The Shrewdness tackles second half strategy for guillotine leagues. AJ Barner gets his revenge. Week 10 betting locks.
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Ladies and gentlemen, it's time for the shrewdness.
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Hopefully you still out of your head.
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We are getting deep into the season now, though we're over
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halfway. We turned the corner now.
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So we just finished Week 9, which puts us over the halfway
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point. So if you're still alive, you
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are in the minority and hopefully we will help you stay
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in the minority because we've got some hot takes where we're
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going to go over what was an incredibly exciting Week 9 in
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the NFL. After a bunch of snoozers in
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Week 8, the NFL always comes back.
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And Week 9 was like great game, great game, great game, great
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game. It was all tons of fun, lots of
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exciting games. With the exception of last
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night's game, Cowboys and Arizona was pretty lousy, but
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everything else was a pretty good well and Sunday night game.
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So the two prime time games were the only stinkers this week.
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All the games on Sunday were really good, but let's start off
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by doing a little bit of a recap and see where we landed.
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Dex, take us away. All right, so let's go with the
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Guillotine graveyard. Another team, bites of dust.
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Let's see what we can learn as a collective from this in
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Guillotine world. So the Blues Avengers go down in
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our shrewdness listener league. So that was my brother's team.
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So now there's no family members left in this league.
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Was it your brother's team or was it the Chiefs?
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I wasn't. I wasn't sure.
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It's one in the. Same.
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It's one in the same. So it was kind of what I threw
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out. So we can start off with the
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lessons learned and it's what I told him back on draft day.
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Like just don't stack. You don't stack like you can do
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in regular fantasy because 1 bad week, you're done.
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So the stack of Mahomes, Kelsey and Cream Hunt, which is worked
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like gangbusters all season. Yep, you get Mahomes worst week.
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Which couples into no touchdowns for Kelsey?
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Which couples into no touchdowns for Kareem.
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Yeah, hey man. Well, I guess Cream did get one,
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but it wasn't a passing touchdown.
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So that's kind of what happens. So 10.5 points from a Holmes,
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his worst career percentage passing ever 40. 4%.
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So at Buffalo. Which I just got to say, I know
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I'm, I know we're, I know we're homers.
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But yeah, if your worst game ever you lose by.
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A touchdown. A touchdown.
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Against Buffalo, a Super Bowl favorite on the road?
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Yeah. All right.
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You could do worse, all right. Yeah.
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So he had the the ones that killed him.
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So he had Travis Hunter go on the IR last week That hurt.
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Bucky Irving he's had out for weeks also hurt.
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And then the guy who keeps on sucking lately, and it's
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surprising because we had him at the beginning doing really well,
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is Roma Dunze. So a zero.
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And he's had some, he's had a month of spud performances now,
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like he's a pure potato in the eyes.
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And I don't know who's really picking up the slack 'cause you
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look across me. DJ Moore's not really
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gangbusters by any means. Luther Burns, not gangbusters.
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Cole Comet and Colston Loveland, they're just kind of spreading
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it out. But in a game where you score
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what, 4040? 7:40.
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Six points I know, and you get 3 targets and no catches in a game
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with 90 freaking points? That's hard to believe, man.
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So and. A and a Bengals and a Bengals
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corner covering you. I know we can start right there,
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like the worst defense is right there.
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So that was a surprise. Just a doomsday.
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In a game like that, you'd expect to see something, but
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instead a whole bunch of nothing.
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And then the the one we warned you about, we said cut them
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while you can try and trade them.
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Make him someone else's problem. Alvin Kamara Wow, 0.7 points
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rough. That's right, 0.7, So not only.
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Did he lose that season? Oh my gosh, it's just brutal for
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him. So 6 rushes, 14 yards, one catch
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for three and he lost a fumble. So he he was at 1.7 or 2.7
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points and then lost a fumble. So that was just atrocious.
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So you can't really survive that.
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That's what happened there. The stacking hurt because 1 bad
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week in a stack team kills you and then you can't ever, you
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know, expect zeros from the number one white out on a team
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that scores over 40 points. But hey, weird stuff happens in
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the NFL every single week. And this week was just that.
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So we'll go later on. We'll talk about our sinners and
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Saints, but there's some surprises on that list too.
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But for the Blues Avenger, great year.
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Hope you had a good time. And that's just the way
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guillotine rolls, man. So hopefully on to the zombie
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league, which we're going to be doing here at the shrewdness.
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Be kind of fun. So if the other league
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commissioners out there, if you don't do this, it's it's a fan
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favorite, man. We love it, the players love it.
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Other leagues do it. The first nine people out, you
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do a a zombie league. So they're all dead and it's the
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zombie league and you do it again.
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So you get people kind of back into it to do the second-half of
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the season. And so he has a little sipper
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buy in, but kind of usually more winner takes all in this one.
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It's kind of fun. So think about if you're a
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commissioner in that league and you're hearing this like, yeah,
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this is a good idea. It is.
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It's a great idea, so you do it. All right, so let's go into our
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survival strategy. So for all those chopped
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players, what do you do now? We're getting later in the
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season. You've been saving your fab.
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You've been holding it on to it. Miserly.
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Pruitt, take us through who got people chopped.
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We talked about a couple of them, but who else is out there
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and if they are available in your league, what do we bid on
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these guys? We talked about quite a few of
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them, actually. So top 10 Mahomes was #1 and
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Doons Day was #2 Gibbs and Jonathan Taylor.
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Believe it or not, we're both in the top 10.
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Unbelievable. Shakon Barkley.
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Finally didn't score 50 points in the.
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Week. Yeah yeah, finally didn't run
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gangbusters. So Saquon Barkley on the list
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again. It's been a rough season.
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And then Kamara. That we weekly offender.
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Yeah, he's on buy. I mean, it's not really his
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fault this time. Yeah, right.
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True. No, no, that's true.
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That's true. But yeah, those are the top 10
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lists for players cut this week. And like you alluded to, couple
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were on buy Tucker Craft also on that list.
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Yeah, that's so season ending ACL injury for him.
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Yeah, that's what we talked about.
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Before, sometimes when your guys get hurt, if it's at the end of
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the game, fourth quarter, that was bad.
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Tucker Craft, unfortunately, 2 catches for 20 yards and then he
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goes out, which is kind of kills you early.
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I think it was second quarter maybe.
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So that was a a killer for his owners out there 'cause was he's
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pretty much operating top three in all fantasy leagues,
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basically, no by independent format, right?
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So that's a big loss. Right.
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Yep. So So what do you do to your
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question earlier, Dex? What do you do with that?
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We got four teams on buy three teams for all intents and
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purposes for fantasy Cincinnati, Dallas and Casey and Tennessee.
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Don't forget Nash Vegas man. Oh yeah.
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Don't forget Kiga Conquo. Right, Cam Ward's there to throw
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you 4 points if you need it. Yeah, so with with Cincy out
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this week, obviously you lose Jamar, Chase, T Higgins, TF and
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Higgins. Yeah.
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Chase, Brown, Dallas, you got Ferguson, Lamb, Javonte,
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Williams, DAC, Prescott and Pickens.
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And then with Casey out, obviously the big three there
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also Worthy and Hunt, maybe Pacheco and then a lot of
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people. Tennessee, hopefully you're not
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starting anybody from Tennessee. Don't sleep on L like IO Manor.
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So what do you do this week? Like the combination of Mahomes
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going out, you know, low points in week 9 and then a buy in week
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10 is is really rough. That's a tough one to decide on.
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Yeah, it comes back to go to Denver.
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That's a really tough one to bid on.
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It all comes down, in my opinion, to who you got on your
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team and how much of an upgrade Mahomes would be.
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Yeah, if you if, if it's an extreme upgrade.
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I mean, he'll be an extreme upgrade.
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For most teams, I mean, he's AI think he's third in fantasy
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right now, but you just yeah, number one, get him for two
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weeks if you're really being. He's the top scoring fantasy
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quarterback this year. Number one, OK, I think he's 3
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after this week though, wasn't he?
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Because I think this week killed him a little bit.
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But regardless, regardless, because even even though he had
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no touchdowns this week, I think in four of the past five weeks
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he had three like a minimum. So he'd been throwing just tons
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of points each week. Yeah, that's, that's one.
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I think if I'm out there and I'm bidding on quarterback, if you
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have one of these ratty ones, if you're doing quarterback
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carousel and you have a spot to stash him, he's worth the $50
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bid 60. I don't know if I go much past
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that because like I said, it's tough Week 11 and he's on by.
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So you're kind of holding him for three weeks from now and see
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what he does. But if you can, he can.
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Yeah. And if you have somebody get you
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through this week, yeah. I'm never going to bet against
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Patty, whether it's at Denver or not.
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But right, you do like better matchups than that.
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That's that's not the best. It's one of.
