Episode 66: Week 1 Fantasy Advice, Betting Picks & More
The ShrewdnessSeptember 03, 2025x
66
00:54:4350.1 MB

Episode 66: Week 1 Fantasy Advice, Betting Picks & More

The Shrewdness crew preps you for Week 1 in the NFL with their Shrewdness Sleepers and Shrewdness Spuds to help you survive the guillotine fantasy blade! The guys also give out their betting locks for the week and provide their predictions for Division and Super Bowl winners! #fantasyfootball #guillotinefantasy #NFL #betting


00:00:21
Hey, hey, welcome to the shrewdness.

00:00:23
I'm Prue, joined by Chis and Dex as usual.

00:00:28
I think Chiz is in his Mexican second home down in Cancun this

00:00:33
week, which is the worst. Places to be stuck for work.

00:00:36
Yeah, tough place to be. I'm about to get dual

00:00:39
citizenship. Hey, we got another.

00:00:44
Spanish. Great show, football season is

00:00:47
upon us. Yes, game is in a couple more

00:00:50
days here. So I'd swapped our our

00:00:53
background to red, if you can see that, in honor of the Chiefs

00:00:56
starting their their season this week down in Brazil.

00:01:00
Four years, baby. Three and four years.

00:01:02
That's right. That's the plan.

00:01:05
Hey, we got a we got a busy show Dex going to go through our

00:01:08
agenda. One topic I want to hit real

00:01:10
quick is that we officially have T-shirts we're coming up with AT

00:01:16
shirt order form. We'll get other merch at some

00:01:19
point, but thanks to Little Bear Graphics, that's helping us out

00:01:22
with T-shirts and we are taking orders now.

00:01:26
So you can get in touch with one of us either through the website

00:01:30
or absolutely a comment on one of the socials or whatever.

00:01:34
But let us know if you want a T-shirt.

00:01:36
Better get them fast though, because I imagine the demand for

00:01:39
these are through the roof and they're probably right.

00:01:42
Collectors items. Someday they're going to be

00:01:44
worth like, you know, millions. The initial run, we're gonna

00:01:48
have some some cool ones. And frankly, we're going with

00:01:51
some pink baby, we're gonna go pink with some of the first run

00:01:53
shirts can be kind of our special, right?

00:01:56
And then I will have the more traditional colors.

00:01:57
But again, we'll post those on the website to check those out.

00:02:00
And thanks for all the support, man.

00:02:01
Our subscribers have tripled, yeah, in the last couple of

00:02:04
months, which is fantastic. And yeah, thank you very much

00:02:07
for tuning and listening. Alright boys, you ready to go?

00:02:10
Let's do it, man. It's football, that's what.

00:02:12
We're doing dex so. Here's the agenda for the show

00:02:15
and this will be a little bit different than our normal one,

00:02:18
but what we're going to start off is with our guillotine

00:02:21
shrewdness sleepers. Our criteria for our shrewdness

00:02:24
sleepers is they are Max owned of 25% and we think they're

00:02:31
going to get greater than 7 points.

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So this is some low owned people.

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In fact, my dudes like 1% owned. So you'll be able to go find him

00:02:40
if you need him. But if you're banking on, I

00:02:43
don't even know Joe Mixon in your flex and like, Oh no, that

00:02:45
was really bad news we got, despite what our warnings were

00:02:48
to you the entire summer, hey, man, we got some people you can

00:02:52
maybe pick up and fill in that slot because you need to drop

00:02:54
Joe Mixon. That's what you need to do right

00:02:56
this minute if you still have them.

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So we're going to talk to some people that can help you out.

00:03:01
Then we have our shrewdness spuds.

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So they're going to be the duds. They're the flip side of these

00:03:07
guys. They're of a minimum 95% owned.

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So they're on your team right now, probably in your starting

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lineup. And we just don't think they're

00:03:15
going to do well this week for a myriad of reasons.

00:03:18
And so these are going to have target points of eight.

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That's low. So most of these guys are going

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to be projected for 15 to 20 thereabouts, give or take.

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But regardless, we don't think they're going to get that.

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We think they're going to get under 10 and around 8 is kind of

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our criteria for that. So last year we hit.

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Pretty well. In week one you probably don't

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have a whole lot of options, right?

