Chiz survives this week by the skin of his teeth; the Shrewdness breaks down Week 8 in Guillotine; Week 9 predictions made and betting locks revealed.
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What's up shrewdness fans? We are almost halfway through
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the NFL season and I still have my head.
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Barely the Headless Horseman. Was looking to borrow yours.
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Nobody living. On the I have living on the edge
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cold. Hard hands.
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We're going to talk them out and talk about what's going on.
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Hopefully you still have your head.
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If so, we've almost made it through the worst by weeks.
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That's coming up. We've got one more week of like
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rough buys in the future, but we'll talk about that.
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We're going to talk about the week that was blowouts in the
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NFL everywhere. Blowouts, blowouts everywhere.
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Probably the most boring week in the NFL we've had.
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So hopefully you're playing fantasy because otherwise you
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didn't get much entertainment out of this week.
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And then we're going to talk about our picks because we're
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still awesome and still making you money.
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So hopefully you guys are are one along.
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But before we jump in though, hey, if you aren't liking us on
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social media, please do that. We'd appreciate it a lot.
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So go follow us on the socials on Instagram.
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kind of keeps us honest on the betting.
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So you can go to the shrewdness website, the shrewdness dot
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podcast page dot IO dot IO. Yeah.
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And and hey, if you just listen to us, that's cool too.
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We like that. But maybe flip it to a friend,
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let them know you're listening to us and say, this is kind of
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fun to listen to. We'd appreciate that too.
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So that's the that's all the begging and pleading part of the
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show. Now we're going to give to the
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excellent content that you've come to know and love us for.
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So let's start out with a little bit of opening and survival
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recap. All right, let's talk about the
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week there was. Let's talk about it.
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So guillotine graveyard, another team, bites of dust and leagues
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all across America this week we lost the Swifties and referees.
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So Tommy, frequent friend of the show, he had a really good team
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and. He did.
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As with always, he spends $500 to get Bichon Robinson to lock
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it up, his post by week fab acquisition to then join Jamir
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Gibbs, which it was on by last week obviously.
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But man that would have been a very strong running back duo
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going for the rest of the season.
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But alas, Bijan will be on the block again as he dropped a 5.8
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bagger on him with 48 total yards, 3 catches and then he
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fumble. So he lost two of those points
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right on back. So Bijan is the reason he lost
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his head this week. He had many poor performance.
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Series. He was he was the main 1 though.
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I mean that was the expected 20 points.
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If he would have done half those he still would have his head.
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But like Buca didn't have the best week so he only had three
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for 35. Mclaurin tried to save him on
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Monday night despite getting hardly any targets he get the
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ones he got were huge. So even with Josh Allen, it's
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normally like a cheat code to the next week, especially when
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you're coupling him with Bijan Robinson and Mark Buca.
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Yeah, normally a pretty good, but this week not so much.
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So we lost another one. Great team, great player, but
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he's got a lot of high spending guys.
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All the fad money is going to be gone after this week.
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So everybody's going to be cheap.
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Whoever doesn't get Jameer Gibbs, Bijan Robinson, Josh
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Allen, Mecca Buca, those are some in gamers.
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So he had he is well on his way to his eight in gamers now.
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It's just good for the rest of the league.
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And This is why you want to keep your fab people.
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Why we keep trying to say it. So the all the ones that bid a
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lot on B John Robinson last week and didn't get them here he is
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again. It's like we say you get
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multiple times to bid on these guys for the most part, that's
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right, every week, especially as you get later.
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These teams already have probably 2 to 3 in game players
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already. So those guys all going to the
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pool. So it's kind of fun.
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When you get desperate like I've been, yes.
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So I am the cockroach La Cucaracha in our our league.
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I should be dead multiple times, but you can't kill me, ladies
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and gentlemen, you cannot kill me.
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I will not die because I tend to have just random good
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performances and the guys that I spend my fab one because I am
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desperate and I've spent a lot of my fab tend to just not show
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up like Jake Ferguson. Yeah.
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I spent a bunch of fab on Jake Ferguson.
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He went over. We'll talk about that later.
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I spent fab one, spent some rattler.
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Oops. I spent some fab one.
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I spent some fab 1 like. $2.00. Yeah.
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So that's it's a good segue, so. Spending.
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Some fab and $2.00. I don't think that counts too.
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So there's there's no lessons learned for why our Swifties
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referees team got knocked out. It's just bad luck and Jameer
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Gibbs on by and Bijon Robinson having his worst week in two
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seasons. That's it.
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He started everybody you're supposed to start.
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Jordan Mason also did him dirty right off the bat.
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I think he got. I don't even know. 1.6.
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Yeah, 1.6 couldn't even get to 2 points. 4 carries to get 3
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rushing yards. So there's the reason.
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But on a bye week picked up a player that should have probably
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done pretty well and it's never been that bad.
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And that's just kind of what's up.
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So lessons learned. Guillotine is unpredictable.
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Any team can go out any given week.
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So don't be feeling super confident every week because it
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might be you coming up. But anyway, let's go into
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survival strategy spotlight. So this week, because now you've
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now lost Cam scatter. That was the big injury loss for
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this week. Super sad fun watching that guy
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do backflips and run around. Just a crazy man, but he should
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be back next year. So it seemed like initial
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reports he had surgery on a very gruesome injury.
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Don't look at that one if you have a queasy stomach.
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But Cam Scataboo should be back next year.
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Prayers up to you from the shrewdness, Cam.
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Look forward to having you back on the field next year.
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But for this week, so if you got to cover down on buys, this
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week's buys or Cleveland, Jets, Philly and Tampa.
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So there's some big players. So Quinn, John Judkins, probably
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the only one really have note for Cleveland.
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Jets got Breece Hall. Philly obviously have Jalen
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Hurts at QB and Saquon Barkley. A.J.
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Brown didn't play this last week, but he's not playing this
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week either. And then Tampa, he got a Buca
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and Baker and Bucky Irving still been out.
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So that's our big teams on by. That's the ones you got to
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playing around and skate through.
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So between injuries and byes, that's what we got next.
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So Prue, let's walk us into who to spend the fab on, how much
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and kind of circumstances if we go into this.
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Yeah, so I know, I know Baker and and Jamir Gibbs and and
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Bijan were among the top players cut this week in the most
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leagues across the nation. So yeah, those are probably guys
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you're going to have to bid on in our league.
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I had Bijan last week and went out and I know he went for five
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O 2. And went out again.
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And he went out again. So the team this week is
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probably going to have to spend 400 to 450 pretty easily on
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Dijon. If you're fortunate enough to
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have Jimmy Gibbs up for auction 2, he's another guy that could
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go for easily that much. Both of them are both post by
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players, so they're going to, you know, be as you can throw in
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there every week. They're both considered in
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gamers, so. And CMC was probably on a lot of
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cut lists this week too. Would you put him in that same
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list? Probably three 5400 range.
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Yeah, he still has some minor injury risk and he still has his
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buy to go through. So that's true.
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Yeah, I would say not quite as much for CMC, but he's he's
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definitely an in gamer. If you think you can get by
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during, I think there's this week 14 in it.
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Yeah, yeah, I think New England and San Fran so.
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If you're, if you're willing to roll the dice and see how you,
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you know, make sure you get to week 14, CMC is a guy that can
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get you there for sure. So yeah, those top running backs
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are still going to go for 3:50 to 400 most likely.
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Yep. And this is a bad week to I mean
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that this week puts a lot of focus on those top running backs
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because we had so many high scoring ones That's right into
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that a little bit later, but so. Drake London is probably on the
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chopped list too. So for a top white out like that
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that we consider in game and probably a Mecha Buka too.
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I mean he's he's been our league again, when you get 6 points
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from a guy who depend on to be your wide receiver one, what do
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you get these guys? So the wide receivers they they
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don't tend to go for as much. Like even the Jamar chases
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weren't going for 400. So what do you think these guys
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go for for a reasonable bid to try and get them?
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If you want to get them, what do you think you have to bid?
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I think you're up near 250 probably to to get a top white
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out. Yeah, if you, if you really
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consider him a top five to seven, you know, type white out
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that you can throw in there the rest of the season.
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Drake London is post by. He's coming off an injury so
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there's a little bit of lingering injury risk thing.
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Or something like that. But they do expect him to play
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this week, so we'll have to see what's up.
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And Ibuka is I think on the mend.
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Seems like he had AI mean he played the whole game, so he
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should rebound and and continue to score.
