those
00:31:13
guys you've been starting and you need somebody, Trey Tucker
00:31:16
might be a good one to flop in that slot or into your like that
00:31:20
wide wide receiver. So Peru finishes off.
00:31:22
All right, I'm going to go to Jacksonville this week.
00:31:26
I'm I'm in Chisholm's my. Hero.
00:31:30
Yeah, Chisholm's hero Camp Parker Washington, who has
00:31:34
emerged these last couple weeks, 17 points 2 weeks ago, 17.9 this
00:31:41
week against a pretty tough defense in Houston.
00:31:44
They play another tough defense this week, but they will
00:31:47
probably be throwing a lot and I think Parker Washington has kind
00:31:51
of emerged as another viable option in the Jacksonville
00:31:55
offense. I think he's got a decent shot
00:31:57
at scoring A touchdown again this week, so I like him to get
00:32:01
close to that 12 point mark that we're shooting.
00:32:03
For Parker, Washington can't lose.
00:32:05
I love it. He's another guy only owned in
00:32:08
41% of leagues so he's probably available.
00:32:11
All right, so let's move on to centers and Saints.
00:32:13
We'll run through this quick because most of them we've
00:32:15
already talked about, but the ones that killed you, so Brock
00:32:18
Bowers started you off with a terrible Thursday game, which is
00:32:21
what our good friend Lou in another guillotine league.
00:32:25
That kind of set the tone for his week.
00:32:27
So Brock Bowers, one catch for 31, beautiful catch.
00:32:29
You think he would have gotten more that week that game, but
00:32:32
Nope, that's it. You get 1 and you're done.
00:32:35
So after this, after his gargantuan performance the week
00:32:38
before coming back from injury, one catch, so 4.1 that kills
00:32:42
Courtland Sutton, normally pretty dependable, but again,
00:32:45
Denver has not been looking consistent on offense.
00:32:47
He had another subpar performance, 5.4, so only three
00:32:50
catches for 24. We talked about Justin Jefferson
00:32:53
kind of killing you last week, 7.7 only four catches for 37
00:32:57
yards. That was disappointing to say
00:32:59
the least. James Cook and Bijan Robinson,
00:33:02
we highlighted these guys as well, but only 10 points for
00:33:05
both these guys that you mean you're used to 16 plus and a lot
00:33:10
of weeks over 20. So these guys may be on the
00:33:12
block in your leagues. And as we talked about, these
00:33:14
are both top eight guys in our books to take you to the
00:33:17
promised land. So if they're available, go get
00:33:20
them. Go go use your chips if you have
00:33:22
them or just go all in if you're on a low stack of the
00:33:24
Indianapolis Colts wide receivers.
00:33:26
Boy, they were terrible. The Josh Downs, one for three,
00:33:30
Pitman Junior, 2 for 19. You're like, how on earth did
00:33:33
they possibly win? Segway to the Saints?
00:33:37
We had Jonathan Taylor. What's he do?
00:33:41
He scores hat tricks. All he does is score hat tricks.
00:33:43
Three more touchdowns. My goodness.
00:33:46
Oh my gosh, 244 and three touchdowns.
00:33:49
He already has the Colts single season rushing touchdown.
00:33:54
It's halfway through the year, but like we said, it adds up
00:33:57
quick when you do 3 at a time. So the only thing that's going
00:34:01
to slow him down is this week he's on by.
00:34:03
So for all you guys still with your heads, he may be available
00:34:07
next week for you, right? Boy, that would be super helpful
00:34:11
to have the number one that. Would be an all in play.
00:34:14
That is it, like everything plus one on the lowest stack if you
00:34:18
are in the big chips. Devon A Chan so 40.5 What a game
00:34:23
against Buffalo. He had 6 catches for 51 yards in
00:34:27
addition to his 174 and two touchdowns.
00:34:31
I could not believe he had such a good game against Buffalo.
00:34:34
And he's looking faster. I'm watching him and like he
00:34:36
doesn't look like he's like beaten up which is crazy giving
00:34:40
how much he's the only guy on the team.
00:34:43
I know it's, it's ironic. He's normally the one that's
00:34:45
nicked with ankles and calves and all sorts of weird stuff,
00:34:47
but he looks fresh as a Daisy out there and wasn't getting
00:34:50
touched. Jamir Gibbs, 15 for 1:42 and
00:34:54
2:00 touchdowns, had three more catches for 30 yards and another
00:34:57
touchdown. So he got you 3 as well.