00:03:41
You can't. Absolutely, yeah.

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You can't bench your first pick overall and those are the type

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of guys that we're picking for Spuds.

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But just be aware that you may not be able to count on those 15

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to 20 points that that Yahoo hasn't projected.

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What I like about what I like about what we do here, we're

00:04:00
setting the bar really high for us.

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So you can go a lot of places and you're going to get a lot of

00:04:04
people to tell you start, you know, Patrick Mahomes, Week 1.

00:04:08
Thanks. Appreciate that.

00:04:09
Appreciate you they're. Going to give you a bunch of

00:04:11
like stuff that is pretty obvious and pretend like they're

00:04:14
really giving you something that matters.

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We're giving you things, you know, if we hit, we always say

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if we can hit like one of three of these, it's really good.

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But it's actually helpful information for you as opposed

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to like a a traditional site which is going to tell you, you

00:04:29
know the stuff that you already know.

00:04:32
Yep, and we keep stats so we highlight each week.

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So next week when we do our episode, we'll talk about Week

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1. Did we hit on our shrewdness

00:04:39
sleepers and spuds? Then we go into our fun Geo

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gambling picks. So our shrewdness gambling picks

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of the week. So we look at the Week 1 slate

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and we look at it and we analyze it.

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Then we kind of wing it and we just pick something we like.

00:04:53
You can bet along with the strudeness, baby.

00:04:55
So we do an individual and then we parlay it and round Robin

00:04:59
them. So it's going to be a a good

00:05:01
time. Stay with us.

00:05:02
You'll have a yacht by the end of this season at least.

00:05:04
It's always nice. So only put your mortgage down.

00:05:07
Don't do anything more than that because you know, we got to be,

00:05:11
got to be. Don't go crazy with it.

00:05:13
I mean, don't go crazy. Please your.

00:05:16
Family's mortgage. Gamble responsibly, but.

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That's right. You're going to make a lot of

00:05:20
money. As we can see with Chisholm in

00:05:24
his safe house, so it works. You can't.

00:05:27
Go to a place like this unless you hit on your betting picks.

00:05:32
And you work for a company that sends you South of the border.

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Yeah, that's a part of it. So after we do our guillotine

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and NFL focus, we're going to go into our picks and prophecies.

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So we're going to do our division winners, we're going to

00:05:43
tell you who's going to win and why.

00:05:45
Then we're going to do our Super Bowl participants with the

00:05:48
winner and loser of that game. And finally we're going to

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finish with our Rookie of the Year and MVP picks.

00:05:54
So you can go ahead and throw these in for the long term.

00:05:57
Kind of your lottery ticket for gambling, right?

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So we're going to go through some gambling picks for Week 1.

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These will be like your season long ones.

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They're just kind of fun. This is what we're going to put

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our money on. Probably all 5 bucks because

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that's a big spender over here. But we'll see what happens, you

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know? But it's a good time.

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So that is our agenda. Anything else, boys you want to

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put on the agenda or we start hitting it?

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That's a full slate. Let's do it.

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Let's get right into it. So our shrewdness sleepers, So

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again, less than 25% owned and they're going to get more than 7

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points this week, which is what you need.

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So again, if you get about 7 points in this position, this

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player, you're doing all right because your main guys should be

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getting you the lion's share. These are the, oh, crap fillings

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that you got to do at the last minute.

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That's right, Pruitt, let's start off with you.

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Who is your shrewdness sleeper to start off week one this

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season? Who we got one more quick note

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on this. So we've we set those targets

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based on the historical points that it takes to survive.

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That's right. So after going through

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guillotine leagues for a few years now, traditionally you

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need maybe 60 points, 60 to 70 points in week 1 to survive.

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You got 8 starters. You need about 7 points apiece

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to be safe. So that's where we come up with

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our our target point total. And then like Dick said, we, you

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know, we don't want to pick the obvious ones.

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We're looking for players that may still be available in quite

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a few leagues, so. It's all based in science.

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Trust the science. That's right.

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Just the science. So our site, so going into your

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Gigameter science ball, What are we doing here, Prue?