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Those got a temper expectations and maybe just I don't know, see
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what else is out there for now. But if you have a spot to stash
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and you've been doing quarterback carousel and you
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keep looking at Jacoby Berset each week and Bryce Young, I
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mean, maybe you do need to get yourself packed from the homes
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for week 11 on, right? Yep, I disagree with that.
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The other guys, you know, obviously I think Gibbs and and
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Jonathan Taylor are guys you got to go get.
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Chips in, man. Yep, go all in on those guys.
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If you're if you're holding the high stack right now as far as
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$5, those are league winners. You, you would you would miss
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your opportunity to put the league away if you didn't get
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one or both of those guys. Yep.
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That's. Right.
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So definitely go in on on Jameer Gibbs or Jonathan Taylor or
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both. And then like we talked about
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earlier, I think you got to cut bait with Kamara.
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Obviously with Kraft, you got to let him sit till next season,
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unfortunately. Yep, that sucks.
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He's having a good year. Yeah, he was.
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I'm gonna hit you real quick while while we're talking about
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Tucker Craft, do you think Musgrave is a capable
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replacement If you're a craft owner?
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Would you think because I before I remember Musgrave is kind of
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Musgrave of Craft and then all of a sudden this was craft, But
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mushroom I think has some upside.
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Do you think having this gaping hole there, that might be
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something they pivot and you don't lose too much and get like
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a poor man's version of craft? Yeah, I that's a fairway to say
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it. I think they spread the ball
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around a lot, right? They've got a bunch of B -, C
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plus receivers, so. Yeah.
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So they all are good for about 3 to 4 catches a game and you
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know, 50 yards at the most. So there probably is some room
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for Musgrave. He's not going to produce nearly
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the yak yardage that Tucker Craft is capable of, but he'll
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secure some catches and probably a fewer yards, but maybe as many
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catches. That's what that's what I was
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going to say through. I don't think you're going to
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lose much on the catches, but the rack is where you're going
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to lose someone. He's just not as not as fast,
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doesn't have athletics and the legs.
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Yeah, I. Think they'll still look at him
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in the end zone maybe for some targets though, but for?
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Sure. Yeah, I just think, yeah, the
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yard's going to kind of hurt you, I think, on him, but I just
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want to throw him out there. Yeah, I think that's that's a
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worthy replacement on tight end. What else do we want to talk
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about? Some of your bidding strategies
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in the upcoming weeks? So we're getting ready for week
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10 and you've only got about four bid periods left, five
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counting tonight. But people aren't going to get
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this still after their bids are in for before week 10, but
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really after week 14, all the players that cut get get cut or
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permanently cut, right? So the auction stop after week
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14, you've really got about four more bid weeks to get your final
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roster kind of set up going into the playoffs.
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And the highlight I wanted to make is that there's going to be
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teams out there that are holding a lot of chips and they're in
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the catbird seat and can wait, right?
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They can wait and take their their choices and and whatever.
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If you wait and you have a low stack, you're you're never going
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to win anybody. Those last couple bids.
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It's going to be everybody going all in on their last couple of
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players to round out their teams.
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So if you're one of the guys, like maybe one of our Co hosts
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here that has less than 100 fab left, you better.
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You better pick your pick your poison and go all in for those
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one or two guys now because you're not going to be able to
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get anybody after, you know, week 12, week 13.
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That's right. And you might, you need to save
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like a couple bucks. I, I would never try and go to 0
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because you still need to be able to get those guys that
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after you have the, the first round of bidding, most leagues
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have a second round of bidding and you at least want to be able
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to throw a dollar on somebody, right?
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And if he throws 0, the guy with a dollar wins your guy.
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And sometimes there's some, I've seen it too many times, like I
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wish I had that dollar. So dollar just kind of I want my
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$2.00 if you remember that old line from.
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I always like to keep, I always like to keep a dollar, a couple
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dollars around at the end because you, you are.
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Going to, you never know. You never know.
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They can be huge, especially if injury hits you on on a Thursday
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night or Friday and you're like, Oh my gosh, I need to get
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somebody. And then there's another waiver
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period. You just need to be able to get
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the backup for that guy. Like, yeah, like Monaca was a
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pickup this week. Once DeAndre Swift was announced
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out, Monaca was available in another league and that guy went
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in and picked him up and had a humongous week.
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Saved him, yeah. So he would have been cut before
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that. Yeah, you're down to just a very
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few, you know, bad players that have to be on a roster at those
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last four weeks or so. So premier players depending on
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the matchup could go for 2 bucks or you know, less than 10 for
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sure. And the other thing to look at
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that you didn't touch on yet, but probably getting to it is
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you really need to look at this schedule for those last four
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weeks because you get a bunch of just top defenses stacked versus
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somebody else. I mean, you're not going to
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worry about that with Gibbs and Taylor.
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It's not what I'm saying. But if you have like some of
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these, these fringy dudes, they're there.
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I mean, you can ride or die with them, sure.
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But if I have some options, man, give yourself some options when
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you go down to the last few weeks to try and win that
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championship. Look at the matchups.
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It matters. Yep.
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All right. Totally.
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So I think that's good for that. Cheers.
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I'm gonna throw it over to you. Oh, well, wait, before, before
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we do that, we need to do our sleepers.
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We need some. Oh, that's correct.
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We gotta talk sleepers, right? How can you forget sleepers?
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Dex Sure. That's sleepers.
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Sleeper, Sleeper. There's some really good ones to
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talk about this week I think. I know and for once we gave you
00:16:08
some that delivered. So our sleepers last week, we
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gave you some some gangbusters, baby.
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So AJ Barner, if you recall, Pruitt's woo 5th tied in in a
00:16:20
row. He finally hit one as he took it
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under center and ran it in. He didn't catch the pass, but
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AJ. Barner.
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Was surprising high. School football.
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That was a little surprising, but he didn't get in the end
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zone like. He was like, I was like, that's
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way too big to be Sam Darnold. Who is that?
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Oh my gosh, it's AJ Varner. Yeah, so the backup tight end
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for Seattle joined the starter for Seattle in getting
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touchdowns this week. Yeah.
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AJ Barner was announced as a starting tight end.
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Thank you very much. He was.
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I couldn't believe it, but he couldn't.
00:16:56
Either fit a royal well. Regardless, good job.
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So we hit one for Pruitt. I gave you it Darius Slayton at
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San Fran so he squeaked above with 11.2 points for you and
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then Taje Spears. Tell us about Jay Spears.
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So close. He was 9.2 point, eight points
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short of what our target is. He did get more action.
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He still is. I think energy's heading his
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way, but absolutely not enough to qualify.
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So we don't count him. Horseshoes and hand grenades.
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That's right all. Right, So go ahead.
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This week we'll let you start off jizz.
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Who do we got for your sleeper this week that is going to hit
00:17:33
all right? So overall for the season, we've
00:17:36
hit 26% of these. Our goal is to hit 33.
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So we're a little under what we like for the for the season, but
00:17:44
couple couple this week and we'll be right there.
00:17:47
I'm going to go with one Kate Otten.
00:17:50
Kate Otten versus New England. So Tampa is hosting New England
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and couple things I like here 1. Tampa Coming off a bye 2, Baker
00:18:05
has started to recognize Kate Auten is alive and on the field.
00:18:09
So for the first several weeks of the season, he did not even
00:18:14
recognize he was a human being. So it was a little bit tough if
00:18:18
you had Auten. I think though, because of all
00:18:20
the injuries, he was forced to throw to Kate Auten because he
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didn't have anyone else on the team to throw to.
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And then he realized, hey, this Kate Auten dude's pretty good.
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He gets open quite a bit. Did I throw to you last year at
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some point? I remember, I remember you.
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Deja Vu, I think you're really good.
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I think you're right. I made you a top five tight end.
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Kate Auten's like the kid in school that wants to answer
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every question. He's like, oh, pick me.
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I'm opening open. I'm open.
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And Baker's like look at me. Is there anyone?
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Else. Where's Godwin at?
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Is he? Is he out again?
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Just give me Mike Evans instead. What?
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He's not here either. What?
00:19:00
Fine Cade, what's the answer? Yeah, so I feel like, I feel
00:19:04
like Cade is gonna hit that, that time of the season where
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he's most valuable. So I like him right now.
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I think it's a good spot for him and I think it'll be a
00:19:13
relatively high scoring game, probably high 40s, low 50s.
00:19:18
So let's go Cade to to hit over 11 and he's held by less than
00:19:25
45% of owners. That's our criteria this week.
00:19:28
Less than 45% and they need to hit 11 points.
00:19:31
So Cade Locket Dicks, who you got?
00:19:34
All right, so it's it's so ironic this week.