00:35:00
Can't, can't argue with that. Dan Campbell started calling the
00:35:03
plays. Two dudes hadn't been doing much
00:35:06
lately. Suddenly started doing a lot.
00:35:08
I'll get to the other one later. But Trevion Henderson, the guy
00:35:11
we've been waiting for all season, I, I'm going to fully
00:35:15
believe this next year now. I will not draft rookies.
00:35:18
I'll wait until mid season. Say it now.
00:35:21
Even the ones that look really good in pre season, there's no
00:35:23
way they shouldn't be ahead of Rafumblay Stevenson's.
00:35:26
You just got to wait until those old dirtbags get hurt with a
00:35:30
foot injury and then they will break off 50 plus yard runs
00:35:34
repeatedly and have time to look at the bench to ask if they
00:35:36
should slide or not on their second long touchdown of the
00:35:40
year. Should I go down of the game?
00:35:41
I mean, yeah, that was pretty amazing if you saw that.
00:35:43
Did you see that one through? I did not, no.
00:35:46
He's. He's asking for help during the
00:35:48
run. Like it was towards the end of
00:35:50
the game, he could just slide in.
00:35:51
He's looking at the bench like he's just so far ahead of the
00:35:54
defense. He blew through the oh, this
00:35:57
isn't to be that fast. I mean, that's isn't right.
00:36:00
Most people don't have time to have a conversation with the
00:36:02
bench on like whether I should slide or not.
00:36:04
That's that's like Bo Jackson and Tecmo Bowl.
00:36:07
It is. Run some circles while you're
00:36:10
having a conversation with the sideline.
00:36:11
He actually did do that little line.
00:36:12
He went up and then kind of went over at the goal line.
00:36:15
He was doing the wiggles, He was doing his Techno Bowl
00:36:18
impersonation. It was fantastic.
00:36:20
Trey McBride. So this one that Chisholm had
00:36:23
nine for 1:27 and a touchdown. Amazingly, he gets the best tied
00:36:27
in in a week. He needs it and 27.7.
00:36:31
There it is. And I don't know anybody out
00:36:33
there that would have done this, but this is a waiver wire gem.
00:36:37
Davis Mills What? Right.
00:36:39
What? Yeah, he was a top quarterback
00:36:41
this week. No, he wasn't.
00:36:42
Yes, he was. I can't believe it either.
00:36:45
Davis 92 yards, 2 touchdowns in three rushes for 20 yards and
00:36:49
another touchdown. 27 points. What?
00:36:53
How on earth did Davis Mills outscore Stafford?
00:36:56
Who's next on the list? 280 and four touchdowns.
00:36:59
But Davis Mills for Houston, filling in for CJ Stroud might
00:37:03
only be in A1 weaker, but jeez, he hooked you up.
00:37:06
If you just did a Hail Mary on that guy, 'cause you had CJ.
00:37:09
That's crazy. This one kind of sad 'cause I
00:37:12
hope he's not out long. Jackson Dart so against Chicago,
00:37:16
and it just shows you how bad Russell Wilson is.
00:37:18
So Jackson Dart leaves with a lead in Chicago and comes out of
00:37:23
concussion protocol at the end of the game and he's.
00:37:25
Lost. He's like, what?
00:37:26
Did you do Russell Wilson? God Dang, man, I gave you the
00:37:29
lead. Just don't stop, man.
00:37:31
Just keep it. But Jackson Darts was the.
00:37:34
Love of us did not. Deliver but before he left, he
00:37:37
had 242 yards, no passing touchdowns, but he ran 66 yards
00:37:42
for two rushing scores for Jackson Dart.
00:37:44
So next year, man, I think we're going to be talking about
00:37:46
Jackson Dart as potentially one of these in game quarterbacks.
00:37:50
We'll see if who's coaching, what's going on.
00:37:52
Malik Neighbors needs to come back healthy.
00:37:54
Scataboo needs to come back healthy.
00:37:56
But man, Jack's dark. He could be a good one for next
00:37:58
year. And then we'll go a couple.
00:37:59
White House with Drake London and Mike Eggbuca.
00:38:01
Both had great games. Jameson Williams back from the
00:38:04
dead, needs and six for 1/19 and a touchdown.
00:38:07
I feel like we haven't said his name all season.
00:38:09
Right, this is I. Think the first time that
00:38:12
Jameson Williams has been mentioned.
00:38:15
So I made the. Mistake of drafting him early.