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So for Week 1, I I personally like the match up between the

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Browns and Bengals. That's going to be a tough

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divisional match up. I I noticed that Cedric Tillman

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is only 24% owned and he's projected to score almost 9 1/2

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points, 9.45. So I think he could have a

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decent game. Joe Flacco spreads the ball

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around a little bit. He's not going to target Jerry

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Judy only right. He's going to sling the ball.

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The Bengals defense is not great.

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Yeah, I. Think they called me about

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starting a corner this week so I feel like I feel like.

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I'm in Cancun. I'm sorry I can't help you next

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week though. I may be drawing Tillman so I I

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like the match. Yeah.

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That works, yeah. So almost 9 1/2 out of Cedric

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Tillman would be a solid pick up.

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That would be pretty good. I like it.

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I can go. I can get behind that.

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All right, Jizz, let's go. To you.

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Let's go. I'll finish up this one.

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All right, so I know what you're going to say when I say this

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name. You're going to say he doesn't

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know the playbook. You're going to say he's old.

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I recognize he's out of shape. He's probably going to come in

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like Fatty Mctitsworth here in Week 1.

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Darren Waller. But but, but, but Fatty

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Mctitsworth is still Amari Cooper and I think just being

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Amari Cooper is good enough to get you over the seven points.

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I, I even think I even like him getting in in the red zone,

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getting a touchdown. I'm going with Amari.

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What is in the water down there? How many tequila shots have you

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done? This is ridiculous.

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Amari Cooper is going to flashback, he's going to look

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amazing and everyone's going. To go Oh my God, rundo.

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Mari Cooper, rundo Mari Cooper. And you're already going to have

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him day. Five in the playbook, you're

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going to get like 1. Niner out.

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He's a quick study. He's a quick study.

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He. Doesn't need it.

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He he's all about this baby Amari for the dub and we're

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taking Cooper. He's my shrewdness sleeper.

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Go get him now before everyone else tries to get in Week 2.

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That is a Frankenstein level sleeper 6 feet under the dirt

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sleeper. I think he's projected for three

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points, so 3. 3.4. Of those, yeah, that's.

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He's getting some at least. I like it OK.

00:10:05
How about you, Dex? All right, so I'm going to dig

00:10:08
beneath Amari Cooper, dig up a 1% or less ownership guy, but I

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think he's going to have some plays drawn up for him, so I'm

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going with Devon Bailey. So he so Denver just traded him

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to the New Orleans and they got some picks back a fourth and a

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7th. So yeah, it's actually something

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of value for a 28 year old second year player.

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All right. And frankly, if you're going to

00:10:33
give Devon Bailey some play, 6 foot what, 465 probably in the

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end zone. So I think if New Orleans can

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accidentally ride Kamara all the way down the field, right and

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Spencer Radler is accidentally effective, I would throw to the

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big tall guy in the end zone if ever got there.

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And if he does one catch for six points, baby can be A1 yarder.

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I got my 7 points like it. So I like Devon Bailey to be

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that guy who I think get a couple receptions out of the

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slot. He's really big.

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He's he's good. I mean, I like Devon Bailey for

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my shrewdness. Sleeper of the Week.

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Is a deep pull. For sure, that's a deep pull and

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he is available right now in your league, I promise.

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Unless much you're the 1%. That owns him, in which case I

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don't need to put him in your starting line if you have

00:11:20
something better, but this is for those that don't.

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I I think the only people that have Devon Bailey are his

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relatives right now. His girlfriend and his mom.

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So that's our shrewdness. Sleepers Cedric Tillman, Devon

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Bailey and Amari Cooper. If you need something but

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besides the wide receiver, sorry.

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Too bad. Well, they can go in your flex

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or your two wide out spots. Yeah, right.

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And normally we kind of rotate around a little more, but

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there's more wide outs available.

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All the running backs are on rosters.

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Yeah. All right, shrewdness spots, so

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greater than 95% owned and we don't think they're going to get

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more than eight points and really probably 10 points.

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But regardless, 95% ownership. Let's go, let's start, which

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isn't this time. So we're going to go down to

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Mexico. Who do you think is going to

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suck this week and why? Yeah, I know that this guy is a

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guy who finds the end zone a lot, but I really hate his match

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up. And right now that is Cook.

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Look at Cook right now going against Baltimore.

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Baltimore's defense historically is great.

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They are going to shut down the run.