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Well, he just had an off week, I think, but it's going to take I
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would say at least 180 and more like 240 to 260 in that range to
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get a top white out. Yeah, depending on, you know,
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how what teams are left and who's got who.
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And I mean, that's the type of range you're talking about.
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And then lastly, Prue, I want to hit you with this one.
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So Jake turned Ferguson, who threw up a 0, is probably also
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available in a quite a few leagues because getting a zero
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from your tight end slot really hurts this time of year.
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If Turd Ferguson, number one tight end in fantasy, is
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available in your league, what are you doing for him?
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Chiz, I think you spent 55 or something on him last week,
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something like that. I still think that's probably a
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decent bid for for a top tight end.
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If you want to be sure that you can get him, I would say 70 to
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70, 7, something like that. Be a be a little bit unique.
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You don't want to bid 70 right on the .75 right on the dot.
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Yeah, those round numbers are death for bidding.
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That's right. Yep.
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So pick a random number like 70 to 82 or something somewhere in
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there. I think you'll secure pretty
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much any tight end that you want that's available.
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All right. And the quarterbacks aren't
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quite as much. I mean, I don't know how
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someone's had Lamar Jackson survive this many weeks, but say
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Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, one of those guys is out there.
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Last position kind of where do you think the ranges for those
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guys are? I think they're probably more 85
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to 110, but are you in the same boat or more than that to get
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them? 85, I think it's going to be,
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you'd be really well off to get him a top quarterback for 85.
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I think it's more like the 110 that you mentioned, maybe even
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125 for Josh Allen's and the and the Lamar's.
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Lamar's, you know, post by now. Yeah, even though he's coming
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back from injury and all that, he's still Lamar Jackson.
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He can still put up 25 to 30 points on a good week so.
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Absolutely, especially. He's.
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Still going to run the hamstring is what makes me nervous on
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Lamar. So for the folks bidding on him,
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I always hate the hammies. I know.
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Especially when you're a running quarterback and that is what you
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do like Josh Allen does too, right?
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But he's not coming back from an injury.
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So if you're bidding on both those, I'd probably man, it's
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hard not to get Lamar on your team and just assume he's fine
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if he's playing, man. Soft tissues.
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We don't like soft tissue. He's had a few weeks to heal up
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so you got to hope that they're doing the smart thing and and
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not bringing him back too soon. That's right.
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The Ravens season is kind of toast really right now.
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It'd take a small miracle for them to get back into the
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playoffs picture, so I don't see them bringing back Lamar too
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early to try to salvage their season.
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I think he's ready. Yeah, I think that's why I rode
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the bench last week. All right, I want to take us
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into our shrewdness sleepers to help us.
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Also, if you don't win your fab bitch like son of a biscuit.
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Now what do I do? Chisholm?
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Where can we start off on sleepers?
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Who is your sleeper of the week again?
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We're looking at less than 40% owned.
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We got to try and get you double digits.
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Who's your guy for this week? That's probably going to be on
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the labor wire after all the fab bits go through.
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Yeah, last, yeah, last last week I gave you Keyshawn Booty and he
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gave you 16 1/2 points, so hopefully you swiped him up this
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week. I feel a very distinct movement
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in the force within the Titans offense and it is time to yeah,
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it is definitely time to move to Taje Spears away from Tony
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Pollard. He's getting more and more of
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the snap count. Think they want to see if this
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guy could be the guy. Would not at all be surprised if
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Tony Pollard actually gets traded because he is a smart.
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For them. He's a pretty useful running
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back actually, There's no reason for him to waste carries on the
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Titans at this point. So I think Taje Spears, if he is
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available, and he should be because in most leagues less
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than 40% is he owned. He's going against the Chargers.
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The Chargers defense is not anything to write home about.
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I think they're going to try to run more and more to, you know,
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take a little bit of pressure off of.
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That Tennessee. Wide out crew.
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Those wide receivers that are just household names, right?
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Yeah, you might be right, I feel.
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Like I feel like, you know, see what you got in Taji.
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So I feel like he's going to get at least one tutty.
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Well, that actually that may be the only teddy they get.
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So he's gonna get the teddy from the Titans.
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Yeah. And let's go with.
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Titles better than anybody. Else that's right through AKA
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Mr. Tight End, where are we going this?
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Tight end, are we doing this week?
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My string of five tight ends has proven to be 00 slicker picks
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that have hit. I've been close a couple times,
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but. Not really.
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You're close once don't even add up to 10 points if you honest.
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If you flip Taylor like the only week I picked.
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Taylor. He's had it.
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He's hit it two other weeks, just not the week I picked him.
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So yeah. He hasn't hit us since, really.
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I'm still learning, yeah. So I like.
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I do like a tight end this week. Believe it or not, this is I
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have a better reason for just. Where's the mute?
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Where's the mute button? I need to move you guys for a
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second. So AJ Barner for Seattle
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against. It's gonna be a good one.
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Against Washington. Against Washington.
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OK. All right.
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Washington Washington just gave up how many catches and yards?
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It's trash touchdown. See man, he's a whole timer.
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Yeah. He has the most touchdowns in
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Chiefs history. Yeah, A.
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Little bit different, a little different.
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You have not seen Jay Barner unleashed.
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The Seahawks are coming off their by Yeah, they're well
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rested. Varner is has been a red zone
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threat for them. He's got, yeah, multiple
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touchdowns, so a lot more than their wide receiver, too, can
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tell you that, right? Right.
00:16:06
So this is the backup Seattle Seahawks tight end.
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Isn't Arroyo the starter? No, well, I, I don't.
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He's the red zone tight. End Dex.
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He's the red zone tight. End He's the starter in the end
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zone. I don't know if you've watched
00:16:21
the Seahawks this year, but they they like rotate bodies like
00:16:24
nobody's business. Yes.
00:16:25
Like even their top wide receivers are only in the in the
00:16:28
game 40% of the plays, something like that.
00:16:31
Yeah. So they're rotating in so.
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What happens? We don't have any good players.
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They all rotate. They have, they have JSN and
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then everybody else, right, so, right, so.
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We'll throw Cooper Cup into the rest too, because he sucks,
00:16:46
yeah. He's been, he's been awful this
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year, but Arnard has several tight or several touchdowns as
00:16:52
the I would call him tight end 1 1/2.
00:16:55
Like he plays a lot. There's no tight.
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End one, we have two and three, he's tight end, 2 1/2.
00:17:02
Right. I'm gonna hit a tight end before
00:17:04
the end of the season decks and. I really got five more weeks.
00:17:08
I'm gonna rub it in everybody's face.
00:17:10
Yeah. I told you, here it comes.
00:17:14
It's National Tight Ends Week early.
00:17:16
Last week. Yeah.
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So in honor of that. In honor of last week's tight.
00:17:23
End I'm picking a tight end for the last five weeks.
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I love it. All right, that's good.
00:17:27
Hey, man, this one's good to see.
00:17:29
Who do you got, man? All right, so I am going to.
00:17:33
Not to a tight end, I can tell you that I'm.
00:17:35
Not going to the tight. End right.
00:17:37
I don't think he's ever picked a tight end.
00:17:39
So I gave you one that's gonna be a surefire thing.
00:17:42
Manon Guy last week against Baltimore and they immediately
00:17:45
stopped using him back to DeAndre Swift.
00:17:48
Like we're not like he did too well.
00:17:49
DeAndre Swift paid him off. Like, listen, Putty, I've got a
00:17:52
family to feed. You're under rookie contract.
00:17:54
You just shut the hell up and sit back.
00:17:56
So Menon guy got put in a corner.
00:17:59
My bad on that one. Didn't think they just flipped
00:18:01
the script backwards. But this week I'm giving a guy
00:18:04
that can't be put on the bench. He is the deep threat for the
00:18:08
Giants. So Darius Slayton is going to be
00:18:10
home against San Francisco. They just lost scatter Boo.
00:18:13
Now they got Tyrone Tracy back at the running back position, I
00:18:16
think they're going to be throwing more because down
00:18:18
Tracy's not as good as scataboo so I like him.
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He is available in your leagues. I think he was 20% thereabouts
00:18:26
after Slayton had multiple targets and but for kind of a
00:18:30
janky offensive Pi call last week he had a 68 yard touchdown
00:18:34
pulled off the. Balls.
00:18:36
Which was junk but regardless Slayton, he's going to be
00:18:39
getting those targets. I think he led the team in
00:18:42
targets last week and if not, he's right there so Darius
00:18:45
Slayton home against San Francisco.
00:18:46
I like him this week for my. Shrewdest sleeper.