00:38:18
Well, not early, but early enough because he only had one
00:38:21
touchdown prior to last week, I think, and I ended up dropping
00:38:25
him. So he's he bet you're I like
00:38:26
what you said Dex with with Dan Campbell calling the plays.
00:38:29
Maybe maybe he gets work back in.
00:38:31
Maybe he's somebody who is worth.
00:38:33
A shot to not have your deep shot deep field threat.
00:38:36
Like why would you not use him more often?
00:38:38
I mean Amin Raj is always going to be covering the mid range and
00:38:41
just slams the crosses. I just feel like unless he's
00:38:44
just not been open, maybe they've been double teaming him,
00:38:46
but it doesn't look like it. Feel like just the the
00:38:48
Playbook's been calling for the short path they've.
00:38:50
Been double teaming him. That's what I'm at too late,
00:38:52
right? I mean, you can have a safety
00:38:54
just over the top but ain't doubling them let's.
00:38:57
Go with single coverage on Laporta and yeah St.
00:39:01
Brown and and double Jameson. Yeah, that sounds like the right
00:39:04
play. That sounds like the right play.
00:39:06
All right. Now I want to, I want to circle
00:39:08
back to a couple of the centers. The last two I want to talk
00:39:10
about, because they are. My question is, are they
00:39:13
droppable to make them other people's problems because
00:39:15
everybody's got them on a team. DK, Metcalf, A.J.
00:39:18
Brown, are we done with them like so much that you would just
00:39:23
cut them to make them someone else's problem to start them?
00:39:26
So DK 3 for 35 and AJ2 for thirteen.
00:39:30
My God, if these are your starting team, White House, you
00:39:32
felt great week one in Guillotine, but you probably
00:39:36
lost your head a long time ago. But if you're looking at these
00:39:38
twos, I can't put them on my team in guillo right now.
00:39:42
There's just no way because they're they've had far more bad
00:39:46
performances and good performances.
00:39:49
I are, are they roster for you? I don't think so for DK.
00:39:54
I'll speak for DK. You can talk about the other
00:39:58
one, AJ A.J. Brown.
00:40:00
The other initials, yeah. Yeah, all the initials.
00:40:03
We got the initials going here. I mean, you started out pretty
00:40:06
strong. I'm looking at back at at the
00:40:08
season performance for DK Metcalf.
00:40:10
Yeah, 12.3, eleven 12.2. Then he jumped to 23 one week by
00:40:16
week and then 19 1/2. So you're like middle of the
00:40:20
season, like OK, this is turning into something.
00:40:23
And then he throws up an 8, A 2.6 and a 6.5.
00:40:29
If you're on top by then it's. Yeah, I just, I think the floor
00:40:32
is too low. You got to have a high floor
00:40:34
like we've been preaching from before the season even started.
00:40:38
Yeah. Right.
00:40:38
That's how you guarantee you're you're moving on each week is
00:40:41
that you finish higher than somebody and that means high
00:40:44
high floor for all your players and DK Metcalf, I don't think
00:40:49
gives it to you. I think you got to he's.
00:40:51
Just not giving you enough catches each week, yeah.
00:40:54
Let me. Four, I mean week nine against
00:40:58
Indy, 4 targets, 2 catches for six yards.
00:41:03
That's a it just destroys you and that's your #1 white out.
00:41:06
Yeah, it's not good. Can't do it.
00:41:08
Well, I can. I can tell you.
00:41:10
Let me give you a list of reasons why I'm dropping A.J.
00:41:13
Brown at this stage. Yeah, Alec Pierce, Keshawn
00:41:19
Booty, Hollywood Brown, Jameson Williams, Romeo Dobbs, Trey
00:41:26
Tucker and Raheed Shaheed have all scored more points than A.J.
00:41:33
Brown. Therefore, I do not have any use
00:41:37
for A.J. Brown anymore if I can pick up
00:41:39
Hollywood Brown. And get the same production.
00:41:42
And get the same production or James Brown if I can pick up
00:41:45
yeah, James Brown if I can pick up Romeo Dobbs, yeah, OK.
00:41:52
Romeo Dobbs, like he is not, he is not even the best Brown in
00:42:02
the league. Like there's no way with that
00:42:06
dysfunctional offense, with all the talent and that low scoring,
00:42:11
I can't because you know when you have Hollywood Brown and he
00:42:15
puts up four or five points, you're like, yeah, he's the 3rd,
00:42:19
4th best, 5th best option on the team.
00:42:22
When you have A.J. Brown and he puts up three
00:42:26
points, brutal. It's absolutely madding.