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And if you look at his matchups against Baltimore in the past,

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he doesn't do very well. He's had a couple, one really

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bad game, one below average game.

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I think he's not going to get a touchdown and he's going to come

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up with a lot of yards and catches to make up for that and

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I don't see it happening. So I am benching Mr. Cook Week

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1. He is my shrewdness spud for

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that first week. I don't like the matchup.

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Yeah, and when you consider that Baltimore, I think they drafted

00:13:00
9 of 11 draft picks, were all defense, so they made a good

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defense better. I like James Cook, but you're

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right, that is not a favorable matchup week one.

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Yeah. All right, I'll take the 2 hole

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this time. And I think Bruin and I are on

00:13:14
the same team, but we are down on Tennessee travelling to

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Denver in week one with their rookie quarterback in all

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associated skill position players, Tony Pollard.

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I don't mind him week 2-3 and four, but not week 1.

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Not going to altitude week 1 to get Sean Payton in that squad.

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Tony Pollard is slotted for 13.1 points.

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Oh, I don't see it. I don't see him punching any

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touchdowns. I don't see him catching many

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balls. Even without Tajae Spears in the

00:13:45
lineup, who's out for a month? Tony Pollard's gonna get eaten

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up and they're gonna squish the line.

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They're gonna fill the box up and make Cam or beat him.

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I just don't see them scoring hardly any points.

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Tony Pollard's not gonna get 13. I think he's gonna get around 8.

00:14:00
So he is my shrewdness. Spud of the week.

00:14:04
Pruitt, over to you. Yep, I'm going to stay in that

00:14:06
same game. Calvin Ridley.

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I know you're the wide receiver one, but you're going to Denver,

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you got a rookie quarterback, you're going to get Sean

00:14:16
Payton's defense, and in particular, you're going to be

00:14:20
matched up with Pat. Sir Tan, Who's that?

00:14:22
One of the best in the league cornerbacks, if not the best.

00:14:27
Calvin Ridley is projected to have 15 points.

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Somehow I don't think there's any possible way.

00:14:34
Yeah. I'm not sure he gets to 15 any

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game this year and definitely not this first week so.

00:14:39
Yeah, You think the Defensive Player of the Year is going to

00:14:42
have something to say about that, do you?

00:14:43
Yeah, yeah, sure. It's a really tough for for all

00:14:48
of Tennessee that first week. Yeah, I agree.

00:14:51
So to rehash those, our shrewdness buds this week, James

00:14:55
Cook, we think he's not going to cook this week.

00:14:58
Tony Pollard, Nope. And Calvin Ridley, it's just

00:15:01
tough, man Pastor Tan, he's pretty Dang good.

00:15:05
So that is our spuds. If you can bench them, bench

00:15:08
them if you got a better option. All right, just let's move to

00:15:11
our gambling picks. I think these are always some of

00:15:14
our most fun things we do each week.

00:15:16
We love having a little action on the side when we're watching

00:15:19
the games. And let's start out in Cancun

00:15:22
Chisholm. Who do you like for your Week 1?

00:15:26
Like starting off our slate well.

00:15:29
Historically, I am a run to the stink guy.

00:15:33
This one's going to stink. You're stepping in something

00:15:36
I'm. Definitely run to the stink.

00:15:38
I'm going to go with the New York Football Giants.

00:15:42
All right, they. I believe are getting 6 1/2, is

00:15:45
that correct? Yes, yeah, it's at Washington.

00:15:48
At Washington and Yep, I know it seems crazy because the Giants

00:15:53
were so bad last year and the Commanders were so good last

00:15:58
year, but I'm betting on a couple things.

00:16:01
Regression from the Commanders and that's primarily due to Jane

00:16:05
Daniels sophomore slump. I think it's real.

00:16:08
I think he's a really good player, but I think he's going

00:16:09
to be down a little bit this year.

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Scary Terry's been out of camp, they have a rookie running back

00:16:14
and everyone thinks they're going to be world beaters.

00:16:16
Flip the other side, you've got an MVP quarterback.

00:16:22
I know he's old and I know that rust the love must is probably

00:16:26
seen his best games behind him, but you put him with Dabel

00:16:31
pretty good running game. I think they hang.

00:16:35
I think they hang within the 6 1/2.