00:19:38
Brilliant. And I are both taking tight ends
00:19:41
and you'll find out shortly that our resident tight intakers not
00:19:46
this week. So I'm going with Colston
00:19:48
Loveland. I don't know if Colton Mets
00:19:50
going to clear concussion protocol, but I also know that
00:19:53
Colson Loveland had himself game and he besides having the game
00:19:57
winner against Cincinnati, they're looking his way.
00:20:00
So the the 10th overall pick is finally getting involved in this
00:20:04
offense. So last week he had 6 for 1/18
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and two touchdowns like I said, to include the game winner even.
00:20:10
If. Back.
00:20:11
I still think they're going to involve Colson Loveland more.
00:20:14
He has proven he can be valuable.
00:20:16
So I think that is going to help be involved and unlike the last
00:20:20
time I said people be involved by non guy and then he went to
00:20:23
out to pasture for a week and then he came back this week and
00:20:26
had that was zillion yards and it was awesome.
00:20:29
He did. DeAndre Swift to disappear I
00:20:32
guess, and once that happened it worked out.
00:20:34
So I think especially if Cole commed is out, doesn't clear a
00:20:37
concussion protocol. Colston Loveland's a freebie and
00:20:40
I think he's around 22% owned and he's projected for 7.4, but
00:20:44
I think he can go for double digits easy mode in this game
00:20:48
home, so I like Colson Loveland Peru, who do you like?
00:20:53
All right, I'm going to offer disclaimer with my pick this
00:20:57
week and that is it all hinges on Cooper Cups health.
00:21:04
All right, so if Cooper Cup is out again, Torrey Horton proved
00:21:09
this last week that he is a starting NFL wide receiver.
00:21:15
He scored two touchdowns. One of them was a completely
00:21:19
sick release at the line that the announcers were both like.
00:21:23
That got him the touchdown right there.
00:21:25
His first two steps. He just put a a move on a dude
00:21:28
that just completely left him standing still ran right by him.
00:21:32
Easy touchdown. I think he's a valid target
00:21:35
again this week against Arizona. Again, if Cooper cups out, Corey
00:21:40
Horton's going to see the field. You know, 4050% of the snaps,
00:21:45
even though they spread the ball around, he's he's good enough he
00:21:48
can beat some of those Arizona B backs and and potentially score
00:21:51
you another touchdown. So Peru, I want to push back a
00:21:55
little bit just to make sure you own it.
00:21:57
So one of the trades that went down today, Rasheed Shaheed from
00:22:01
New Orleans, is now going to Seattle.
00:22:04
He will. Likely just hop right in that
00:22:07
second spot, opposite of JSA. Does that impact this decision
00:22:13
whatsoever? Do you think he's getting more
00:22:15
time than like the 8 routes they're going to get in in the
00:22:17
playbook anyway? The boys seem far more talented
00:22:19
than Horton in my opinion. Far more I don't know about far
00:22:25
more far. More listen to.
00:22:28
This. Far more.
00:22:30
Shaheed is now going to be having instead of Tyler Shuck
00:22:35
show, it's going to be Sam. Darnold.
00:22:40
Say my name. So basically the basically the
00:22:44
same thing. Come on now.
00:22:47
I I think it's gonna flip, maybe after this first game.
00:22:52
I think Shaheed might be the wide receiver 3 this first week.
00:22:55
OK, that definitely does have an impact.
00:23:01
I'll offer a secondary pick. OK.
00:23:04
Just in case. Yeah, in case all this goes to
00:23:07
shush kabob this. Might.
00:23:09
This might shock some of you, but I'm going to pick a tight
00:23:12
end. What no, don't, don't wait a
00:23:15
second is Prue J Barner picking a tight end?
00:23:19
I cannot believe it. Prue Fannin.
00:23:26
That'd be 6-6 weeks in a row. Yes.
00:23:30
I'm going back to what? You do.
00:23:32
To the well, stick with what you.
00:23:34
Know. Stick with.
00:23:35
That to the well. OK, All right.
00:23:39
I'll stick with Harold Fannon junior then against the New
00:23:42
York, NY Jets. He's been a frequent target.
00:23:47
They're coming off a by this week.
00:23:49
Judkins obviously is a a focal point of the run game, but I
00:23:53
think Harold Fannon is pretty much the focus of the passing
00:23:57
game now for Dylan Gabriel. So I like him to get several
00:24:01
targets. He had turned one of those into
00:24:04
a touchdown, which would obviously.
00:24:06
I like that. Over the 11 point mark pretty
00:24:09
easily, but he's good. I'd say a minimum of seven to
00:24:14
eight points and I like him to get up over 11 this week.
00:24:17
Nice. So actually, I don't know about
00:24:19
you guys. All their guys.
00:24:20
The Jets gave away their entire defense, which also helps.
00:24:23
Yes, yeah, Yep. I don't know about you guys.
00:24:25
I felt it much harder to pick a sleeper this week because the
00:24:30
Bengals, Cowboys and Titans defenses were no longer in play.
00:24:35
It really did all the freebies. Wait a second, all these are
00:24:39
legitimate NFL defenses I got to think about here.
00:24:43
So wrap it in it for this week. The Sleepers fannin versus New
00:24:48
New York Jets or the New Jersey Jets.
00:24:50
I don't know why. Or the Cleveland or the, OR the,
00:24:54
you know, I mean, that's just. Right versus versus the New York
00:24:59
Jets close to level of Browns the New York Giants.
00:25:02
So we're definitely got an anti New York bias here and always
00:25:06
and then staying in the Northeast, Kate Auten versus the
00:25:09
New England Patriots that are that wraps the shrewdness
00:25:13
sleepers. There's some free fantasy points
00:25:18
coming your way. Here we go.
00:25:20
All right, so one, one question, little segment we wanted to do
00:25:24
this week. It's new.
00:25:25
We're going to test our host's knowledge because some of these
00:25:29
are rather interesting. We're going to go for all you
00:25:34
folks out there, the top five fantasy scoring players at each
00:25:39
position, top five. OK, so we're going to let Peru
00:25:41
and Dex make a guess. No cheating, no Google, no AI.
00:25:45
Top five scoring at each position.
00:25:48
Let's start with the QB position.
00:25:51
Top five. Name anybody, I'll tell you
00:25:54
where they are. Number one, 206 fantasy points.
00:26:00
Yeah. I'm trying to.
00:26:03
Look at not in the top five, not in the top five.
00:26:07
Really. Who's not we talking about?
00:26:08
I mean Jalen. Prescott not in the top five,
00:26:11
Jalen. Hurts.
00:26:12
Not in the top five. What?
00:26:15
Sam Darnold, you heard it. You heard it right here.
00:26:18
Nope, Sam Darnold? Not in the top five.
00:26:21
Drake May. Oh, wait.
00:26:22
Drake may #2, Drake may #2 Justin Herbert #3 we've got the
00:26:28
top three. We just need the four and five,
00:26:31
four and five. Man, I think Baker.
00:26:36
Missing it? Obviously.
00:26:37
You're missing an obviously well.
00:26:39
Josh Allen, Josh. Allen, Josh Allen #4, Josh Allen
00:26:42
#4 #5 I'll be surprised if you get it #5.
00:26:46
Stafford, maybe he's done a lot of touchdowns.
00:26:49
No, Stafford is 10. 10 huh? That is.
00:26:54
Surprising. Sorry, he's 9.
00:26:56
All right. I mean, it's not Lamarck.
00:26:58
He gives me games. He's sitting in a big as big 10.
00:27:03
That's like 2. 10 but Caleb's number 10, sorry, Baker's 11.
00:27:10
Dak Prescott is #7 OK. Number six is Jalen hurts #5 is
00:27:21
I'm sorry. Number number six is Daniel
00:27:23
Jones. Sorry #5 is Bonex.
00:27:29
Bonex, gentlemen. Guys, he must be all rushing
00:27:32
because it's not passing. Right, He's got 3 rushing
00:27:37
touchdowns and he has a lot of rushing 17 passing touchdowns.
00:27:44
Bo Nicks 17 passing touchdowns, which is kind of crazy.
00:27:48
So your top five in fantasy quarterbacks, Bo Nicks, Josh
00:27:52
Allen, Justin Herbert, Drake May and Patrick Mahomes.
00:27:54
Holy crap. I don't know that we would have
00:27:56
ever predicted those coming out of how does that the beginning
00:28:00
of the year? So we had in our top five, we
00:28:04
had Alan and we had Mahomes 6th right, Bonex 11th, Prescott
00:28:15
12th, Drake May 13th, the beauty.
00:28:19
Of fantasy, the beauty of fantasy, my friends.
00:28:22
Now, obviously some of that has to do with injuries, people
00:28:25
being out all that stuff, but I think still that's your top five
00:28:28
scoring. That's crazy.
00:28:31
Like quarterbacks, OK, you want to let's let's move to wide
00:28:33
receivers, wide receivers, top five wide receivers.