00:42:29
There's no. There's no reason for it.
00:42:32
So Kamara and A.J. Brown, they're at the same table
00:42:35
for me, yes. But off my team, they were
00:42:38
great, great fantasy players for years and years and years,
00:42:40
right? Took many, many titles home for
00:42:42
their owners. Not this year.
00:42:45
I know. I just don't even know why he'd
00:42:47
pretend to start them anymore. Even on your team, because
00:42:50
they'll be tempted. You'll be tempted to put in that
00:42:52
three points. You'll be like.
00:42:53
Don't do it AJ. He could have a huge like.
00:42:56
This is the week they're. Just right.
00:42:58
And it might be. Tempted.
00:42:59
But one in six weeks is not a solid thing like we just read
00:43:04
off a bunch of White House. Those are the ones you want to
00:43:06
try and get when they get dropped in a bad week.
00:43:08
Here's the nail in the coffin. You know who has four less
00:43:12
points than A.J. Brown?
00:43:15
Parker, Washington. OK.
00:43:18
Parker, WA. He does 80.
00:43:20
Five points. A.J.
00:43:22
Brown is 89, so come on. Yeah, it's awful.
00:43:27
It's awful. That's bad.
00:43:29
All right, so that's into sinners and Saints.
00:43:31
I want to jump into the spuds. So Prue, bring us into the
00:43:35
spuds. Surely we're doing better on
00:43:37
spuds and sleepers? Oh, we are lots better. 6%
00:43:42
better. There we go.
00:43:44
Last week, last week we did super great, I think.
00:43:48
Yeah, we were up at 35% I think until this last week and.
00:43:53
We. Threw up a big zero.
00:43:56
We had 3 predictions none of them worked out.
00:44:01
Ashton Gente against Denver he was not great but he did have a
00:44:06
touchdown that put him up over the 11 point mark.
00:44:10
Was our target last week he had 15.3 so with the touchdown he he
00:44:15
bumped up from you know, 9.3 up to 15.3 making him not a spud.
00:44:24
Dex took Debo Samuel versus Detroit.
00:44:28
I think Debo also scored a touchdown.
00:44:31
He did. He's 4 for 29, so he was not
00:44:33
lighting up the old. Fat ball got in the end zone.
00:44:37
That was uncovered in the back of the end zone for one.
00:44:40
And Detroit guys were looking at each other and like, hey, I
00:44:43
thought you had, I thought you had a fit.
00:44:45
Well. Sort of a.
00:44:46
And they gave a touchdown, so his 29 yards.
00:44:49
So that was seven of his or whatever 7 plus of his 12.9 were
00:44:54
on one play. But he he did pass the 11 point
00:44:59
mark that we were looking for. Passed it.
00:45:01
So he also was a non spud barely.
00:45:07
And then Breece Hall Chisholm's anytime touchdown.
00:45:11
Machine. Slash spud pick.
00:45:13
Unbelievable. Breece Hall, against a tough
00:45:17
Cleveland defense, somehow found a way to score 19 1/2 points.
00:45:23
Yeah, the 41 yard reception for a touchdown was really the one
00:45:28
that did that. So I was 11 points right there.
00:45:31
Yeah, so there it is, 11 points did.
00:45:34
Did did Justin Fields throw him that touchdown?
00:45:39
No, no. I.
00:45:41
Don't know. It's, it's funny we have to even
00:45:42
ask the question because he only had, I think 60 yards total. 60
00:45:46
yards was was was 40 of it to breeze all on that one one play.
00:45:51
Yeah. So Justin Fields, 54 yards.
00:45:55
The 41 yard reception was by Justin Fields.
00:45:59
Oh my gosh. So 54 total passing yards and 41
00:46:03
was on one play. That is.
00:46:05
Oh that's crazy. I don't know how well I do know
00:46:08
how they lost cause special teams.
00:46:10
The Jets special teams scored back-to-back touchdowns on a
00:46:13
kick return in a punt return. Oh, that's right.
00:46:16
I saw that. Yeah, yeah.
00:46:17
They did fourth quarter. Justin Fields does a short right
00:46:20
complete. I think he threw it in the
00:46:21
backfield almost. I mean, is a forward pass, but
00:46:24
that's about, yeah. Not saying that I could do that,
00:46:28
I'm sure I would miss him, but man, I'll tell you. 54 yards is
00:46:34
brutal. You know who's you know who's
00:46:36
you know who should you know who should be busier than a A1
00:46:40
legged man in a butt kicking contest?