00:16:37
I think they probably still lose, but I think it's close.

00:16:40
Field goal game will take Washington by field goal, but

00:16:43
that's enough to cover Giants plus 6 1/2 I.

00:16:49
Love it. I love it, Pruitt.

00:16:52
Tell us who's going to make us money this week on our second

00:16:54
leg? Yeah, So if you've been paying

00:16:56
attention the last two seasons to Cincinnati, they have started

00:17:00
poorly. And this this year, they've got

00:17:04
a tough draw. They got Cleveland in Cleveland

00:17:07
Week 1, and they're giving up five and a half points.

00:17:11
So I like Cleveland at home. Home dogs against the slow

00:17:17
starting Bengals. 5 1/2 LB loves your pick.

00:17:22
Dog Pound is barking for that one.

00:17:24
They love it. You're right, Prue.

00:17:25
The Bengals just seem to can't get out.

00:17:27
They seem to not be able to get out of their own way in the

00:17:29
early season. And you keep thinking this will

00:17:32
be the year, but it just doesn't work.

00:17:34
In the Patreon, I I think I might mix in a buck or two on a

00:17:37
money line for a Cleveland too. I just got a feeling that

00:17:40
they're going to come out and punch Cincinnati in the mouth a

00:17:42
little bit. Joe Flacco's no Slough.

00:17:46
Yeah, Flacco. The Sacco, we used to bet

00:17:48
against him all the time. Then we started losing money

00:17:51
doing that. Yeah.

00:17:52
Crap, Flacco, the Sacco is good all of a sudden.

00:17:54
Yeah. So we'll see what's up.

00:17:55
And is frankly, when he was with Cleveland two years ago, not

00:17:58
with Indy last year. We, I think we got our money

00:18:00
back on him last year, yeah. That's right.

00:18:04
That's right. All right, so I am taking.

00:18:06
So what are you thinking? It's kind of obvious, but not

00:18:10
quite because if it was, the number should be lower.

00:18:13
To me. I am going to the Denver

00:18:15
Tennessee game because I'm just staying on there.

00:18:18
I just don't believe Tennessee is going to put up hardly any

00:18:20
points. Then once Denver's up, I think

00:18:22
there's going to run the crap out of the ball with JK Dobbins

00:18:25
and Harvey and this is going to melt the clock.

00:18:29
So I like Denver, Tennessee under 42 1/2 points and it's

00:18:33
going to be a very low scoring game specifically for Tennessee.

00:18:37
I mean, I don't even know if they get to 10, they might, they

00:18:39
could break something loose, but that might be all they get.

00:18:42
And if they do get their ten, I don't see Denver scoring 31.

00:18:46
So I feel pretty good about it. So Denver, Tennessee under 42

00:18:49
1/2 just 'cause I believe in Sean Payton's game plan against

00:18:52
a rookie quarterback. Yep.

00:18:55
I don't know. We haven't even seen what he's

00:18:56
done in in a in a real scene and at Denver is no joke.

00:19:00
My God, that's a tough place to play.

00:19:02
Hard to see, so hard to see. Six touchdowns.

00:19:04
In that game. Yeah, we got to pray against the

00:19:07
Pick 6. Yeah, yeah, right.

00:19:09
That'd be what it'd be. And Bo Nicks, I think it's gonna

00:19:12
be a lot of handoffs. Yeah.

00:19:15
So I see a lot of nothing. We don't want any certain taking

00:19:18
it back to the house type stuff going on.

00:19:21
No, that's true. So that's our three.

00:19:23
So we got Giants plus 6 1/2, lock it up.

00:19:26
Cleveland plus 5 1/2 lock it up. And Denver, Tennessee under 42.5

00:19:31
lock it up. Trifecta.

00:19:32
Time to go buy a yacht, baby. I can't wait spend that money

00:19:36
already. I know I was like, what am I

00:19:38
going to buy with all this? Just go back $20.

00:19:41
I'm gonna give this. Okay, so here is another fun

00:19:44
part we do each year. So division winners.

00:19:47
So we're going to kind of go through and hopefully we don't

00:19:50
have total hive mind. I know on a couple we do, but in

00:19:54
reality, I think we're kind of different from some of the rest

00:19:57
and we'll tell you why. So I want to go to, let's start

00:20:00
with the AFC North. So AFC North, Pruitt, who do you

00:20:04
like and why out of that? That's a tough conference.