00:28:38
All right, Jamar Chase. Jamar Chase number one, 187
00:28:42
points on the season. He's been pretty awesome.
00:28:47
We got it's still. Puka.
00:28:49
I think Jackson Smith and Jigba's got to be two.
00:28:51
He's leading the yards. Jackson Smith and jigba #2 Puka
00:28:57
prove mentioned puka #4 even with the injuries number. 4 So
00:29:03
you only need. Two more.
00:29:03
You need 3 and. Five, a good start.
00:29:06
Buka get into the top five. He did not.
00:29:09
Drake London is not in the top five.
00:29:12
Drake London is not in the top five.
00:29:14
He's #7 Drake London is #7. I don't know if Jefferson's had
00:29:19
enough scores, but I guess he's been relatively consistent, but
00:29:22
I don't think he's got enough I. Don't think he's got a horse.
00:29:24
Scores Jefferson is number 11. Is Saint Brown up there?
00:29:32
Saint brown #3 I'm on rod #3 St. Brown, good call there.
00:29:38
He also has seven receiving touchdowns on the year, which is
00:29:43
almost the top. There's one guy that's got more
00:29:45
than him and it is not a top five receiver.
00:29:51
Devante Adams has 8 eight well. He said 5 the last two games.
00:29:55
I think Devante had three two weeks ago or before the buyer or
00:29:59
whatever. Then he had two this week, so.
00:30:01
But you guys are missing #5 and I don't think you're going to
00:30:04
get him. I'll say this, he's not the
00:30:06
number one receiver on his team, even in terms.
00:30:10
Of target against. Nope, no, not see.
00:30:13
That's a great guess. That's a good guess.
00:30:15
Not see Pickens, you would be considered a wide receiver to
00:30:20
George Pickens #5 on the season. Wow, 6 touchdowns and 764 yards.
00:30:29
How about that? So your top five wide receivers,
00:30:32
George Pickens, Puka Nakua, Aman, Ross St.
00:30:35
Brown, Jackson Smith and Jigma and Jamar Chase, that's your top
00:30:39
five wide. No, no CD Lamb, no Jefferson.
00:30:43
Yeah, no. Stevie Lamb?
00:30:44
No. Justin Jefferson, You know a lot
00:30:47
of guys that we thought would be no.
00:30:49
A.J. Brown.
00:30:50
Yep. You know, A.J.
00:30:52
Brown, the guy is not top 20, is he?
00:30:54
There's no way he. Is he is not he's he is not top
00:30:57
25. As a matter of fact, is Devante
00:31:00
Smith top 25? There's no way he is.
00:31:02
Devante's. That one good game.
00:31:05
Devante Smith is top 25, is he? 20. 5th he is 2 touchdowns. 2524
00:31:12
I feel. Like I remember one good game.
00:31:15
17th Deonte Smith, 17th, 114 points and it's 44 catches, 588
00:31:21
yards. That's the real reason he's a
00:31:23
little Reaper. Doing something?
00:31:25
So believe it or not, so A.J. Brown, just out of curiosity,
00:31:30
is, holy cow, we're not in the top 30.
00:31:34
Garrett Wilson, by the way, is #30 Marvin Harrison, Junior 31.
00:31:39
Nico Collins checks in at 35, CD Lamb at 36.
00:31:43
Course he's been hurt. And A.J.
00:31:45
Brown at #38 So hopefully that did not burn you, but it burned
00:31:51
a lot of people. So let's go to running backs.
00:31:54
Top five running backs. We got running backs, tight ends
00:31:56
left. Let's see.
00:31:57
This one should be easier. JT running backs.
00:32:00
Jonathan Taylor, JT for this week is.
00:32:03
JT is number 2 number. CMC has got to be.
00:32:07
With you. 12. He has 12.
00:32:09
JT has 12 rushing touchdowns and two receiving touchdowns, and
00:32:13
he's #2. Wow is CMC #1DMC MC is.
00:32:18
Number one and. It's supposed to because of
00:32:20
receptions. 61 receptions. Yes, that's 6. 126 yards
00:32:27
receiving. Unbelievable.
00:32:29
And four receiving touchdowns, not to mention his 596 rushing
00:32:33
yards. Yeah, so.
00:32:34
He's number. One got to be.
00:32:36
Donovan Taylor's number 2. Bijan's number. 4 Bijan is #4.
00:32:41
A chain. A chain is #3A chain is number
00:32:45
3, so we're only missing #5. Is Gibbs a little harder?
00:32:48
Is Gibbs in there? He is not.
00:32:50
He comes in at #8. Gibbs comes in at #8.
00:32:55
Oh, how about the Buffalo Buffalo guy?
00:33:00
The Buffalo, cook, the Buffalo, James Cook the Buffalo.
00:33:03
He comes in at #7 seven number seven.
00:33:06
Biscuits thought that was it. I was feeling pretty good about
00:33:09
it. Yeah, not.
00:33:11
It's not Derrick Henry. It's not Saquan.
00:33:14
No. No.
00:33:15
Is it just Jacob? Not.
00:33:16
Yeah, it could be Jacob. Josh Jacobs, number five.
00:33:20
Way to go, Josh. Five number six.
00:33:23
Javonte Williams, number six. Javonte Williams.
00:33:27
Wow, that number. Is not anything we would have
00:33:29
said. Like think about that.
00:33:31
We had them at 31 on our list. Thank everybody.
00:33:36
Saquon, Saquon Barkley at #10 right now, Kyron Williams,
00:33:40
number 12, Ashton gente #13, Derrick Henry #19 like, wow,
00:33:50
those are some guys that tanked you.
00:33:52
But your top five through this point in the season halfway.
00:33:55
Josh Jacobs, Bijan Robinson, Devon A Chain, Jonathan Taylor
00:33:58
and CMC Christian McCaffrey. And last but not least, Pruitt's
00:34:03
favorite category, tight end. Can we name the top five tight
00:34:09
ends for the season? McBride.
00:34:14
McBride's #1 McBride by just a .1 point higher than #2 Turd
00:34:21
Ferguson #2. Turd Ferguson #2.
00:34:25
Till he just got hurt. But Tucker.
00:34:28
Crafts #4. Number. 4 so #5 and #3 #1 #3 #3
00:34:37
and #5 is. Chelsea got it.
00:34:42
Got it. Travis Kelsey.
00:34:45
Ravis, Kelsey. Still a top five fantasy tight
00:34:49
end, beating out number six by 15 points.
00:34:52
Who is Dallas Goddard but your top five?
00:34:55
Travis Kelsey, Tucker Craft, Tyler Warren, Jake Ferguson and
00:34:59
Trey McBride. I think we probably would have
00:35:01
only had McBride and Kelsey on that list.
00:35:05
Maybe. Probably, yeah.
00:35:07
Maybe at craft like 8 or 10 or something like that.
00:35:10
I think that's right. Craft at 9:00.
00:35:12
And Warren was somewhere. Right now, of course, Brock
00:35:15
Bowers, we probably. Had a He just showed that he's
00:35:17
really #1 when I'm he. Really is, but unfortunately
00:35:21
he's #13 he's still might finish season.
00:35:24
He can still finish top. So surprises on that list for
00:35:28
me. I'm looking back at our picks
00:35:29
before the season. Kittle, we have third.
00:35:32
He's been non existent this year.
00:35:34
Yeah, well. He missed.
00:35:35
A chunk of time though missed a model.
00:35:37
But even when he's been, he's been.
00:35:39
Yeah, gone. He's.
00:35:42
Not even Kittle is not even top 25 in time that's.
00:35:47
Unbelievable. Ingram is He's terrible.
00:35:51
Not good. Ingram #27.
00:35:54
I'm amazed he's in the top 30. Right.
00:35:57
Yeah, he's. Throwing some zeros up?
00:36:00
That's crazy. Where is where's Hunter Henry in
00:36:03
that list? Oh, that's a great question.
00:36:05
Let's see. He's got to be.
00:36:07
He's the. Guy.
00:36:08
He's the guy expected to have kind of a well, I thought he'd
00:36:14
have a lot better year. So let's see 56789 he's nine.
00:36:18
OK, so that's that's that's OK. Dalton Kincaid is number 8.
00:36:24
The doors #7. Gatson's gotta be moving up the
00:36:27
chart, especially if you do the last four weeks.
00:36:29
He's probably. Been that's a.
00:36:30
Cop 3 for sure. Great.
00:36:32
That's a great call. Gatson's number 11 overall on
00:36:36
the season. He's.
00:36:37
Moving and shaking up that chart though.
00:36:39
Nice, he really is. And #10 is Jawan Johnson nice
00:36:44
so. Surprised this year?
00:36:46
Yeah, you would not any weak Jawan Johnson to be a top ten
00:36:49
wide receiver, of course. Notably.