00:46:42
The quarterback coach for The Jets.
00:46:44
That's who should be busier than the one Like, Like what?
00:46:47
What are you working on? Yeah.
00:46:50
What is? What is it?
00:46:52
We've got to work on. I don't deal with.
00:46:54
Let's work on running 3. Yards hitch route from the tight
00:46:58
end or something like just. It's brutal, so bad.
00:47:01
Oh my gosh. All right, so who are we going
00:47:03
with Spuds this week? All right, I'm going to start
00:47:06
out with a guy that I was pretty high on early in the season.
00:47:09
He's been showing some flashes of brilliance from week to week.
00:47:12
But this week I do not like the the matchup Ateterola McMillan
00:47:17
faces Atlanta this week. He's supposed to get nearly 15
00:47:21
points and Atlanta's been shutting down wide receivers
00:47:24
pretty well. Carolina's showing some, you
00:47:28
know, some life here mid season. Like we talked about last week,
00:47:32
they're they're starting to put things together, but I just
00:47:35
don't see it this week against Atlanta.
00:47:37
They've been, they've been tough on, on wide receivers and Tedro
00:47:42
has not been showing great. The last, I think 3 of the last
00:47:46
four weeks he's been under 10 points.
00:47:48
So I don't think he's going to get his 15 points this week.
00:47:52
It's true. Watch out for Rico Donnell,
00:47:53
though. If you watch his little tape
00:47:55
from last week, he'll say, yeah, the the Falcons may stop the
00:47:58
white outs, but boy, the holes are wide open.
00:48:00
If you want to run through them, right, I'm going to take Derrick
00:48:05
Henry, so perennial stud Hall of Famer, but he's going to go to
00:48:10
Cleveland this week. And that that Baltimore offense
00:48:14
just doesn't. I mean, I know they put up 27
00:48:17
against the Vikings, but it wasn't behind Derrick Henry
00:48:21
really. So right.
00:48:23
I just, he just looks like he's lost his step.
00:48:25
He had 75 yards, nothing to sneeze at, but that's kind of
00:48:28
it. He doesn't get involved in the
00:48:30
passing game. He's going to have to get a
00:48:32
touchdown. But that's one thing Cleveland's
00:48:34
really good is not letting you score rushing touchdowns.
00:48:36
So Derrick Henry is my spud for this week.
00:48:38
I think it's going to be a low scoring affair and I think that
00:48:42
Derrick Henry is just going to have another tough struggle.
00:48:45
So the first week, our first game they had this year, he was
00:48:48
11 for 23. No catches in that game.
00:48:51
Also had Lamar Jackson. So it's not like there's going
00:48:54
to be a difference. These teams know each other
00:48:56
really well. Even if he gets 80 yards
00:48:59
rushing, that might be it. So it's not going to be a lot of
00:49:02
catches and I don't think he's going to be getting a rushing
00:49:03
touchdown this week. So Derrick Henry is my spud this
00:49:06
week against Cleveland. Chisholm finish this out.
00:49:10
I do not like Stephon Diggs this week and the reason why is he's
00:49:17
playing The Jets and because they've got.
00:49:19
Sauce Gardner and all those. Oh, wait, yeah, quit Willie.
00:49:23
No. Oh.
00:49:24
And that's exactly why I don't like Stephon Diggs, because I
00:49:27
think they're going to be so far ahead they do not have a need to
00:49:31
throw the ball to Dicks. I think we're going to get a
00:49:34
steady diet of Trayvon Henderson, your favorite boy.
00:49:38
Dex. Yeah, this is going to be a
00:49:39
heavy run game and likely bad weather in the Northeast.
00:49:44
Yep. No reason to throw the ball up
00:49:47
when you're playing The Jets. You don't need to.
00:49:50
It's true story. So run it and I think you'll see
00:49:53
is some some Drake May runs as well, but not a lot of risky
00:49:57
passes. So I don't like digs against The
00:49:59
Jets. He's predicted to get 15.58, but
00:50:03
I think he's going to get less than 12.
00:50:06
So digs is my spud, but the six of those will.
00:50:10
Be an anytime touchdown if you're interested that's.
00:50:12
True. However, maybe one per 6 Has it
00:50:18
alternate any time touchdown. Yeah, for Stefan Diggs, the
00:50:22
history, although not a predictor of the future, would
00:50:25
say there's a good chance he scores.