00:20:07
That's a tough. It's a tough conference.

00:20:09
I think Cincinnati, specifically Cincinnati hangs close, but I

00:20:14
think Baltimore's got too much. I think Baltimore takes it with

00:20:17
the reinforced defense like you, like you mentioned, yeah.

00:20:22
And Lamar, still Lamar, Derrick Henry, still Derrick Henry.

00:20:25
So I think they rise to the top again.

00:20:29
Yeah, no, I like it. So I'm going to go with

00:20:32
Cincinnati. I think Joe Burrow, God, he's

00:20:36
watching the sand run out of his clock each and every year.

00:20:41
And I think he has a baller year this year and they have so many

00:20:45
weapons that offense is tough to beat.

00:20:48
And I think he can outscore most of these teams.

00:20:51
Now, last year, I know they start off I think one at 3 or

00:20:54
one at 4:00. And that was a huge hole they

00:20:56
were playing out of the entire year.

00:20:58
This year might be the year they just don't start off so many

00:21:02
games under 500 to start the season.

00:21:04
True. I like Cincy, so I'm going with

00:21:07
that one. All right, all right, Chisholm.

00:21:11
I'm I'm smacking you down and I'm I'm gonna I'm gonna go

00:21:14
reinforce Pruitt. Defense wins championships and

00:21:20
that defense in Baltimore is disgusting.

00:21:23
It may be that division, though, as far as talent, may be the

00:21:28
best division actually in football this year.

00:21:32
Pretty good. I do think it'll be very

00:21:34
competitive, but I just can't see a way that Baltimore loses

00:21:39
enough games in that division to lose it.

00:21:42
So I'm going to go Baltimore to win the North.

00:21:47
All right, I like it. Let's go to the AFC S Actually,

00:21:50
I think we're all on the same page here.

00:21:52
So AFC S, we're all picking Houston.

00:21:55
So we'll just kind of go with the why.

00:21:57
So Chisholm, why Houston? Why are we all on this

00:22:00
bandwagon? Yeah, well, I'm sure you've

00:22:04
heard of the tallest Midget argument, and I believe that's

00:22:11
what we have here. This may be the worst division

00:22:15
in all of football. And it's like I, I can't, I just

00:22:20
can't see anyone else winning the division.

00:22:23
So just by default, they're the last one standing because

00:22:26
they're the least bad team in the division.

00:22:29
They're the. Least bad team in the division.

00:22:32
I do like you almost just have to say like, OK, on on talent

00:22:36
alone they're going to win because I mean, look at the

00:22:40
other teams. Like does anybody else have a

00:22:42
realistic shot? We had talked about some other

00:22:45
teams maybe have a shot. Jacksonville.

00:22:48
Jacksonville. Jacksonville's got some talent.

00:22:50
Markedly better with the coach and the scheme change.

00:22:53
Yeah. And just having an adult in the

00:22:55
room should help them a lot. All right, Like we were talking

00:22:58
in previous episodes, Trevor Lawrence was a no brainer top

00:23:02
pick. Surefire.

00:23:04
No way he can miss. This is his year.

00:23:07
It's either now or never, and I just don't think he's been

00:23:10
enough. I still think Houston, they were

00:23:11
snake bitten last year by injuries.

00:23:13
They lost Stefan Dicks, Nico Collins, Tank Dell and Joe Bixon

00:23:18
got hurt down the stretch. They had lying people out.

00:23:20
Their defense was amazing and they even lost some of those

00:23:23
guys. So I think if they stay

00:23:25
vertical, they're the best team in the division.

00:23:28
I don't think it's really even close.

00:23:30
How about you prove? Yeah, I don't see anybody even

00:23:34
getting close, really. Jacksonville might might keep it

00:23:37
within a couple games, but I I think Houston's gonna take it

00:23:40
relatively comfortably. Yeah, I think nobody's going.

00:23:43
With Indy, nobody's going with Indy.

00:23:46
I think they'll be a tough out. I think Indy's gonna be tougher

00:23:48
than people give them credit for.