00:36:52
Out of the top? Yeah, Notably, not notably, not
00:36:59
in the top 10. And unsurprising is Kyle Pitts.
00:37:03
Yes, ladies and gentlemen, Kyle Pitts.
00:37:05
It wasn't his years. Still, he must have been.
00:37:08
Injured. Chism, he must have been
00:37:10
injured. How many games he missed?
00:37:14
Oh, no betting on Kyle Pitts to break out.
00:37:17
Just stop. His one touchdown would tell you
00:37:21
to stop doing that. He didn't get in the end zone.
00:37:23
His Bowers ahead of him having missed the entire season.
00:37:28
He is literally .4 points behind him .4 points 5.
00:37:34
Hours and three games has done. More than.
00:37:36
Kyle Pitts all season. So that tells you that tells you
00:37:42
what to think there. But I thought that was
00:37:43
interesting because if you look back at the season, like it just
00:37:46
goes to show, I mean, some of it's injuries obviously, but
00:37:50
then some of it is like no one would have predicted Saquon
00:37:54
Barkley to have the drop off that he did this year.
00:37:56
No one predicted A.J. Brown to be outside the top 25
00:37:58
wide receivers. Those guys were top first round
00:38:01
picks. Yeah, yeah.
00:38:02
No one, no one would have predicted Lamar Jackson to get
00:38:05
hurt and miss all the time that he did.
00:38:07
So you've got all those things breaking against you.
00:38:09
It's always interesting about halfway through the season to
00:38:11
see how it plays out versus what we thought.
00:38:14
So that's a fun little segment. We can move along now.
00:38:18
And I'm going to toss it back to you, Dex.
00:38:21
Let's talk about last week's Sinners and Saints.
00:38:24
All right, sinners and Saints. So this one, we talked about a
00:38:27
few of these guys already. So Kamara again, cut bait.
00:38:30
Just throw them out, man. We don't need him anymore.
00:38:33
He's gone. Chuba Hubbard.
00:38:35
It's not him anymore. It is Rico Dottle all day.
00:38:37
Please cut Chuba Hubbard. You don't need him on your team
00:38:39
anymore. Jordan Mason, well, you might
00:38:42
need to keep on to him because Aaron Jones came back, but he
00:38:45
might be hurt again. You never really have.
00:38:48
But Aaron? Hammy and Jones.
00:38:50
Yeah, but Jordan, I'm not doing anything.
00:38:53
Mason is 4.7 points last week and killing you, so I think he
00:38:58
is to eat bye week dependent so you might need to keep him on
00:39:01
for this week. Bill 5.1 points we talked about
00:39:06
him last week as well. He's just not someone you need
00:39:09
to roster or maybe not start for right now, but especially now
00:39:12
we've lost Jayden Daniels, that offense isn't going to be
00:39:15
better. Marcus Mariota.
00:39:16
So I don't know if I want to keep him either.
00:39:19
The biggest ones that killed people we talked about earlier
00:39:21
too, Gibbs and Taylor, like if you're rocking that backfield,
00:39:25
you may have been cut this week and.
00:39:28
Unbelievable. Absolutely have happened.
00:39:30
So I. Can probably Taylor.
00:39:32
Slipping back all the way in the second round.
00:39:34
But Gibbs? He only had 5.8 points on 25
00:39:37
yards rushing in three catches for three yards, that is.
00:39:41
I don't think I've ever seen that stat line.
00:39:43
It might be his worst. Game ever happened to?
00:39:45
Him, yeah. No, he's bulletproof for a
00:39:47
floor. I I do believe this is his
00:39:49
lowest floor in two seasons. I I thought I looked at.
00:39:51
It I believe that should be true.
00:39:53
I was like, yeah. I would.
00:39:55
I bet money that it is. Yeah, And then Jonathan Taylor.
00:39:58
I mean, you would think this is an injury line, but 45 yards and
00:40:02
two catches for 12 yards for the Pittsburgh and that defense, I
00:40:07
don't know where it came from, but Pittsburgh decided to show
00:40:09
up all of a sudden in the Colts. I mean, Daniel Jones didn't play
00:40:14
his best game, but that shouldn't have really impacted
00:40:16
Jonathan Taylor this much. That was an egg.
00:40:19
So 7.7 after what, three straight weeks of three
00:40:22
touchdowns a week? I mean, it was insane what he
00:40:25
was doing. So he came back four games on
00:40:27
the air that he's had three touchdowns.
00:40:29
Yeah, it's something. Like that?
00:40:31
Yeah. I think in the other ones you
00:40:32
don't have any though, so who knows.
00:40:34
But regardless, John the Taylor spud it up this week.
00:40:38
Kaimani Vidal. So the Chargers running back,
00:40:40
he's had a couple really good performances.
00:40:43
He came tumbling back to earth with 30 yards.
00:40:46
That's it, 30 yards. Tucker Craft, he talked about
00:40:49
two for 20 before he went out for the year with the ACL.
00:40:52
That really sucks. He's having a Goodyear.
00:40:54
Keenan Allen, who's been helping you guys out every single week.
00:40:57
Only 6.1 this week. So he came back and frankly, the
00:41:01
entire Chargers offense didn't really do much at all.
00:41:04
Quentin Johnson got in for you, but that's about it.
00:41:06
Keisha Bootay, who we normally like 0.
00:41:10
Yeah. So the big DK Metcalf may as
00:41:14
well have been a goose. 2 catches for six yards.
00:41:17
Yeah, 2.6 solid number there. Right and.
00:41:21
Then Pat Holmes. He talked about as well, worst,
00:41:23
worst week he's had this entire season, no touchdowns, 250 and a
00:41:28
pick. And he didn't even run for you
00:41:29
either, which he's been doing about 25 to 40 yards a week.
00:41:32
I think he didn't even get to 10.
00:41:34
I think he had five yards rushing this week.
00:41:35
So I was pretty bad too. That's what happens when you
00:41:38
play a team 10 times. Yeah, yeah.
00:41:40
I know you start to learn your tendencies.
00:41:42
There's a lot of film on Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen facing
00:41:45
off against each other, so. Right, absolutely.
00:41:48
There's definitely. Now Dex, you didn't mention
00:41:52
Daniel Jones. Now I don't know that much about
00:41:55
his line. I know that he turned the ball
00:41:56
over five times single handedly though, so that can have been
00:42:00
good. No, it's yeah.
00:42:02
He probably kills you. I don't.
00:42:03
Think possible for that many people.
00:42:06
We're really starting him, so I didn't put him on there because
00:42:08
if that's your starting quarterback, right?
00:42:12
And I know he's been pretty good this year, but still, you always
00:42:15
have that question mark in the back of your head.
00:42:17
Daniel Jones on the road to Pittsburgh.
00:42:18
That didn't sound like the best match.
00:42:20
Up in the he kind of looked like New York Giants.
00:42:22
Daniel Jones is what he looked. Like he looked a lot like it was
00:42:25
like that. He had three interceptions and I
00:42:29
know he lost a fumble, too. He lost two fumbles.
00:42:32
He lost 2 fumbles, so he had five turnovers right there.
00:42:36
But I think he did throw for a lot of yards, didn't he?
00:42:38
342 yards on the touchdown, but -10 on turnovers got him back
00:42:45
down though, so he was at 24 points and then lost 10 on touch
00:42:49
on turnovers. He was.
00:42:50
So he had 14 points still last week.
00:42:53
Yeah, so wow, he ran a touchdown, so he got the.
00:42:57
Rushing touchdown. He did rush for a touchdown.
00:43:00
That knocks out all his picks, and then he passed for a
00:43:02
touchdown. Three 40s, no joke.
00:43:05
So I think that's why he didn't make my list.
00:43:06
No, but. That was his highest passing
00:43:08
total for the year. It is because he dug out of the.
00:43:12
Hole. Because and Taylor could out of
00:43:15
it. Taylor wasn't effective on the
00:43:16
yard. Turning and turning and handing
00:43:19
turn. Hand it was this was so much
00:43:20
harder. I had to throw the ball and
00:43:22
actually play football. This.
00:43:24
Is right. Wow, just looking at this, his
00:43:26
minimum passing yards in any game of the season is 212.
00:43:30
Yeah, he's horrible picture of like he's been the picture of
00:43:33
consistency from a like output standpoint.
00:43:36
He's like one of those guys that always comes in like between
00:43:39
2:15 and 300. It's like always the where he
00:43:42
kind of hits. His fantasy points so strikingly
00:43:45
consistent the last three weeks before Pittsburgh 222.
00:43:49
Point 2223.18, that's against the Arizona, the Chargers and
00:43:54
then Tennessee was a freebie. But of course, in that game,
00:43:57
Jonathan Taylor still had like 180 yards.
00:44:00
So the fact he still got you that many points, kind of
00:44:02
amazing. Yeah.