00:50:27
That's right. All right, let's go into our
00:50:29
gambling Chism. Take us through.
00:50:31
I know we're coming off a hit in our Monday night power parley,
00:50:34
so hopefully you got involved in that one.
00:50:36
We did take some money with us. That's a great one.
00:50:39
Follow us on the socials, folks, because usually these common
00:50:42
bunches, we just hit a three for three on the power parlay.
00:50:46
We had some trash talkers out there that were telling us that
00:50:49
we didn't know what we were doing and by half a yard we're
00:50:52
damn right we did know what we were doing.
00:50:54
And and two half of receptions. Yeah, and two half receptions
00:51:00
minus Get in My Teeth, we got the power parlay.
00:51:04
The closest one ever. A lot.
00:51:06
Of people, I, I will say a lot of people talk on those parlays
00:51:10
and say, oh, you only got 2 out of three, that's a loss.
00:51:13
You're right for strictly A parlay since it is a loss.
00:51:16
But let me encourage you. If you don't want a parlay, bet
00:51:19
those individually because individually we had at a very
00:51:22
high rate. We need to calculate that at
00:51:24
some point, you know, but we're definitely over 50% on those
00:51:28
power parlays when you look at the individual picks and we've
00:51:31
done really well in the single game parlays.
00:51:33
So follow us either on YouTube, on TikTok, Facebook, Instagram,
00:51:38
or on all those and we post those before the game so you can
00:51:41
get in and play with us. Make some money.
00:51:43
We've done well this year, but let's get to our regular picks.
00:51:47
So we pick three games every week and overall for the season,
00:51:52
we are doing quite well. 57% Vegas will not like you if you
00:51:56
get 57% because you're doing well.
00:51:58
So we're making money this this this year on the picks.
00:52:03
Last week we got two of three. We gave you a New England plus 2
00:52:06
1/2 versus Tampa that was from Prue.
00:52:09
That's a winner. And hopefully you threw a dollar
00:52:12
or two on the money line like I did.
00:52:14
Hopefully you take the dollar two of the money line because
00:52:17
that you got that. We got the bears -3 1/2 versus
00:52:21
the Giants. That was a close one.
00:52:23
That was a close one. Hopefully.
00:52:25
Hopefully you got it in early because the line moved, but we
00:52:28
got it at 3 1/2 and we cleared the the total there.
00:52:34
And then I was a little off and I have been a little off for the
00:52:38
last few weeks. Seattle, Arizona, I typically
00:52:41
like divisional unders because there's a lot of familiarity.
00:52:46
Wasn't informed that Arizona wasn't going to show up in the
00:52:49
first quarter. I think, I think Seattle scored
00:52:52
28 in the first quarter. It was something like that.
00:52:55
That was on the ropes right from the get go.
00:52:59
We did not get the under 45 1/2 there, but two out of three for
00:53:03
a. Good week.
00:53:04
I think it just missed one at 66 points.
00:53:08
I think it was 3 touchdowns or so is what we missed by so
00:53:12
missed it. It's a little off.
00:53:15
So much for for Jacoby Brissett being a a downer on that offense
00:53:19
too, because they ended up putting up some.
00:53:20
These points too. But this week we feel like, so
00:53:25
the last I'll give you know, we've we've been meddling here
00:53:29
for the last couple weeks. We've got, you know, one of
00:53:31
three, two of three 1/3. This feels like a three or
00:53:34
three-week to me, guys. I'm feeling like I'm going to
00:53:37
get to a little little hot streak here.
00:53:39
And who's going to start us off? Ryan Pruitt, What do we got for
00:53:43
this week's pick? All right.
00:53:46
I am kind of with you, Chaz. I like the divisional matchups
00:53:49
like you, you kind of gravitated, gravitated toward
00:53:52
that last week. Normally it isn't under.
00:53:54
This week was kind of a fluke for Seattle and Arizona.
00:53:57
I'm going to go to a different division and a different
00:53:59
divisional matchup this week. Cleveland faces Baltimore.
00:54:04
Cleveland's getting 8 1/2 points and the total.
00:54:06
It's a lot in the Division game. Yeah, it is a lot in a division
00:54:10
game and I think the total was like 43 1/2, something like
00:54:13
that. Low total, high spread.
00:54:15
Like it, like it, like it. Right low total, high spread.
00:54:19
You take the underdog. I like Cleveland plus 8 1/2.
00:54:22
I think they keep it within a touchdown for sure.
00:54:26
Defense is just good. Yeah, it's a.