00:18:48
Sleeper. So we got Ty Shakespeare's.
00:18:51
We got Jay Barner. It's Darius Slayton, baby.
00:18:54
Let's go. Let's do this thing.
00:18:55
That is a list of players right there.
00:18:58
Who's who We're. Digging deep, everybody.
00:19:02
And remember our, our, our requirements are they have to be
00:19:05
owned by less than 40% in the leagues, owned in less than 40%
00:19:09
of the leagues and we have to project them to be get more than
00:19:13
10 points. So the pig is a pretty slim and
00:19:15
these guys 21%. Get 10 by the way, so.
00:19:18
We're taking a. Little leap here, and like I
00:19:21
said, this is after you miss all your fab bids.
00:19:23
Who's left, right? These guys are left, so might as
00:19:26
well give these guys a shot. All right, gents, let's move
00:19:29
into our fab. All right?
00:19:32
Yeah, our high upside guys and fab priorities.
00:19:35
So Chisholm, who'd we got available by position this week
00:19:39
and maybe you want to throw some fab on them.
00:19:40
Maybe they're available for free agents after everything goes
00:19:43
through. Who do we get?
00:19:45
That's right, some guys that we like this week as a Group 1, Tua
00:19:49
is still alive and he actually showed up and had a heck of a
00:19:52
game last week. So I was shocked to a return and
00:19:57
they seem to have a little fight left in them.
00:19:59
I thought their coach will be gone by now.
00:20:01
There seem to be all kinds of stuff going on and they come out
00:20:04
and just absolutely boat raced and won.
00:20:06
And now they're going against Baltimore, who, as Pruitt said,
00:20:11
doesn't really have a lot to play for and their defense is
00:20:14
atrocious. So if you can get to and you
00:20:17
probably can, then then he is definitely worth a flyer start
00:20:23
this week. We also like Sam Darnold,
00:20:26
similar reasons. Washington, we saw what their
00:20:28
secondary could or could not do last night against the Chiefs
00:20:32
and Darnold coming off a bye should be fresh as Pruitt was
00:20:37
saying. So he's worth a look also Joe
00:20:42
Flacco Flacco Flacco flame the ageless wonder is going against
00:20:48
the the bears and I mean say what you want about Joe Joe has
00:20:53
put up some decent numbers he. Looks rehuvenated there.
00:20:56
For the 41 year old specimen that he is, I mean that is you
00:21:02
could do a lot worse than Joe Flacco and there's been a lot of
00:21:05
quarterbacks that showed you that last couple weeks.
00:21:08
He still throws the deep ball better than most quarterbacks in
00:21:11
the league. He really does if you want to
00:21:14
go. TF ING Higgins help make the
00:21:17
ball look better? Yeah, so he definitely has the
00:21:20
weapons to throw to on that team and he hadn't had that in a
00:21:23
while. So it's it is kind of fun to
00:21:25
watch. And then we're going to go even
00:21:27
deeper. Super here, roll the dice, roll
00:21:30
the dice. Side upside.
00:21:32
Dexter's actually playing corner for the Lions this week, so.
00:21:37
Yep. JJ McCarthy is back and.
00:21:42
By default. Minnesota has to win this game
00:21:45
and they're gonna have to throw to do it.
00:21:48
So yeah, he's worth the flyer as well at Detroit this week.
00:21:52
So those are. Guys that Justin Jefferson and
00:21:54
Jordan Addison and they got Aaron Jones back who catches
00:21:58
passes. There's just a lot of
00:21:59
opportunities for yards to come in, right Plus McCarthy should
00:22:02
be running some, so he should scramble for a handful.
00:22:05
He. Should be 30.
00:22:06
We're doing well. Yeah.
00:22:08
So we'll see what happens. He's probably 4th on that list.
00:22:11
But hey, if you're looking at this list, you've missed
00:22:14
everybody else that's out there. Yeah.
00:22:16
And if you really, I mean, you probably had Jalen Hurts or
00:22:19
Baker Mayfield, right, You don't have to worry about it this
00:22:21
week. Well, this week you might be
00:22:22
starting to a Darnold, McCarthy or Flacco, so.
00:22:25
Some of us are looking at this list every week.
00:22:28
I'm always trying to find some scrappy quarterback to try and
00:22:32
give me through the week, so I'm intrigued by this segment.
00:22:35
I would have killed for Joe Flacco in Week 2.
00:22:38
Right, Absolutely, absolutely. Now running back, we move to
00:22:41
running back. Now running back's always
00:22:42
tougher because there's just not as many of them and people have
00:22:46
them stockpiled. So a lot of guys in your league
00:22:48
that are still there have some really good running backs on
00:22:50
their bench. And if you're, if you're like
00:22:53
me, you're hoping that you could get one of those running backs.
00:22:56
They're not available, but these guys probably are.
00:22:59
Unfortunately, as we mentioned, Mr. Scataboo went down South.
00:23:02
Tyrone Tracy is back in play. If he's available, he's gonna
00:23:07
get the lion's share of the carries.
00:23:08
And that team has some fight to it now.
00:23:11
They look like a team that wants to win.
00:23:13
And I think, you know, Tyrone Tracy has always had some
00:23:16
talent. He just hasn't had it manifest
00:23:19
itself in the score line. And maybe he wasn't bad easily.
00:23:23
No, it wasn't bad you. Remember last year he was pretty
00:23:25
helpful. Fantasy Asset.
00:23:27
He's mostly a flex guy. But he's a flex guy that.
00:23:30
Had a lot of catches. He overtook Singletary.
00:23:33
He did Singletary was the story last year.
00:23:35
Now he's third string or yeah second string now but.
00:23:38
Singletary is now he's second option.
00:23:41
All right, but but if you're gonna go between those two,
00:23:43
Tyrone Tracy is definitely the guy to.
00:23:45
Get yeah. Yeah.
00:23:46
And you know, Benching can do something to guys too.
00:23:49
So it'll be interesting to see how he responds because he's now
00:23:52
probably realized like, wait, like Joe is not mine.
00:23:55
So I need to do a lot to win it back at this point or get get
00:23:59
signed in free agency next year. So Taji Spears, we mentioned, I
00:24:02
think he's gonna get more carries.
00:24:03
So we'll check him out. And then another one we really
00:24:05
like going against the worst defense I have ever seen.
00:24:09
I believe the Dallas Cowboys literally are the worst defense
00:24:13
I've ever seen. I've never seen guys so wide
00:24:15
open. I've never seen holes so big to
00:24:17
run through. Like it looked like it was like
00:24:19
a scrimmage when I was watching to play Denver.
00:24:21
I was like, are they trying to cover?
00:24:23
People are they trying to tackle, tackle practice where
00:24:26
you just kind of run through gaping holes and.
00:24:28
Look at you. It was that's Dallas.
00:24:30
Believable, like, like. The Dallas Cowboys of old with
00:24:35
when Emmett Smith had those kind of holes to run through all the
00:24:37
time. They did.
00:24:39
It was like it looked exactly like that.
00:24:40
On the other side, they made RJ Harvey look like a incredible
00:24:44
running back. So I feel like Bam Knight is
00:24:48
going to do something similar this this week.
00:24:50
Arizona is going to have a chance to gash the Cowboys this
00:24:54
week. Bam Knight is the number one
00:24:56
guy, so he's available, I can almost assure it.
00:24:59
So he's worth a pick up for. You yeah he'll be a week rental
00:25:04
because Trey Benson should be come back eventually but.
00:25:07
Bam, Yeah. Yeah, that's a perfect running
00:25:11
back name. It is right, yeah. 58193 or
00:25:15
something like. Yeah, that's exactly right.
00:25:18
Need a little heft on you to be have a nickname?
00:25:21
Totally all. Right.
00:25:23
What are some white outs we need to pick up?
00:25:25
Look at the white out room. Another tough position to pick
00:25:29
up guys. We mentioned Slayton.
00:25:32
Yep, so he's the guy to look at. We mentioned my sleeper that hit
00:25:36
last week, Keyshawn Booty. He doesn't get a ton of targets,
00:25:39
but he tends to catch them and he's been targeted in the end
00:25:43
zone a lot lately. So you can do worse than him.
00:25:46
The guy that's popped lately out of the Broncos.
00:25:48
The Broncos tend to have a like a rotating receiver, like hot
00:25:52
receiver, but more and more identifying the pattern of in
00:25:55
the red zone. Troy Franklin.
00:25:58
This seems to be the guy that they go to a lot.
00:26:00
So Troy Franklin's probably available in your league and he
00:26:05
may be getting hot at the right time for your for your
00:26:08
guillotine team. And then this is a deep one.