00:23:50
And frankly, I think they'll realistically, I think they'll

00:23:53
be second. I think Jacksonville and India

00:23:55
are gonna be kind of butting heads for second place in this

00:23:57
division in Tennessee. No, Yeah.

00:24:00
So that was kind of a freebie. But CJ Stroud year three, right?

00:24:04
And last year he got some humble pie.

00:24:06
He was so good year ones like this game is easy.

00:24:09
That's all I got to do. And last year he got drilled in

00:24:12
the face. So Trevor Lawrence and CJ Stroud

00:24:14
have some prove it years coming ahead of them.

00:24:16
But we're all with Houston though for our money.

00:24:18
So if we're winners, Houston, Houston, Houston, all right, AFC

00:24:22
East, what are we thinking? Pruitt, start us up.

00:24:26
Josh Allen is still Josh Allen. He's a tough out, Sean, not Sean

00:24:31
McVey. Sean McDermott is a great coach.

00:24:34
Sean Mcvay's a really good coach, too.

00:24:35
They both are both Sean's the. Sean's are good.

00:24:38
Sean's a good. Name for a coach Sean Payton.

00:24:42
There you go. Yeah, Mcdermott's got him.

00:24:44
I mean, he's been around a while.

00:24:45
He's been with Josh Allen for many years, and they're always

00:24:47
competitive. They've lost some talent, I

00:24:51
think, but they're still talented enough to win.

00:24:54
Yep. All right, Chisholm, who do you

00:24:56
get? I look at the rest of the

00:24:58
division and you got The Jets and you got the Dolphins.

00:25:04
I can't see. All right, so now that you're

00:25:06
done, the four team, you didn't mention New England, revitalize

00:25:11
Mike Vrabel again. There's an adult in the room

00:25:14
again and a year 2 quarterback who played really well behind a

00:25:19
terrible line, one of the worst in the NFL last year.

00:25:22
They've now upgraded the left tackle, the left guard, the

00:25:25
center. That's helpful.

00:25:27
And I think that free agent got someone else who to help

00:25:29
solidify the right side. I think Drake May was Stefan

00:25:33
Diggs, who looks like he's going to be playing Week 1 and a

00:25:38
better defense. I think they're just going to be

00:25:40
really good. Buffalo, they're the easy one.

00:25:44
But I like the odds are better for New England, obviously.

00:25:48
And I think it's going to be a very good season for them.

00:25:50
I think they could win it. I think they could win that

00:25:52
division. I like New England, I like where

00:25:54
they're at. I like the coaching staff and I

00:25:57
don't know that's what I'm going with.

00:25:58
You're going, you're going for a Patriots renaissance, say.

00:26:02
The Renaissance and by renaissance mean they might win

00:26:04
1112 games. That's all they'll need to win

00:26:06
that division this year. Congestion gonna.

00:26:08
Be a tough out too. I think I saw New England's win

00:26:12
total last year was 4 1/2 and they've jumped to 8 1/2 this

00:26:15
year, so. Yeah, it's a.

00:26:17
The experts are with you, right? They're definitely improved,

00:26:20
just I don't know if they can like similar to your Baltimore

00:26:24
statement, Chiz, I don't know if Buffalo can lose enough games to

00:26:27
not get the best place in that division.

00:26:29
They're going to have to. They're going to have to steal.

00:26:32
I think the Patriots are going to have to steal a win against

00:26:36
Buffalo at home and then hope Buffalo trips up some.

00:26:38
But it can happen. It's the NFL.

00:26:40
Yeah, it is. So that's our AFC East.

00:26:43
So we got 2 Buffaloes and a New England all right.

00:26:46
AFC West mean good Lord our screen is red.

00:26:49
Who else are we picking? It's the Chiefs all days.

00:26:52
KCKCKC. How many in a row is it?

00:26:56
Like it would almost be a little bit insanity to not pick the

00:26:58
Chiefs at this point. Like my kids don't know any

00:27:01
other winner. It's like it's the greatest

00:27:03
thing ever. Like compared to our childhoods

00:27:06
when we never knew what it was like to win, they don't know

00:27:08
what it's like not to win the division.

00:27:10
So it's just a different world we live in.

00:27:12
I kind of like this new world order we're in with the Chiefs

00:27:16
just winning every year. Like, oh geez, how many games

00:27:18
did we win this year? So it's fun.