00:44:04
So all right, Daniel Jones, we, we kind of ripped you a little
00:44:06
bit, but you are pretty consistent.
00:44:07
All right, I was. I was wrong.
00:44:09
I was wrong. 14 points. I mean, hey, it's not bad for
00:44:11
five turnovers. Exactly.
00:44:14
All right, so let's go to the Saints.
00:44:15
So the ones that carried you through, unless you had just too
00:44:18
many of the centers, but if you had this one.
00:44:21
So Brock Bowers, welcome back, Cotter.
00:44:25
Right. What a game in 12 catches for
00:44:28
127 and a hat trick touchdown. So 43.3 LED all fantasy players
00:44:34
this week. When you're tied in, outpaces
00:44:37
the quarterbacks in the running backs.
00:44:39
Yeah, that's insane. So Brock Bowers, I wonder who's
00:44:43
the tight end 1 going forward? I mean, you tell me.
00:44:47
Yeah, right, Because amazing how Geno Smith needed one player to
00:44:50
look good again. I don't know because Geno Smith
00:44:53
is pretty good in week 1. Healthy.
00:44:57
There we go, right? Drake London.
00:44:59
So number 29 catches for 11183 touchdowns for him as well.
00:45:05
So he had 38.8 for Drake London. That was huge.
00:45:10
Caleb the Chop Williams, who I just always don't feel good
00:45:12
about. What did this guy deliver a line
00:45:15
or what? 280 and three touchdowns
00:45:17
passing, 5 rushes for 53 and then on the receiving end of Ben
00:45:22
Johnson Prickery in Chicago, 2 catches for 22 yards.
00:45:26
And a touchdown. So Caleb Williams caught a
00:45:28
touchdown and he outperformed Tucker Craft right there.
00:45:32
And hey, so Caleb Williams, hell of a game got you through if you
00:45:36
had to throw a dart on him this week, which it's not really
00:45:38
throwing it already playing Cincy, everybody start everybody
00:45:41
against Cincy and Dallas every single time they're out there.
00:45:44
So this week, I know you're kind of screwed.
00:45:46
That's what we're telling you. CMC, another big week.
00:45:50
So yeah, 28 for 106 and a touchdown.
00:45:53
And then like, we were talking about five more catches for 67
00:45:57
and a touchdown CMC. What the heck, man?
00:46:00
He puts up a wide outline every single week and then also runs
00:46:04
the ball. And then he runs the ball, yeah.
00:46:06
Yeah, that's so crazy. Ton of carries, TFN Higgins man
00:46:10
7 for 121, two touchdowns. So Jamar Chase wasn't horrible
00:46:14
by any means, but T Higgins outpaced in this particular
00:46:17
game. So Joe Flacco, what do you have
00:46:20
for Jamar Chase in one game? 23 targets.
00:46:23
At least we know he also knows where T Higgins is.
00:46:25
So it's nice to be AT Higgins owner out there.
00:46:28
He will throw him. Which brings me to Joe Flacco.
00:46:31
Holy crap, this dude is old as nuts.
00:46:35
I mean, he he's got a dinosaur for a dog and he has 470 yards
00:46:40
and four touchdowns. Are you kidding me, 470 It's his
00:46:44
career high. That's unreal.
00:46:46
That's ridiculous. So most people are throwing
00:46:48
career highs in their 40s. But Joe Flacco off clap way to
00:46:52
go great, right? And you teamed up to win this
00:46:54
game. You did enough to win.
00:46:55
I feel terrible for Cincinnati Bengals fans out there because
00:46:58
he drives down the field, they get an onside.
00:47:01
He throws the game-winning touchdown that you think it's
00:47:04
like half a minute left. All you got to do is stop him.
00:47:08
Nope, right. Then you give up with no
00:47:10
timeouts. You try and throw a shoulder
00:47:13
into Colston Loveland in the midfield.
00:47:15
He takes to the house to lose. But Joe Flack on the game.
00:47:19
Speaking of Colston Loveland, next best up.
00:47:21
So 6 for 118, two touchdowns. I think it just needed an
00:47:25
injury. He just needed opportunity.
00:47:26
When talent meets opportunity, these are the things that can
00:47:29
happen. So that's why it's good to stash
00:47:31
those guys. Keen or Josh Allen, I mean, just
00:47:35
old reliable, right? 273 and a touch and six for 19,
00:47:39
but he ran in two more. I think they've highlighted he'd
00:47:42
had like a million games, the passing touchdown and the
00:47:44
rushing touchdown. So he and Jaylen Hurts are just
00:47:46
battling back and forth on that one.
00:47:49
Rico Dowdle, we got to believe he's for real and.
00:47:55
He's the man right now. He is, but he's I.
00:47:57
Had him last year, he was great. Yeah, I don't know about great.
00:48:01
I mean, there's a reason for Dallas.
00:48:02
Let him go. He was a value ad from for my
00:48:06
team last year. Yes, yeah, yeah.
00:48:09
Yeah, that and 25 for 132 touchdowns, just two catches of
00:48:14
toss in there. But Rico Dowdle is for real
00:48:16
going forward. I think you could legit put him
00:48:18
in as one of your end game running backs, at least in a
00:48:20
flex spot. I wouldn't feel horrible about
00:48:22
him. What I want to talk to you guys
00:48:23
about that Rico Dowdle, is he someone you can count on going
00:48:27
down the stretch? I know he's not gonna be on the
00:48:29
top rankings cuz he didn't get to start the first five or six
00:48:31
weeks, but when you look at the last month and that body of work
00:48:35
going forward, I feel pretty good.
00:48:36
If Rico daddles my running back, do you guys feel the same way as
00:48:39
what do you call him an in game running back at this point?
00:48:42
Look at their schedule right from here on out.
00:48:44
They do have a week 14 by, so that's a big negative and they
00:48:48
play against the Rams in week 13.
00:48:50
So those two weeks, I don't like him there, but but other than
00:48:55
that, they play New Orleans, Atlanta, San Francisco, New
00:48:59
Orleans again, Tampa Bay and Seattle.
00:49:02
And all of those are beatable defenses against running backs,
00:49:06
right? Right.
00:49:06
So they can score well. They eat people up, but the rest
00:49:10
of that? I mean, they're listed as the
00:49:13
7th, the easiest defense for running backs to score against,
00:49:17
right? Now they catch a bunch out of
00:49:18
the backfield, and Rico's not really that guy.
00:49:21
They play the right call him. That guy, I mean, he's going to
00:49:23
catch a couple, but that's not his game.
00:49:25
Yeah, they do. They play like a, you know, soft
00:49:27
shell amplitude defense is what it's called.
00:49:30
So they do. They are susceptible to running
00:49:32
backs out of the backfield catch.
00:49:34
Unless your name is Alvin Kamara, in which case, yeah,
00:49:38
yes, right. So anyway.
00:49:41
All that said, yes, I would. I would put him on my team in a
00:49:44
heartbeat for these last eight weeks because he's he's got some
00:49:48
favorable matchups, we'll say. Yeah, I would say, too.
00:49:51
I would say he, he I really like what he's doing.
00:49:54
And the weird thing about the Panthers, they're doing exactly
00:49:57
what they did last year. They they were awful to start
00:50:00
the year. Yep.
00:50:01
And then like, they started getting better and better and
00:50:03
better. Yeah.
00:50:04
And by the end of the season, we actually all beating Panthers
00:50:07
aren't that bad. Bryce Young is a decent NFL
00:50:09
quarterback and then they like just completely reverted to crap
00:50:13
to start the. Season start over.
00:50:14
I like starting crappy. It's like when you send your kid
00:50:17
to summer vacation and they forget everything, completely
00:50:20
forget everything before they go back to school the next week.
00:50:23
That's exactly what the Panthers did.
00:50:24
Just like mind swipe. I don't even remember how.
00:50:27
How did we win? And then they gradually pick it
00:50:29
up through the year. So I don't know.
00:50:31
I kind of like the trajectory they have right now.
00:50:33
I do too. Speaking of trajectory, there's
00:50:35
a guy that we have not been really high on, but after the
00:50:38
list week's game, Marvin Harrison.
00:50:40
So he had seven for 96 and touchdown.
00:50:42
He totally dominated the first half and frankly, they didn't
00:50:45
have to throw too much in the second-half.
00:50:48
What do you think about him moving forward?
00:50:49
Is he someone you can trust as long as it's Jacobi Brissette in
00:50:52
there and not Kyler Murray? Or do you feel a little nervous
00:50:55
still with him? I I feel more confident, but I
00:50:58
want to see where you guys are at.
00:50:59
I. I like Brissett throwing to him
00:51:02
a lot more than Kyler Murray. Same.
00:51:04
So do I, for whatever reason. I don't know if Kyler's too
00:51:07
short, can't see over his line or what, but he can only see
00:51:10
McBride. Yeah.
00:51:14
That's so true. He only has eyes for McBride.