00:26:12
But amongst a bunch of really bad whiteouts in Tennessee, Kim
00:26:17
Ray DK is the guy who seems to have the most upside.
00:26:21
So yeah, the rookie is a rookie. He's fast.
00:26:25
They're trying to get him the ball in different ways, some
00:26:28
reverses, some bubble screens. So Kim Ray DK could be a guy
00:26:33
that, you know, we look for Rookie wide receivers are scary.
00:26:36
But this is the time of the season that they start to
00:26:38
establish themselves if they're going to be anything.
00:26:41
Yeah. So he's worth the flyer if you
00:26:43
if you need somebody. And on that note with the rookie
00:26:45
whiteouts, Pat Bryant just got his first touchdown with Denver
00:26:48
last week, so that was kind of a nice play.
00:26:51
And he's one that they were talking about in preseason
00:26:53
during camp and he was looking pretty good.
00:26:56
Yeah, it's just opportunities base.
00:26:57
It's always going to be Cortland Sutton, number one.
00:26:59
And they have Franklin Mims and they have all these guys, right?
00:27:02
He's just another one. If something happens down the
00:27:04
stretch, he could be a. He could be a nice part too.
00:27:06
But. But Nick is a guy who?
00:27:09
He will throw. And he will throw it deep.
00:27:11
So good call there too. Tight ends, if we go to the
00:27:14
tight end space, a guy that we liked early and he kind of fell
00:27:19
off the Cliff a little bit lately, but seems to be back as
00:27:23
Joan Johnson. And I think he's probably back
00:27:27
because of Chuck recognizing that he needs to throw to him.
00:27:32
So we saw last week when Chuck came in, he targeted Joan
00:27:37
Johnson pretty heavily. We got a guy there for you to
00:27:40
look at at tight end, Loveland, Colson, Loveland at Sensei.
00:27:46
Very, very vulnerable. Juicy matchup.
00:27:49
Juicy. Matchup.
00:27:50
The bottom three, bottom 3 defense versus tight ends.
00:27:54
So that's well that's gets a lot of people, but even tight ends,
00:27:58
right also. Totally, absolutely.
00:28:01
And then a guy who just seems to, when he's in catch
00:28:04
touchdowns is Pat Fryermuth. And they're playing the Colts.
00:28:08
They're probably gonna be behind.
00:28:09
They're probably gonna be throwing the ball.
00:28:11
And Friar Muth is a guy that just he's that red zone knack.
00:28:15
So if you're looking for a guy to target Friar Muth, you could
00:28:18
do a lot worse then this week. One that you, one that you left
00:28:22
off, I think you left off 1 tight end.
00:28:25
Hey, Jay. Barner Oh yes, yes, sorry, AJ
00:28:28
Barner. AJ Barner is another one I would
00:28:30
look at who is actually tight end one and one in red zone.
00:28:34
You say 1 or. One Seattle that's also probably
00:28:36
accurate. Now 98.
00:28:42
Well, let's talk about flip of the script.
00:28:44
Guys you can dump now, guys we're done with and we'll list
00:28:47
these off pretty quickly. The most obvious one at
00:28:49
quarterback Spencer Adler is officially bitched.
00:28:52
Bitched because Chisholm picked him up and since Pruitt had to,
00:28:57
Pruitt had to pass his Midas touch of whoever they touch gets
00:29:00
cut and so he wasn't in the league anymore to put the Midas
00:29:04
touch on someone. So pass that torch to Chisholm
00:29:07
and immediately Spencer Rally gets picked up and benched in
00:29:10
the same game. Don't even finish that.
00:29:13
Thing I almost started him, I almost started it would have
00:29:15
been the end of my season. Yes.
00:29:17
So that saved you? I did.
00:29:19
That would have sealed. It running back, though, there's
00:29:21
a lot of guys on that same team. We hate to say it because we
00:29:26
love this guy and he's got a fantasy Veins Day for many of us
00:29:29
for many years. Alvin Kamara.
00:29:36
It is time he has fallen off the proverbial running back Cliff.
00:29:41
And it's not a. Surprise, at his age, this is
00:29:45
when folks tend to fall off. But at his age, on a really bad
00:29:48
team, yeah, it's really bad. Like you.
00:29:51
Can drop that tombstone line. Smells like somebody died, bye.
00:29:58
And just cut Kamara and let someone else take him because
00:30:02
good Lord. I don't know how many weeks of
00:30:04
sub five points you need, but if you need one more you'll be on
00:30:08
the Chapel list next week. The only.
00:30:10
Value you can have in Alvin Kamara is if he happens to get
00:30:13
traded to a contender because he's he's there's no holes to
00:30:18
run through in New Orleans number one and his juice is gone
00:30:22
so. That's the problem exactly.
00:30:24
One touchdown this season? Yeah, one out of eight weeks.
00:30:31
And he's he's only averaging like 3 targets a game too.
00:30:34
It is. Which is crazy because.
00:30:36
This used to be used to catch, yeah. 7 or 8 balls a game.
00:30:41
That used to be the cheat code. It seems good for seven or eight
00:30:43
catches every game for a minimum 10 points.
00:30:46
That's right. And what's really bad is that
00:30:48
Tampa Bay allows a ton of backfield catches to running
00:30:51
backs. It's kind of one of their
00:30:52
bugaboos. 2 Alvin Kamara 2 So I don't know.
00:30:58
He had 6 carries for 21 last week, 2 catches for 24 yards and
00:31:03
it was only slight is the same as he did the week before
00:31:06
against Chicago. So he's he's gotten 12 points
00:31:09
total in two weeks. Yeah, that is not a recipe for
00:31:12
success. Just cut him and let someone
00:31:14
else do it. Unless you just don't have
00:31:16
anybody else. Yeah, Yeah.
00:31:18
But he should be your second flex at this point.
00:31:22
That's right. Another one that we mentioned,
00:31:26
Tony Pollard, not a bad running back, but he's on a really
00:31:29
terrible team and unless he gets traded, he's done guys.
00:31:32
He is what he is. He's not going to score any
00:31:34
touchdowns. He's not going to get any big
00:31:37
plays he's going to get. He's one of those guys that's
00:31:39
going to get 10 carries for 24 yards and that's kind of two
00:31:43
catches. For 14 exactly boys.
00:31:47
I can escort the Tennessee touchdown.
00:31:50
It's. Not they're not feeding him
00:31:53
another guy. We're kind of sad about calling
00:31:55
it on, but Bill, Bill Krosky Merritt, love this story.
00:32:01
He was a fun thing coming out of the end.
00:32:03
You know, they they made a trade because they believed in him,
00:32:06
but man, there's just not there's nothing there.
00:32:08
There's no holes for him to run through that lines not doing
00:32:11
anything. That team has come back to earth
00:32:14
big time this year and. His last three weeks, 5.84.22.5
00:32:22
fantasy points. That's a month of nothingness.
00:32:25
In October, chopped. That's.
00:32:27
Right, you will lose your head quickly.
00:32:30
Guy that came back this week but didn't really is Tuba Hubbard.
00:32:34
It looks like that that ball has officially been given to his
00:32:39
backup. Rico Dowdle is now the guy and
00:32:45
Tuba is just not gonna get the ball that much.
00:32:47
And that's another team that's not good enough to have two
00:32:50
running backs. So you better get the right.
00:32:52
One and feed them both. Yeah, that's right.
00:32:54
Yeah, and then one that we all drafted too early specific
00:33:02
Trayvion Anderson. Man, that I wonder how many
00:33:06
heads are rolling around because of that kickoff return in
00:33:09
preseason. Trayvon Henderson, who looked
00:33:12
like lightning in a bottle and like the combination of like
00:33:18
he's just not getting the volume of touches and quite honestly,
00:33:23
like the coaching coaching staff there values the experience that
00:33:29
refumbly Stevenson provides, evidently.
00:33:31
And they really value more fumbles, like Trevion hasn't
00:33:34
turned the ball over enough, like you need to dump that thing
00:33:37
on the turf at least once per game.
00:33:40
Then we'll give you all the goal lines, we'll give you that Lion,
00:33:43
share the carries and make sure you're way slower than your
00:33:47
backup and he's hanging on to the job with.
00:33:50
Stevenson is deliberate and patient with his runs.
00:33:54
Yes, he is. But he puts the.
00:33:57
Ball on the turf quickly, yes. He does get rid of those guys.
00:34:02
Wide receiver will go quicker here.