00:54:28
Good defense. If their special teams show up,
00:54:31
it should be very easy to do. If they, if they can absolutely
00:54:35
continue to shut down Derrick Henry.
00:54:38
Yep. Right.
00:54:39
And force Lamar to throw. Lamar's a great quarterback.
00:54:42
They're going to put up some points, but I I think Cleveland
00:54:45
can hold it under control enough to stay within a touchdown.
00:54:48
I agree. I like it, Dex.
00:54:50
Let's hear what you got for us. You have had a Let's see, you've
00:54:54
earned a little bit of hot streak here.
00:54:56
You've had two in a row. Two in a row, we're getting it
00:54:58
back. We're we're going back to Stinky
00:55:00
instead of the ones I like and Stinky's work.
00:55:02
So this one like, oh God, you are off the rocker.
00:55:06
So did you not watch the game? So I'm going Green Bay -7 1/2 at
00:55:12
the new. Power offense at Green Bay.
00:55:14
That's right. That scored 20 total points at
00:55:17
home the last two games against the Eagles and Panthers.
00:55:20
That's the same team. That's the same team.
00:55:22
So right when you start thinking A-Team sucks and it can't do
00:55:24
anything and it's a terrible offense is exactly when they
00:55:27
start scoring saying just kidding.
00:55:30
They're also the team that scored 352727 the previous three
00:55:34
games and the Giants probably without Jackson Dart having to
00:55:38
go back to the well of Russell Wilson in that corpse.
00:55:42
He's damn here a zombie man. If you've seen the new Wednesday
00:55:46
series, he's Slurp. So Russell Wilson is Slurp right
00:55:49
now. Just trying to eat some brains.
00:55:51
Dug him up out of the the Meadowlands.
00:55:54
I don't see it. He's good.
00:55:56
For a pick 6 or a fumble or something.
00:55:58
Absolutely. He's going to do something now.
00:56:00
He came in and just blew the game against Chicago.
00:56:02
I need him to be the whole 60 minutes of sucking, and this
00:56:05
should be an easy cover. But it's stinky.
00:56:07
It doesn't sound like it should because Green Bay sucks, right?
00:56:09
Yeah. So that's what it is.
00:56:10
And the hook too. You're like 7 1/2.
00:56:13
That's awful. But great, I like it.
00:56:15
So I'm going with that. One, I got a question for you
00:56:18
here. Yep.
00:56:19
If my my second favorite player in the NFL gets the start
00:56:24
instead famous Jameis Winston, does that change anything?
00:56:29
No, because he throws so many picks.
00:56:31
I know it's so great though. It is.
00:56:35
I I feel like if Jameis Winston starts though, here's a little
00:56:38
added Pick not official. Take the over.
00:56:40
Yeah, no matter what it. Is sixes and there will be
00:56:43
touchdowns. Take me over.
00:56:45
James Hudson starts this. Game, yeah, which will then also
00:56:47
make Green Bay throw the ball more.
00:56:49
It'll be fun. So I I like Green Bay no matter
00:56:51
who started. I think they're the better team.
00:56:52
I think they're a playoff caliber team.
00:56:54
The Giants are not at this point, they are just hurting and
00:56:57
they have a new head coach, which sometimes you get that new
00:56:59
head coach rally. Yeah, I don't know.
00:57:04
I don't see it. Yeah, it's just it's just hard
00:57:06
for me to get past that. So the stinkiness is a 7 1/2 and
00:57:09
just there's too much going on. It's the whole change this week.
00:57:12
It's just going to be tough for them and Green Bay's mad.
00:57:15
So I think Green Bay, there's a lot of.
00:57:16
Chaos in new. York, they have to.
00:57:18
It's a must win game for Green Bay.
00:57:19
They can't lose. Three, it really is.
00:57:21
And stay in the playoff hunt. All right?
00:57:23
Cheers. Finish this up All right.
00:57:26
I'm doing, I'm on a cold streak so I've lost three in a row and
00:57:30
I had done really well up to that important season.
00:57:33
So going to do some uncharacteristic things here,
00:57:36
things I would never do #1 I never bet on my team, that's the
00:57:42
first thing I don't do #2 I never leave the hook, especially
00:57:48
in an interdivisional game. But here we go.
00:57:51
Let me get let me tell you what I do like.