00:51:16
Yeah, right. Yeah.
00:51:19
I feel like that's the I feel like that's the truth that from
00:51:21
a passing quarterback standpoint, I like Brissett
00:51:24
better now. I think what you get with Kyler
00:51:29
is the run and. Sometimes.
00:51:31
From a Yeah, I mean, for him to beat Brissette, he has to run,
00:51:36
Yeah, because he's not as good of a passer.
00:51:38
I don't think his Brissette is. And now here's the other warning
00:51:43
I will give everyone. Jacobi Brissette did that
00:51:45
against the Dallas defense and like my God, I have not seen
00:51:51
that bad a coverage in a long time.
00:51:53
The the touchdown in the end zone.
00:51:55
I've never seen a guy lose his jock more quickly.
00:51:59
Oh man, than on that, yeah, Darren, Darren Bland just broke
00:52:04
his own ankles. The Harrison just looked left.
00:52:07
The guy just collapsed. Like what?
00:52:10
What are you doing, man? Like.
00:52:12
So bad. I don't know, I guess you can
00:52:15
get tripped up sometime, but even with CD?
00:52:17
Lam, I mean, Preset is a right CD.
00:52:19
Lam was impressed by it. I think that Preset is a guy who
00:52:24
is always a good backup. He always is a good backup and
00:52:27
he's always gonna deliver. I don't mind starting Preset.
00:52:31
Yeah, no, I don't either. I think it's pretty good.
00:52:34
All right. And then the last guy that did
00:52:35
really well, it almost took us to our parley is Jackson Smith
00:52:40
and Jigba. Another great week.
00:52:41
He continues to lead the league in yards 8 for 1/29.
00:52:44
He didn't get in the end zone for us, which is what our prop
00:52:47
was. If you're following our socials,
00:52:49
he's the only one that didn't get one of Sam Darnold's
00:52:51
touchdowns. We were giving it the tight ends
00:52:53
here and we got Tori Horton over here.
00:52:55
Like good Lord, how are we not getting the main guy and he?
00:52:58
Looks. Right on the one that went to
00:53:00
Arroyo on the left. Jackson's with the Jibba.
00:53:03
Torched his dude by 10 yards. He was.
00:53:06
Just that so did. A wide.
00:53:07
Opener. Yeah, they said on TV.
00:53:10
Exactly. Was wide opener totally.
00:53:14
Is it? So that's our sinners and Saints
00:53:16
for this week. Hopefully he had a couple of
00:53:18
those Saints to get you through, especially if you're carrying
00:53:20
some of the sinners because those guys, there's some anchors
00:53:23
on you, especially at this time of the season.
00:53:25
So let's go to our shooting this Spudge Pruitt run us through
00:53:29
those. All right, let me pull up our
00:53:32
spud list. Last week we delivered for the
00:53:36
most Part 2. Out of three, yes.
00:53:38
Sysm continued his hot streak of his his spud pick scoring at
00:53:42
least one touchdown. I have to come through for you
00:53:46
Remember anytime touchdown pick for my for my spuds.
00:53:50
He took a week. We did.
00:53:52
Yeah, except the one week we're actually about it.
00:53:55
Jalen Warren. That's right, put up 16.9.
00:53:58
So he delivered against Indy, which was a surprise.
00:54:01
Two touchdowns, Maybe even. Yeah, yeah.
00:54:06
So he did well, but Dex and I both picked spuds.
00:54:10
Cuba Hubbard like we said is taking kind of a back seat now
00:54:14
and they played Green Bay. Tough match up for him.
00:54:17
He only produced 1.7 points so he was an ultra spud this week.
00:54:22
Super spud. Then Dex picked Chris Olave
00:54:26
against the Rams and he delivered 8.7.
00:54:30
So he had a somewhat respectable game, but not quite what he was
00:54:34
predicted to have and fell a little short of our target point
00:54:40
total. So he hit as a spud.
00:54:42
We are up to 37% on our spud. So we're doing a little better
00:54:47
than we had predicted. And we are.
00:54:51
Let's see, we've hit seven in the last five weeks.
00:54:58
Last six weeks, yeah. So holding pace.
00:55:02
We had a couple of rough weeks there in weeks 3 and 4, but
00:55:04
other than that we've. Been out to desert?
00:55:09
Yeah, I almost had one. It was a it was a horseshoe and
00:55:12
hand grenade 1 back 3 and 4. Three and four.
00:55:15
We were, oh for six on sleepers. And oh for six on Super 6 on
00:55:20
Spuds. That wasn't our best.
00:55:22
Weeks. We were lost in the wilderness
00:55:24
at that point, but we've come back.
00:55:26
So yes, we're back. We're back, Ladies and
00:55:28
gentlemen, we are back. All right, so who are we going
00:55:31
with this week? Pruitt, start us up.
00:55:34
All right, so this week on our spud list, I didn't have to look
00:55:39
very far. I look for players that are 100%
00:55:42
known by teams around the league.
00:55:45
Ashton Gente is playing against Denver on a short week and I
00:55:49
absolutely hate that match up. I think he's going to get eaten
00:55:53
alive. He will struggle mightily to get
00:55:56
to 10 points. It wouldn't shock me if he stays
00:55:59
under 7 this week. Yeah, even with a couple of
00:56:03
catches, I just think the yards can be hard to come by in this.
00:56:06
Yeah. Against three, yeah, 3 or 4
00:56:09
catches for 15 yards type number, and then 10 carries for
00:56:14
another maybe 15 carries for another 30 yards.
00:56:19
I just don't see it. Yeah, I mean, it's good.
00:56:21
It'll be hard to bench them. Obviously probably not going to
00:56:24
do that, especially on a bye week where you're losing
00:56:26
players. But just temporary expectations,
00:56:29
that's what, that's what we're not feeling real great about.
00:56:32
Yep, but. Next, who you got this week?
00:56:36
So for me, I'm going, I'm kind of going back to the well I
00:56:39
picked him a couple weeks ago and he sucked.
00:56:41
So Debo Samuel, I just don't see it this year.
00:56:45
He's projected for almost 17 points this week and I don't
00:56:50
know how cuz it's Marcus Mariota under center cuz Jalen or Jaden
00:56:53
Daniels out and Detroit, their defense isn't that bad and I
00:56:58
think they're gonna be angry too since Minnesota just went in
00:57:00
there, beat them in their house. So Debo versus Detroit with
00:57:05
Marcus Mariota and probably not Mclaurin again.
00:57:08
Even if so, I think if Mclaurin plays makes it even worse.
00:57:10
I don't think Debo yeah makes it even worse because then he won't
00:57:13
be the sole target, right? Well, for sure.
00:57:16
So I'm going Debo as a spud again this week versus Detroit,
00:57:22
which is. Finished.
00:57:23
I like that one. I'm going with another strong
00:57:26
defense to shut down Breece Hall.
00:57:30
The Jets are at Cleveland. It's going to be like 3° or
00:57:35
colder. They just traded away everyone
00:57:41
on their team and they've waved the white flag.
00:57:44
And I think you're going to see the effect of that this week
00:57:49
when they come out and put up a nine to six loss at Cleveland.
00:57:57
So that that's I don't think Breece is going to get a lot.
00:58:01
I think they're going to make anybody else on that team beat
00:58:04
them and. As they should.
00:58:07
Yeah, as as they absolute absolutely should.
00:58:10
So Breece is projected to get 15.8.
00:58:12
I think he's going to get less than 11.
00:58:14
Definitely not going to get a touchdown.
00:58:17
So bet him for any time touchdown.
00:58:19
All right, so our 3 Ashton, Gente, Debo and Breece Hall are
00:58:23
our spuds this week that we personally would stay away from.
00:58:27
All right, let's bring it on home So.
00:58:30
We let's talk about making some money that's.
00:58:32
Right, let's go, Chiz. So we're 56% on the year, down
00:58:38
from a high of like 95 or something crazy.
00:58:41
We started out ridiculously red hot.
00:58:44
We're still way above what you normally get in Vegas. 56 is
00:58:48
really good and if you're getting the lines right this
00:58:52
last week we're a little bit cold.
00:58:55
We went one for three, but we we didn't lose by that much.
00:58:59
The only one that was really off for one Indy Indy pick, which I
00:59:05
was totally convinced Indy was for real and and can we go back?
00:59:09
To that clip from last week, I would take him at -9 if.
00:59:13
I I think I I said I would take him at -9 and thank goodness I
00:59:17
did not ladder as was my. And then that could have been
00:59:20
treacherous. It could have been really bad
00:59:23
and now I'm back to where I was not believing in Indy.
00:59:27
So they lost. We did give you the Rams -13 1/2
00:59:31
versus New Orleans, which gambling etiquette would tell
00:59:36
you not to do. Double digit did it?