00:34:03
Jerry, Judy, man, so much talent.
00:34:06
Nope, not happening anymore. He's like in the football.
00:34:10
Gabriel can't get it there. Can't get it to him.
00:34:12
Keon Coleman and everybody loved this guy last year.
00:34:15
Keep giving him chances. He's just not going to produce
00:34:18
guys. He is what he is.
00:34:19
Yeah, he's going to get a couple catches of game at most.
00:34:22
He's there, Sky more is what he looks like to me.
00:34:25
Well, and it's it's Buffalo's offense too.
00:34:27
They flashed the stat up this week.
00:34:29
That said, I think Josh Allen has the least 20 yard air
00:34:36
throws. Yes, yeah.
00:34:38
In the league and honestly, they're just not throwing the
00:34:39
ball down. Yeah, yeah, they throw the short
00:34:42
to the tight ends and let them get 8 yards at a time and hand
00:34:45
it to James Cook. Yeah, and James Cook just run.
00:34:47
Alan can run. So it's like, you know, you
00:34:50
really don't need that. And it it works so that that's a
00:34:54
good one to cut bait on. And then another guy we loved
00:34:57
and man, he carried you for many years in fantasy.
00:35:00
Cooper cop y'all that don't fall prey to what we all do it
00:35:05
sometimes the sentimental right guys.
00:35:09
Cooper Cup How could Cooper Cup have a bad season?
00:35:12
This. Guy was an MVP.
00:35:14
How could ALDI short seasons have a bad season, right?
00:35:17
Yeah. Like Father Time is undefeated,
00:35:20
Yeah. And Cooper Cup has lost that
00:35:22
proverbial step and he is not going to be what he was.
00:35:26
So he's. Having beers with Alvin Kamara.
00:35:28
Yeah, Cup bait. It's.
00:35:30
OK, you can appreciate what they used to be, recognize what they
00:35:33
are today. It's time to move on.
00:35:35
That's right. Yeah.
00:35:36
Trade him for Fab to someone who's worse off than you.
00:35:39
Yes, that's right. And then to wrap it up, we got
00:35:41
tight ends, two guys you could cut now.
00:35:44
Mark Andrews, same thing. He's done.
00:35:46
We thought he was done last year and then he popped back up.
00:35:48
He was like, I'm not dead yet. I'm not supposed to be dead, but
00:35:55
he is. He's dead now.
00:35:56
He is. With both of the stick.
00:35:58
It's official in. Honor of Halloween.
00:36:01
He's finally dead like Michael Myers.
00:36:04
Like it took 7 movies to kill this mofo.
00:36:07
Right. Now he's down, people.
00:36:10
He's actually dead and a little more controversial.
00:36:13
He might not be dead, but we thinking he's looking dead is TJ
00:36:16
Hawkinson. So TJ Hawkinson love TJ
00:36:18
Hawkinson, He's always been reliable fun guy to to root for
00:36:22
just seems to have lost it this year a little bit and he's not
00:36:25
going to put up the numbers you expect from your tight end one
00:36:28
anymore. So time to cut made on TJ
00:36:31
Hawkinson. So those are guys that we have
00:36:33
called it on and you should too. Dex, let's pass it to you to
00:36:38
talk about Saints and sinners, guys that saved you and guys
00:36:41
that killed you. This.
00:36:42
We gotta run through this, but the ones that got you through
00:36:45
the week, no matter what, specifically for Chisholm, James
00:36:48
Cook. So kudos to James.
00:36:52
A beast. 216 and two touchdowns, the highest scoring fancy player
00:36:56
of the week, which was like Chisholm was an extra backpack
00:37:02
on James Cook's back this week. So that's number one, Jonathan
00:37:06
Taylor, who's on this list every single week. 153 and two
00:37:09
touchdowns and two more catches. 21 yards and another touchdown.
00:37:14
So another. 3 touchdown. Triple first guy, man, it's 3
00:37:16
touchdown a week. I mean, the guy's riding that
00:37:19
guy. Good luck.
00:37:21
When we get to what week is it? Week 11, Week 11, You're not
00:37:25
going to get your Jonathan Taylor 3 touchdown game anymore.
00:37:29
Yeah. So we'll see if he's available
00:37:30
week 12 for you guys out there. Automatic 30 points every week.
00:37:34
That's right, Saquon Barkley, I guess we poked him enough and
00:37:38
prodded him enough on this show. 50 in a tutty and I'm going to
00:37:41
take 4 catches because he said I can't catch either anymore and
00:37:44
I'll get another tutty. So good job Saquon for showing
00:37:47
up this season. Finally Breece Hall 1:33 and
00:37:51
2:00 for The Jets in an amazing game for them.
00:37:54
Golf clap, it was awesome. Breece Hall very nice.
00:37:58
So Jets got off this night. And throwing touchdown.
00:38:02
Oh yeah, that's right. I forgot about that.
00:38:04
So Justin Fields let the guy who actually knows how to throw
00:38:07
throw briefs off. Right.
00:38:11
So then we had in honor of tight end weekend, National Tight End
00:38:15
Day, Tucker Craft, who we personally made some money on in
00:38:19
the shrewdness because we did some prop bets on him.
00:38:21
But seven for 1:43 and 2:00, I think he's over under for four
00:38:25
and a half, 51 and just -110 for the tutty.
00:38:29
But damn, we got paid on him. So Tucker Craft, hopefully you
00:38:32
had some too on the same game. Jordan Love 360 yards, 3
00:38:38
touchdowns. Very helpful in getting.
00:38:41
To the game for him. Yes, and I think you mentioned
00:38:44
earlier RJ Harvey, so not a ton of carries really, but three
00:38:48
touchdowns, so 46 yards on the ground, two touchdowns, only had
00:38:52
the one catch for five. Also got a touchdown and it one
00:38:56
of his rushing basically stole it from JK.
00:39:00
Yeah, you did. JK gets all right out of the one
00:39:02
and then you're a Wildcat and well, let's sell out JK Dobbins
00:39:06
and put me in RJI need. To.
00:39:09
Pass my stats. Get out here, old man.
00:39:11
I think those were the first 3 touchdowns of the season for RJ
00:39:15
and he got them all in one game. If I'm not.
00:39:17
He's got a whole got the hat trick.
00:39:20
Which means chances are, nobody had it had started them.
00:39:23
But. Yeah.
00:39:24
No. Everybody was.
00:39:25
Dumping him he was on you can cut he.
00:39:27
Was all my best, so yeah. A lot of people's bitch because
00:39:30
beforehand he was getting you 4 points a week.
00:39:33
He was killing. People, nobody could expect
00:39:35
that. Troy Franklin so in that same
00:39:37
game, 6 for 89, two touchdowns. So the the not Sutton receiver
00:39:41
of the game was Troy Franklin in his best game.
00:39:45
So he saved your waiver wire. That dude was definitely off the
00:39:47
bench in the waiver wire for you.
00:39:49
So good job putting him in the lineup.
00:39:50
You went that route. Drake May had another good game
00:39:54
again. I think he is absolutely for
00:39:56
real. Yeah, I think that team is going
00:39:59
to be good for a lot of years. SO2823 touchdowns and then fifty
00:40:02
more yards on the ground for Drake May.
00:40:05
For she rice so Monday night game 9 for 93 and a touchdown
00:40:11
and he also threw a ball out of guys helmet.
00:40:13
But if you see the correct angle, because it's amazing what
00:40:19
the media will do right we've. Seen.
00:40:21
This the one angle looks like you're just being a punk then
00:40:24
they show the other angle and who's on the other side of the
00:40:26
helmet the ref. So she Rice gets 15 yard penalty
00:40:31
and when they show the other angle like yeah, dude just in
00:40:34
the way and he's a wide out he can't throw makes sense, right?
00:40:38
He totally threw like Justin Fields and hit the guy in the
00:40:41
helmet. It just happens right.
00:40:44
It's what it is we talked about to us.
00:40:46
So he had a four touchdown game. Huge Kimani Videl for the
00:40:50
Chargers, another big week 100 and on Marion Hampton's coming
00:40:55
back in a week or two. But by Dell, what's that
00:40:59
back-to-back 100 yard games? I don't know.
00:41:01
He's kind of. Pretty tough to sit a guy like
00:41:03
that. Yeah, so Rico O'dowdell said
00:41:05
it's not that hard, bro. Just get a couple of hundos
00:41:07
behind your belt and it'll it'll give the other guy that job
00:41:09
back. It's great.
00:41:11
So just I don't know if he's necessarily going to lose too
00:41:14
many touches when Hampton gets back.