00:57:53
So 26 buy games in one Andy Reid's 26 games after a buy in
00:58:00
Andy Reid's career. How many of those games do you
00:58:04
think Andy Reid has won? 2020 Yeah 21 22. 22 of 26 he is
00:58:12
at 84% winning percentage. If you add in the post season
00:58:16
where you get a buy 'cause you get a week off, he is in 36
00:58:20
games. He is 30 and 6 after a buy so.
00:58:26
He's OK. Then you give you give Andy an
00:58:29
extra week to plan. Yeah.
00:58:31
And you give Andy an extra week to to plan against a team that
00:58:35
he's got a bit of a grudge against.
00:58:37
And you give Patty a little grudge.
00:58:39
And right now there's a lot of talk about Denver, how great
00:58:42
Denver is and how they're leading the division and the
00:58:45
baton may being passed now and Bo Nicks and blah, blah, blah,
00:58:50
blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
00:58:52
Guess what? They're going to come in pissed
00:58:54
and they're going to come in wanting to make a statement.
00:58:56
And you talk about must win. This is an absolute must.
00:58:58
Win. For the Chiefs to have a shot at
00:59:01
any kind of decent position for the playoffs, add in that JK
00:59:06
Dons is probably out and we're going to get a rookie running
00:59:09
back for the Broncos, which is going to mean Beau's going to
00:59:14
throw a lot more and he hasn't been throwing that.
00:59:16
Great. Lately, no.
00:59:17
He's looked a lot like T. All I have to say, he has all I
00:59:21
have to say. Lock it up, chiefs -3 1/2 on the
00:59:25
road at Denver. Introduced arrival.
00:59:28
It stinks to high heavens. High heavens.
00:59:30
Take it, take it all day. Take it all day.
00:59:33
So lock it up. We've got 3 picks that we like.
00:59:38
We've got Cleveland plus 8 1/2 versus Baltimore.
00:59:41
We got Green Bay -7 a half at the Giants.
00:59:45
We've got the chiefs -3 1/2 at Denver.
00:59:50
I'm smelling winner, winner. Chicken dinner.
00:59:52
Bet them individually, bet them all together, make some money
00:59:56
and buy a yacht. Those are our locks for the
00:59:58
week. Let's go shrewdness.
01:00:00
Betting. Let's do it.
01:00:02
I love it all right. One quick note on the Denver
01:00:06
team, Broncos have five wins by a total of 13 points.
01:00:13
Yeah, tight games. They can, they can.
01:00:18
They can surprise some people. I hope we can put them away
01:00:20
early, but they've had a lot of luck on their side.
01:00:22
I think their luck runs out this week.
01:00:25
Yep, and Patty, we trust. Let's go get them.
01:00:27
One last note before we wrap, don't forget we were going to
01:00:30
talk about this, but in a lot of guillotine leagues, as you're
01:00:33
putting your bids in tonight, don't forget that a lot of
01:00:36
guillotine leagues you're not allowed to to pick up players
01:00:39
after a certain week. And most of the time, that's
01:00:41
after the week 13, after the last chance you get.
01:00:45
After week 14, usually the rosters lock, so you'll have
01:00:48
your final four teams at that point for 15/16/17 and that's
01:00:52
that's it. So this is 10/11, 12:13.
01:00:56
These are your last four bidding periods.
01:00:57
You get these really good guys and then after that you don't
01:01:00
get to keep getting All Stars. So that's why we got to lock
01:01:02
them down. So I want to give you one more
01:01:04
in game kind of who he thinks the the best ones.
01:01:06
And again, you can argue that someone else's, that's fine.
01:01:09
But if you have these guys, if you have probably at least six
01:01:12
of these dudes somehow at least 5, but if you can get 6, you're
01:01:16
in great shape trying to take the whole thing down.
01:01:18
That's right. Yeah.
01:01:19
So think about it in terms of four more weeks of bidding, not
01:01:22
8 more weeks of bidding. So that's right.
01:01:24
Correct. That's how you're managing those
01:01:26
$5, all right. Cool.
01:01:29
Can't wait to see if we can keep pushing it on.
01:01:32
Let's see. Let's see how this week goes.
01:01:35
That's right. Should be a fun week.
01:01:37
We got some important games. We highlighted a couple of them.
01:01:39
There's some playoff implications on these things and
01:01:42
we have a huge for guillotine again, Doe Jonathan Taylor.
01:01:45
So No 3 touchdowns for you team owners out there to have him.
01:01:48
So good luck to you. I hope you make it through the
01:01:50
bye week and until next week. We will get you all ready to go.
01:01:54
But stay shrewd. Stay shrewd, Bellas.