00:59:39
Love the dog like that. Expect the stinky pick.
00:59:42
And he took the stinky pick and it won.
00:59:44
It was the only one that won. Pruitt had New England -5 1/2
00:59:48
versus Atlanta. I don't know how they didn't
00:59:49
cover that, but they managed to not cover that and still win the
00:59:53
game. What was the final three-point
00:59:55
win or something like? That one point win 20 or a 23.
00:59:59
Yeah, the missed extra point. Oh, that's right.
01:00:02
That was the mistakes for point game.
01:00:03
A lot of good games this week. So we won for three, but we were
01:00:08
close and I feel like this is going to be a three for
01:00:10
three-week and we're going to start it off with Mr. Pruitt,
01:00:14
who's going back to the well. Back to the Well, I'm still a
01:00:18
believer in New England. Tampa Bay is coming off a bye
01:00:23
and Tampa Bay is at home. But what I don't like about
01:00:26
Tampa Bay is that they their record is reflective of a much
01:00:31
better team than I think they actually are.
01:00:34
They've had some injury risk or injury problems like we talked
01:00:37
about earlier. Some of that's getting rectified
01:00:40
now with Bucky Irving coming back.
01:00:44
But I still like what New England's doing.
01:00:47
They are red hot right now, continue to win, and when they
01:00:50
win, they are winning big. So I like them as a small
01:00:55
underdog. They're only two 2 1/2 point
01:00:58
underdog at Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay has won.
01:01:02
I looked earlier, they've won their first four games by a
01:01:04
total of nine points. So in a tight game, I'll take
01:01:09
the points and I think New England comes down there and
01:01:13
punches them in the mouth and maybe even sprinkle in a dollar
01:01:17
or two on the money line. OK, All right, so.
01:01:21
Dex, how? What are you thinking this week?
01:01:23
I like that we got New England Plus 2 1/2 all right at Tampa.
01:01:27
I'm doing yet another smelly one.
01:01:29
I'm going to stick to the smelly train and keep walking through
01:01:32
the field. So this line, I hate, I hate it.
01:01:35
Don't like it at all, so I'm going with it.
01:01:37
Chicago -3 1/2 home against the Giants.
01:01:41
Oh, you're taking the hook? The other way I know, but when
01:01:44
you look at it, one of these teams is trending towards
01:01:46
playoffs. I mean, I don't believe it
01:01:48
either. Caleb the chop Williams is, he's
01:01:51
not doing too bad though. And Ben Johnson, maybe he's just
01:01:54
finding something. All I know is they have the
01:01:56
second ranked rush offense and they're going against the 31st
01:02:01
ranked rush defense. It's going to be cold in Chicago
01:02:04
in the 20s. I think it's going to be a lot
01:02:07
of running. I think there's going to get up
01:02:09
and I don't the Giants don't have a run game to keep up.
01:02:12
I don't really. Jackson's art's great and he's
01:02:15
have to do everything by himself.
01:02:16
Tyrone Tracy's not going to be able to do it.
01:02:18
Singletary. No, thanks.
01:02:21
Wandale Robinson doesn't strike fear.
01:02:23
Darius Slayton doesn't strike fear.
01:02:24
Theo Johnson doesn't strike fear.
01:02:26
So I just think Chicago's going to score and they're going to
01:02:28
outscore the Giants. And I think it's going to be by
01:02:31
at least a touchdown. So I think that -3 1/2 is kind
01:02:34
of fool's goal to scare you away to make it take the Giants.
01:02:37
Don't be afraid. Let's go.
01:02:38
Chicago at home this week -3 1/2.
01:02:41
It's that hook, that that hook is always scary on the 3 1/2,
01:02:45
but Dex thinks we're going to clear that easily.
01:02:49
So we got Chicago -3 1/2 versus the Giants.
01:02:54
And wrapping up, I am going with an under.
01:02:57
My first, well, no, my second under of the season.
01:03:01
I'm gonna go Seattle, Arizona, under 45 1/2.
01:03:05
Why, you may ask? Why both of these teams?
01:03:08
Scored a lot of points. Well, yes, that's why in the NFL
01:03:14
we tend to revert to the mean. And Seattle just went for a huge
01:03:18
game. And Arizona is feeling really
01:03:21
good about their offense right now because they played the
01:03:23
Cowboys and they're both gonna run into each other and go wait,
01:03:27
these teams are way better than the last teams we played.
01:03:30
That's what defense is. So, so I think an Arizona is a a
01:03:36
much better team than their record.
01:03:38
They've lost a lot of really, really close last second.
01:03:42
Yeah, 1 possession games. I think it's actually going to
01:03:46
be a close game. I think it'll be a hard fought
01:03:48
game and a relatively low scoring game.
01:03:51
I'm going to call it somewhere around 2117, but enough to get
01:03:54
the under and Seattle, Arizona under lock it up.
01:03:59
So our three locks for this week, New England plus 2 1/2 at
01:04:03
Tampa, Chicago -3 1/2 hosting the Giants and the Seattle
01:04:08
Arizona game under 45 1/2 getting out with us, 56% on the
01:04:14
season, lock it down. The other thing I want to talk
01:04:18
about, we talk about are plugs. For those of you who listen to
01:04:20
the show but maybe don't follow us on socials, you should
01:04:23
because we do island game power parlays.
01:04:26
So Thursday, Sunday and Monday night games we do single game
01:04:31
parlays with three different players, 3 legs, stats that we
01:04:37
do, three legs to the stats. You know, we went through a
01:04:41
period at one point where we hit three in a row, four in a row
01:04:44
where we had four in a row, where we had 12 straight picks.
01:04:48
And I will say consistently, very consistently, we hit two of
01:04:51
three. And I know.
01:04:53
Two of three is losing, two of three is losing.
01:04:56
But here's what you do. You also single bet those
01:04:59
because when we give you these bets, they're gold, you see.
01:05:02
So you want to bet them as single bets and then you want to
01:05:04
bet them as a parlay. So if you do that, you're
01:05:06
definitely up for the year. Check it out.
01:05:09
And we leave the receipts here at the shrewdness.
01:05:11
So all of our socials, it's up there and it will not go down.
01:05:15
So you can go down and you can make fun of us when we go over 3
01:05:18
as some of you have done. That's OK.
01:05:20
That's all right. It's all right.
01:05:21
We're writing your names down. We're big.
01:05:23
Boys, but we're big boys and we can take it.
01:05:26
We're big boys, sometimes we go over, but we're not like all
01:05:29
those other gambling people who just show you how awesome they
01:05:32
are. And when they all like dudes win
01:05:34
100% right? It's amazing how many you know,
01:05:37
we've all got that friend who always sends you like the
01:05:41
screenshot of his is parlay is 6 leg parlay that hit and you're
01:05:45
like, yeah, where's the 30 other forty shots of yours of the six
01:05:50
leg parlays that you missed on? But we're not that Fred.
01:05:53
We're the Fred that shows you all the receipts, good, bad and
01:05:56
ugly. We have a lot of fun with it.
01:05:58
It does make the games a lot of fun too.
01:05:59
And heading into heading into the holiday season, there's a
01:06:02
lot more island games. So you might wanna start
01:06:05
following us now. False TikTok.
01:06:07
You can follow us on YouTube, our channel on YouTube,
01:06:13
Facebook, Instagram, and you can find all of that on our website
01:06:18
shrewdness dot podcastpage dot IO.
01:06:21
So you can also link to any of our episodes from there.
01:06:25
Whether you listen to us on YouTube or on Spotify, all the
01:06:28
archives are in there. You can go back and listen to
01:06:31
the season preview where you can laugh at all the I said, can I
01:06:36
say that? I think I can pics that we made
01:06:40
and. Nobody's listening.
01:06:42
Say what? You.
01:06:42
Want nobody's listening, Say what you want.
01:06:45
You know, we, we totally, we, we leave it all out there.
01:06:49
So there's there's nothing that that's hidden.
01:06:51
Take us, follow, send it to somebody who if you like the
01:06:55
show, we'd appreciate it and get them listen.
01:06:58
We love doing it. And in the offseason we do a lot
01:07:00
of other stuff. So we'll cover a lot of other
01:07:02
sports. We'll just have a lot of fun
01:07:04
talk about who knows what in the offseason.
01:07:06
So guaranteed to be a good time. For sure awesome.
01:07:11
I think it's going to close us out again.
01:07:13
We addressed all the things from the listeners that we got.
01:07:16
So we tried to put all that in there.
01:07:18
We went through the bye weeks, we got some injuries and
01:07:20
hopefully we can get you through one more week.
01:07:23
So good luck as we get into the second-half of the season.
01:07:27
If your commissioners out there and you start your zombie
01:07:29
league, good luck with your next draft.
01:07:31
It's a it's a blast getting the mid season draft and till next
01:07:34
week. Stay shrewd.