00:41:16
So anyway, just one of those to look at another waiver wire guy
00:41:20
that hooked you up last week, Semaje P Ryan, my seder, right?
00:41:25
So 94 yards and a tutty and finally Keshon Booty, 3 for 75
00:41:30
and a touchdown. So those were the Saints that
00:41:32
got you through in your waiver wire your five weeks and just
00:41:36
the main guys you counted on that hooked you up.
00:41:38
And again, as Chisholm knows, you only need one of those guys
00:41:41
to go off to get you to the next week because here's the sinners,
00:41:47
the ones that in honor of Halloween, demonized your team.
00:41:50
They're trying to bring it to the grave.
00:41:53
And he hasn't had a couple of these guys, too.
00:41:55
Amazing. That's how good James Cook was.
00:41:57
He overcame Jake Ferguson, tight end number one in the League 0.
00:42:04
Man. 1. Target Goose.
00:42:06
And how'd I do that that? Was.
00:42:08
Awesome target, my God. Just see that I'm making stuff.
00:42:11
How'd? You.
00:42:12
Do that. You're listening to this
00:42:13
episode. You gotta go back onto the
00:42:15
YouTube channel later. I just made hearts.
00:42:17
This is cool. Anyway, it's supposed to be a
00:42:20
zero. They didn't make enough zeros,
00:42:22
but it's cool anyway. Why is Dexter the only one that
00:42:25
can do it? Because I'm.
00:42:26
Awesome. Yeah, right.
00:42:27
You got to make better hearts, obviously.
00:42:30
Dalton Kincaid. Dalton Kincaid one for 23.
00:42:33
So stick with our tight ends. 2 dudes gave you a whole bunch of
00:42:36
nothing. TJ Hawkinson, another horrible
00:42:39
1/2 for 26. So tight ends were letting you
00:42:42
down all over the place on National Tight End Day.
00:42:46
CMC and Jordan Mason, former teammates, gave you similar stat
00:42:50
lines. Not really.
00:42:52
Jordan Mason was way worse. So Mason, 6 total yards on five
00:42:58
touches. That is hard to do.
00:43:01
That's tough to do as he's starting running back for an NFL
00:43:05
team. Not good.
00:43:06
CMC, the lowest total of the week.
00:43:08
That's why I'm saying he's probably gonna be available for
00:43:10
some fab auction bucks this week. 8 rushes for 25 yards
00:43:14
after his huge week last week, and only three catches.
00:43:17
So he's normally giving you 8 to 10 now.
00:43:20
Only three for 43 this week, his first single digit performance
00:43:23
of the season. 9.8 Judkins, who's been doing very well for
00:43:28
Cleveland. 9 for 19 and three for -2 I'm not sure boys.
00:43:33
You like Judkins going forward. Does this give you some pause?
00:43:37
He's one I wanted to kind of hit on cuz he's been really good.
00:43:39
I think he's been moving into art like in game kind of player
00:43:42
the way he's been playing. What do you guys think about
00:43:44
Quinch on Judkins? If he's on the Fab for this
00:43:48
week, what are you doing on him? Problem is, he's got his bi.
00:43:52
Yeah, right. So like, are you willing?
00:43:57
To go for cheap. This is my point, yeah.
00:44:00
I know that's the thing, you could probably get in for cheap
00:44:02
and that's not a bad play right now gonna.
00:44:05
Get you to the next week maybe? You just, you can't be desperate
00:44:08
because if you, you know, you're gonna have to feel really good
00:44:11
where you have running backs to, to go out and and do something
00:44:14
like that. Yeah, it's a great strategy,
00:44:16
though. We, we, you know, I in my other
00:44:19
league, I have a guy who did the exact thing with Puka Nakua.
00:44:24
Yep, he. Went and got him much cheaper
00:44:28
because I think everyone thought I'm going to wait and bid on
00:44:31
puka next. That's my point.
00:44:33
I think you can get AI think you can get a deal on him if you
00:44:36
have the bench spot and you already have a guy.
00:44:39
If you have two running backs already, this guy would suddenly
00:44:42
be your flex or just replace one of your top 2 backs.
00:44:46
I really think he's that good. That's how I want to hit on him.
00:44:49
Pruitt, what do you think about him going to the bye week?
00:44:51
Would you still bid on him? Yeah.
00:44:53
That's, that's been one of my strategies actually in the past
00:44:55
years. I got Saquon during his bye week
00:44:59
last year and it was kind of before he like totally went off
00:45:03
or. Whatever.
00:45:04
Yeah, it was early and I picked him up week 5 and then wrote him
00:45:08
the rest of the year and and he was awesome.
00:45:10
And so it worked out super great.
00:45:12
And you're right, you just have to have two other serviceable
00:45:16
backs you can put in there for that week.
00:45:18
Yeah, you might be able to scoop him for like 50 to 80 bucks this
00:45:22
week too, whereas next week I think he goes for like 110 to
00:45:25
130. I think he.
00:45:26
Probably. Jumped almost double S in my
00:45:29
opinion. So anyway, so something to think
00:45:31
about out there in your guillo leagues.
00:45:33
If he's out there because he has such a bad week, he probably is,
00:45:36
probably is right. But he's had so many good weeks
00:45:39
in a lot of 15 plus weeks. That's pretty good.
00:45:43
Some of the whiteouts that killed everybody this week, like
00:45:46
legit killed him. Quintin Johnston for the
00:45:48
Chargers. He's.
00:45:50
I don't. Know, lad, Mcconkey said.
00:45:52
Get out of here, said my job. This is here.
00:45:55
Yeah. 0 coming back to the way it's supposed to be.
00:46:00
It is. Right and.
00:46:01
Then Jerry Judy 0 So we talked about him too.
00:46:04
Hollywood Brown, Zero. I mean, these guys, not even a
00:46:09
catch. That's crazy.
00:46:11
He John Robinson, one of the stars of this year's guillotine
00:46:16
season, 5.8 He killed you, man. So 25 yards on the ground, three
00:46:22
for 23, and a fumble with the receiving line. 5.8 Overall, he
00:46:28
was outscored by refumble a Stevenson with 5.9.
00:46:32
Another dud of the week. So Stevenson and Bijan brought
00:46:37
you 11 points together? Almost then Ibuka again one of
00:46:40
our in game whiteouts 3 for 35. I think he's going to continue
00:46:44
to be really good though. I think it's just a bad week for
00:46:46
Tampa and they didn't need to do much like it's 23 to 3.
00:46:50
All they do is just keep running with Tucker and Rashad White.
00:46:52
They. Didn't have.
00:46:53
To do much. And so they didn't.
00:46:55
And that's sometimes that's the way the script rolls.
00:46:57
I think Ibuka is going to be, if you can get him for cheap this
00:47:00
week, I think I mean 85 bucks, it'd be pretty awesome.
00:47:03
Get him. Then Alvin Kamara again.
00:47:06
He's done, man, He's done. Like just throw in the towel.
00:47:09
Let's. Stay away.
00:47:10
All right, so that's our Sinners and Saints this week.
00:47:13
Hopefully you can pick up some of those sinners, they're
00:47:15
actually in game players and get them on your team.
00:47:18
But now let's go into some of our shrewdness spuds for next
00:47:23
week. Pruitt.
00:47:24
Take us through the. Spuds we need to stay away from.
00:47:26
Yikes. Yeah, so we actually hit one
00:47:31
last week. Here we did.
00:47:34
Debo sucked nail. Dexter.
00:47:37
Yeah, Dexter picked Debo against the Chiefs and he was not great.
00:47:43
He had, no, I didn't write it down, but he had 4.2 points
00:47:46
overall, which was I think just three catches or something like
00:47:50
that. It's looking very 11 yards.
00:47:52
Fat bow. Right now, Debo's looking fat
00:47:54
bow. Yeah, he's just, I don't know,
00:47:57
the whole Washington team's kind of, you know, with.
00:48:00
General disarray. Yeah, with that Daniels in
00:48:04
there, he's he's kind of carrying the team.
00:48:06
I picked Ladd Mcconkey and like we said earlier, he said Quentin
00:48:11
Johnson, that's my job is to rack up all the catches in
00:48:15
yards. So Quentin Johnson took a big
00:48:18
fat 0 and Mcconkey was not a spud.
00:48:21
He was a stud this last week. Yeah, over 20.
00:48:24
Wrong. One, you had the wrong one.
00:48:26
Yep, picked the wrong 1. Chisholm picked CD Lamb against
00:48:30
Denver. Oops, who he thought would get
00:48:35
Sir tanned and he did for a while, but eventually, yeah,
00:48:40
yeah, taken out. He's got some injury problems,
00:48:44
so he went out. CD Lamb got his normal 7 plus
00:48:47
catches, I think. So 14.6 points for CD this week.
00:48:53
That's right. All right, so moving into week
00:48:55
9. Cheers.
00:48:57
Who do you like as a possible shooting a spud in week 9?
00:49:02
Yes, I really like to underperform Mr. Jalen Warren.
00:49:07
I there's a couple things I don't like about Jalen Warren.
00:49:09
One, they're going against Indianapolis and I don't think
00:49:12
they're going to be ahead. So I think they're going to have
00:49:14
to throw the ball a lot #2 He's one of those weird guys that
00:49:17
like, just even though he's listed as running back one, is
00:49:22
he? Really gets a lot of touches.
00:49:25
Gainwell gets a lot of touches and this feels like a a game for
00:49:30
him to disappear and to me. So I like Jalen Warren to
00:49:35
underperform. Hopefully you're not relying on
00:49:38
him. He is owned widely for sure, but
00:49:43
if you got anybody else as an option, I don't think you're
00:49:46
going to be in a position of strength with Jalen Warren this
00:49:48
week. Dex, what are you thinking?
00:49:52
All right, so my spud this week is really going because who the
00:49:55
quarterback's going to be, So Tyler Shuck, New Orleans is
00:49:57
going on the road to LA against McVeigh and the Los Angeles
00:50:02
Rams. Chow.
00:50:04
And we don't know how you get to shut off show shop.
00:50:09
Chow. Regardless, he's going to.
00:50:13
And Crystal Labbe, I think he's going to have a tough time
00:50:16
finding space, even though I think they're going to be behind
00:50:20
a lot. I also think it's going to be
00:50:21
not that hard to defend. So I think the Rams are going to
00:50:25
send everything they got at this rookie.
00:50:28
I don't know if he's going to be able to process it fast enough
00:50:30
if last week is any indication in their field goal to show for
00:50:34
it. I don't see a lot of touchdowns
00:50:36
happening. So now I'm going to look at a
00:50:37
lot of yards and catches. I don't see a lot of yards and
00:50:41
catches coming out of this. So I think Crystal Lab A is
00:50:44
someone to definitely temper expectation this week in LA.
00:50:48
So Crystal Lavey, my spud of the week, just close this out.
00:50:52
Or Pru. Well, I will, but I'll Pruitt
00:50:54
instead. How about that, Pru?
00:50:55
Yeah. Yeah, you do.
00:50:56
I want to yield my time to the gentleman from Kansas City.
00:51:01
We'll go to AJ. Barner No.
00:51:03
No, hey. So just a pause in the action
00:51:07
here. AJ Barner has had more than 10
00:51:09
points 4 times already this year.
00:51:12
Like what? So you.
00:51:14
Go. That's it.
00:51:16
Anytime touchdown AG Varner. I'm I'm in.
00:51:18
That's it. We're all right.
00:51:20
And he has four touchdowns and they were not all in the week,
00:51:22
so he got more than 10 points. He had 7 catches one week.
00:51:26
So yes, I take it so he can do it.
00:51:29
He can do it 2. And 1/2.
00:51:31
Believe this week. Carolina I believe in.
00:51:37
Yeah, Carolina goes to Green Bay and like we talked about
00:51:40
earlier, Godaddle has kind of secured that lead back role now.
00:51:45
So I do not think Tuba Hubbard is going to show very well in
00:51:50
Green Bay. He's predicted to have 6.6
00:51:53
points and I would be surprised if he gets to that to be honest.
00:51:59
So you're really. Going out on a limb that he's
00:52:00
not going to get to 11, aren't you?
00:52:03
Yeah, right. For sure.
00:52:05
He's he's saying I take the. Freebies and the layups.
00:52:08
Come on now, man. Well.
00:52:11
I'm gonna go for the guy that's like half projected.
00:52:13
The main purpose of this is like the guys that are owned by every
00:52:18
team, right? He's owned by like 95% of teams.
00:52:24
That's true. And I don't know why because.
00:52:27
Right. Because he's paid, is he?
00:52:29
Owned by 95. Chubby hubby's got like 15 mil
00:52:32
in his pocket for this season. Yeah, he's turning the wrong
00:52:34
direction for sure, and he's got a tough match up this week.
00:52:36
Yeah, Green Bay's a tough one for sure.
00:52:38
Yeah, even if he, I mean, even if he got a touchdown, he's not
00:52:42
getting to 11 points. Yeah, I just don't see the
00:52:44
touches that he's got. Running out the clock against
00:52:46
Green Bay and. The victory.
00:52:48
Formations. Right.
00:52:50
That would be shocking. Although they did lose to
00:52:52
Cleveland, so you know, it's true.
00:52:55
You never know. You never know.
00:52:57
That's why the NFL is great. So Jalen Warren, Crystal Lavey
00:53:00
and Chubby Hubby are spuds of the week.
00:53:03
Let's go to gambling jizz. Let's get it.
00:53:05
Let's finish strong here. What do we got?
00:53:08
All right. Well, we are still hitting an
00:53:10
incredible rate of our picks this year.
00:53:14
We are at 58%. We only did one for three last
00:53:18
week. So Pruitt gave you Philly Giants
00:53:20
over 43 1/2. He knew that the officials were
00:53:24
going to allow the Eagles to score at will, and they did.
00:53:27
Dex and I were a little less fortunate.
00:53:31
Dex took Falcons -7 1/2 versus Miami and whoa, was that wrong.
00:53:35
Yeah. And then I took the 49ers the
00:53:40
money line against Houston and whoa, was that wrong.
00:53:43
Both of those games were not close any other way.
00:53:46
We don't do that very often. And we are are, like I said, 58%
00:53:51
on the season. You're not going to find many
00:53:53
professional gamblers that are that high.
00:53:55
So if you can follow us this week, you're going to make some
00:53:58
more money. I will start us off.
00:54:01
I mentioned this game. I think Pittsburgh is overrated.
00:54:05
I think Pittsburgh is not as good as as people thought they
00:54:08
were. I think Pittsburgh is what they
00:54:10
always are, 9 and 8, and I think that's what they're going to end
00:54:15
up. It is what they are.
00:54:16
And I just saunter their way into the playoffs.
00:54:20
Squeak into the playoffs at 9:00 and 8:00.
00:54:22
And on the other side, I am actually finally a believer on
00:54:25
Indy. I was not a believer on them.
00:54:27
I don't think they've played the toughest schedule.
00:54:30
But Jonathan Taylor is ridiculous and you know, there's
00:54:34
a lot of guys that can play quarterback when you got
00:54:37
Jonathan Taylor getting 3 touchdowns every week.
00:54:39
But Daniel Jones is is a smart enough guy that he knows what
00:54:43
he's he's doing back there. He's not turning the ball over.
00:54:46
He's playing good. I think they're going to roll at
00:54:49
Pittsburgh, Indianapolis -3 I would probably have taken him if
00:54:54
it was -9 so I feel like this is going to be a big, big win for
00:55:01
Indy. Lock it up, I like it.
00:55:04
Dog, where are you this week? All right.
00:55:08
I've taken Philly a couple weeks in a row.
00:55:11
I'm going away from them this week because they're they're on.
00:55:14
By. On by so I can't bet on Philly
00:55:19
this week. If so, I would take the under
00:55:22
for sure. Now I'm going to go.
00:55:26
I I was really disappointed in Atlanta.
00:55:28
That's the second game this year where they were favored and
00:55:31
ended up just getting blown out, right?
00:55:35
Atlanta and or sorry, Miami and Carolina both just handed them
00:55:40
terrible losses where they just look like they imploded.
00:55:44
So I, I don't know, I'm really hesitant to, to back them on any
00:55:50
given week. They go to New England this week
00:55:53
and play against the Drake May offense that's looked really
00:55:57
good here lately. So I like New England this week
00:56:00
-5 1/2 she's Atlanta. Anything he gets, Atlanta is a
00:56:05
friend of the shrewdness because we've lost a lot of money
00:56:07
betting on Atlanta so. Yeah, but what's funny about
00:56:10
Atlanta is right, we bet against him.
00:56:12
Yeah, Michael Pinks and Go 380 and Drake London Bijan are going
00:56:18
to have the game of their life, right?
00:56:21
We'll see what happens this time, all right?
00:56:23
Atlanta curses. So, Dex, how?
00:56:25
What are you? What are you doing this week?
00:56:28
How are we feeling? You're a little cold.
00:56:29
You're going to turn it. You're going to break the
00:56:31
streak. Yep, I'm going back to smelly
00:56:33
turd picks. So smelly, stinky poop picks
00:56:36
that you shouldn't take at all. I'm going to go right back there
00:56:38
like let's under this dumpster. I've been doing the shiny ones,
00:56:41
like, oh shiny Little Rock, what's this Fool's cold is what
00:56:45
it is every time. So I'm going to the turds and we
00:56:48
normally shy away from big lines, right?
00:56:51
I'm going fattest line out through this week.
00:56:53
Rams -13 1/2 home against New Orleans.
00:56:56
That sounds. Why would you do that?
00:57:00
Well, let me tell you why I'm doing that because the one in
00:57:03
seven Saints are now starting their rookie quarterback and
00:57:08
they have scored 17 total points over the last two weeks against
00:57:12
the Bears and the Bucks. And the Bucks are good, sure,
00:57:15
but a field goal at home, that's all you can muster.
00:57:18
And now you got Tyler Shuck. And here's the deal.
00:57:21
Los Angeles can score points. They have one of the best
00:57:23
coaches, best teams. They have a legit NFC contender
00:57:27
team against arguably a top three draft pick team.
00:57:31
And I'm just going to say it's probably going to play out that
00:57:33
way. If it goes the other way, I
00:57:36
don't know even know what the NFL is doing anymore.
00:57:38
I mean, that's just parody happening.
00:57:39
Tyler Shuck comes out and throws 300 yards on the road against
00:57:44
McVeigh and that defense in Los Angeles.
00:57:47
Can't score against that. Not very good New Orleans
00:57:50
defense. All right, whatever, I give up.
00:57:55
We're going to go with the smelly turd because it's such a
00:57:57
big line. Probably going to get bet down
00:57:59
because everybody's like, that's a huge line.
00:58:00
You always take the other one, especially on a 43 1/2 over
00:58:03
under. No way.
00:58:05
You always take the big points. I'm going the big points.
00:58:07
I'm going to go the other way. I think.
00:58:09
LA boat racism. That's where I'm going to go.
00:58:12
Going for the smelly 1 so I know it's a lot and it stinks.
00:58:14
Run to the stink. I like.
00:58:16
It run to the stink. A bit of caution on that one.
00:58:19
FanDuel has this game at 14 1/2 and I I personally don't like
00:58:24
that. I'm going to see if I can hold
00:58:27
out and get it. Like Dex was saying, bet down to
00:58:29
14 or 13. At least the 14 don't get that
00:58:32
hook. That hook is dangerous.
00:58:34
That that, that's one of those key numbers we talk about.
00:58:38
Not that we're huge gamblers. Yes, we are if you can get if
00:58:42
you can get, you know key number.
00:58:44
You don't want that hook. That half is bad news.
00:58:47
That's a backdoor cover waiting to happen to leave Tyler shut
00:58:51
touchdown to get him within 14 and you're like.
00:58:54
This screams, yeah, this screams like they're, you know, losing
00:58:57
by 21 the entire game until the last minute, and then they
00:59:01
squeak in a touchdown. The secondary on his own
00:59:05
shoelace. They go down and 8 and go for
00:59:10
two cover. Here we go.
00:59:14
Alvin Kamara runs it in in his coffin with a cane.
00:59:18
Yeah, that's. Exactly right.
00:59:20
So be cautious with that line. But yeah, I agree it's on paper.
00:59:24
It looks like a boat race for sure.
00:59:26
Yeah, so Indy -3 New England -5 1/2 Rams -13 1/2 big fat number.
00:59:32
They're all favorites this week. This is the I think the that is
00:59:35
the time we've done that, so we're definitely going to win.
00:59:39
Is it really? Yeah, I think you're right.
00:59:41
Yeah, we don't do that very often.
00:59:43
Actually, in fact, we've. Never done it this entire
00:59:45
season. We've never done it.
00:59:46
We took yeah, two favorites in week two.
00:59:49
Yeah. Oh, you're.
00:59:50
Right, all right, Jets, let's go to the listener Mailbag.
00:59:54
Did we answer all the questions directed from the mailbag?
00:59:57
Do we leave anything off the table?
01:00:00
We did have someone mock us this week, Yes, which which which
01:00:04
which was accurate, he said. Ha ha.
01:00:07
Watch this in reference to us making fun of Saquon in.
01:00:11
Private. Like, Oh yeah, watch this.
01:00:14
And then he responded to us, rightfully so.
01:00:16
See, I told you so. You're right.
01:00:18
You're right. We'll own it.
01:00:20
We. Try to egg him on.
01:00:21
We know he's talented. We're just getting a league of
01:00:24
motivation, that's all. We did a little motivation.
01:00:27
We also had somebody respond to the fact that we if you don't
01:00:31
follow us on social as you should because we always on the
01:00:34
Island games, the games that are by themselves, Sunday night,
01:00:36
Thursday night, Monday night. We do shrewdness power parlays.
01:00:40
We'll give you 3 picks for single game parlay action and we
01:00:45
usually do really well on those. I'm not going to lie, we usually
01:00:48
at least get 2 out of three. We did have a game last Thursday
01:00:51
night where we got zero out of three and and we were called out
01:00:55
by many people on social media on TikTok about nice job
01:00:59
boneheads, 0 out of three. However, one fan mentioned and I
01:01:03
appreciate you. Hey, this shows your credibility
01:01:06
because you left it up here. Most gambling guys will delete
01:01:09
their picks if they get 0. And I'm like, Nope, we're not
01:01:12
doing that. It's all out there.
01:01:14
You're gonna see it that over staying on the TikTok and on
01:01:18
YouTube, they are still. Commenting on the four straight
01:01:21
power parlays we hit where we got 1212.
01:01:24
Did they? That was.
01:01:25
Mission. Those are still posted up there
01:01:27
too. Justin, Jake.
01:01:28
Can go back. We leave the receipts, ladies
01:01:30
and gentlemen, we leave the receipts so.
01:01:32
That's right. We, we are, we don't, we don't
01:01:36
claim to be something other than what we are.
01:01:38
But I'll tell you we've been pretty good this year.
01:01:40
That's. Right.
01:01:41
We named ourselves the Shrewdness for a reason.
01:01:43
That's right. Absolutely.
01:01:45
We're a bunch of apes. We just try our it's like any
01:01:48
other absolutely weekend gamblers.
01:01:51
And you know, that's right, that's right.
01:01:53
But hey. We're having fun with it and,
01:01:56
and don't bet beyond your means, but if you want a yacht, you
01:01:59
should follow us and 58% on the picks so far and on we, we
01:02:05
haven't calculated what our our parlays are, but I'm willing to
01:02:09
bet they're about that same rate. 12 yeah 12 in a row will
01:02:12
help that number so that. Was definitely sure and.
01:02:14
Then two out of three, two out of three, I mean all those plus
01:02:17
those, we're doing pretty good. We've had a couple of Wizard
01:02:20
Goose, Yeah, I think we've had two or three offers and we've
01:02:23
had four, you know, 3 out of 3, so.
01:02:26
If Aaron Rodgers would have done his one rush of the game that
01:02:29
he's done every single game this season, yes, hit that one.
01:02:34
Yeah, just one fall forward, Aaron.
01:02:36
That's all we need. Just needed a little sneak on
01:02:39
3rd and one. And he was.
01:02:41
Running for it too. That one play at the end, he's
01:02:43
like he's got 8 yards right here.
01:02:45
He just takes it. Nope, I'm not.
01:02:47
I'm throwing it. I don't want to run the extra 3
01:02:50
yards. I can I'm.
01:02:51
Old I don't need to do. This.
01:02:53
That's right. This is the young man's game.
01:02:55
I'm throwing it. But enjoy that, we enjoy doing
01:02:58
it, so check us out on the socials.
01:02:59
But we're having a blast. Hopefully you still got your
01:03:02
head, but even if you're not, hopefully you're having fun
01:03:03
listening. That's right.
01:03:05
All right, gents, I think it's going to wrap it up for the
01:03:07
week. To our shrewdness listeners out
01:03:09
there and guillotine players, good luck this week.
01:03:11
Hope Thursday starts you off on the right foot.
01:03:13
Hopefully get some fab bets and win those and get some players
01:03:16
this week to help your team going forward and until next
01:03:19
week when we hook you up again with more insight and fun.
01:03:22
Stay shrewd.