00:27:20
We were all traumatized for the entirety of our childhood.

00:27:24
Our kids are going to be traumatized the one year the

00:27:27
Chiefs don't win. Absolutely.

00:27:30
Yeah, and we would just try to get through the wild card round,

00:27:33
man. It was tough, yeah.

00:27:36
It's tough to it's tough to see in the NFL.

00:27:39
Continuity is so important and when you can keep your

00:27:43
quarterback and your head coach and your DE coordinator, as long

00:27:49
as seasons have, like usually that DE coordinator is going

00:27:53
somewhere and taking a head coach job.

00:27:55
You know, he hasn't. Yeah.

00:27:58
Bagnola is seems content being the DE coordinator.

00:28:01
Mahomes isn't going anywhere. Question marks Reed, right?

00:28:04
Is Reed going to retire anytime soon?

00:28:07
But as long as he's there. Speak no evil.

00:28:10
I hope, I hope the man coaches another 10 years, but I don't, I

00:28:13
don't see how you beat him. You know, we talked a little bit

00:28:16
and we talked a little bit on the Patreon.

00:28:18
Probably the next best talent team is the Broncos and maybe

00:28:22
the next few years they make a run, but they're still pretty

00:28:26
young. Yeah, well, here's the deal.

00:28:28
The worst coach in the division has won a national championship

00:28:32
in college, in Benda, I think 2 Super Bowls.

00:28:35
All right, so that's the worst coach.

00:28:37
Everyone else has won a Super Bowl.

00:28:39
So Sean Payton, Super Bowl. Jim Harbaugh, who I'm talking

00:28:42
about, obviously. Andy Reid, Yep.

00:28:45
Pete Carroll, Yep. So yeah, I mean, good Lord, this

00:28:48
division is stacked to the gills.

00:28:50
I get it. But I think when all the dust

00:28:52
settles and everybody's throwing their punches, it's going to be

00:28:55
Chiefs on top again in the West. Not going to be easy, but I

00:28:59
still think they win it. So that's all right.

00:29:02
So AFC West, Kansas City sweep. All right, let's go to the NFC,

00:29:07
Norris, the black and blue division.

00:29:09
Brew it. Start us up.

00:29:10
Who's going to win this thing and why?

00:29:13
All right, I went a little bit out on a limb.

00:29:15
I'm taking Minnesota. Skull Vikings, let's win this

00:29:20
game. Minnesota was like one drive

00:29:23
away from taking the one seed last year, right?

00:29:26
They were. So close, right?

00:29:29
And I guess it was. I mean, they did lose Sam

00:29:32
Darnold, but. He.

00:29:38
Did. As Chismo say, he pumpkinned in

00:29:41
the final. Couple weeks and I'm excited.

00:29:45
I'm excited about JJ McCarthy teamed up with eventually

00:29:49
Addison and you know, Justin Jefferson, TJ Hawkinson, he's

00:29:53
got several weapons, Adam Thielen and and like you

00:29:58
mentioned with Mahomes and and Reed, I think Kevin O'Connell is

00:30:01
a great offensive coach. If anybody can bring a second

00:30:05
year rookie, if that's a thing, up to speed.

00:30:08
Yeah, quickly. I think because J JS had a year

00:30:11
to absorb the offense, I think he'll step in confident and I

00:30:16
think he'll win more games than not.

00:30:19
I think Detroit stumbles a bit, maybe this year, and Minnesota

00:30:23
sneaks in there. I like it all right, Dex, my

00:30:27
Purple Heart loves that, so that's all good.

00:30:29
So. Are you, are you doing the same?

00:30:31
I mean, right, Vikings, you got to be, you got to be on board

00:30:34
with that. I can't bet on them.

00:30:36
It'll never happen. So I am betting on Detroit.

00:30:40
So I'm going black to the silver and blue and here's why.

00:30:44
So Detroit, they are in their window.

00:30:47
They have the talent, the personnel, all everybody you'd

00:30:50
ever want to be on a championship caliber team.

00:30:52
And it's their window. They should have a good chance

00:30:56
to be there. And last year they're on the

00:30:57
doorstep and teams to get to the doorstep often can make that

00:31:01
next step up the next year. So they've been going up the

00:31:04
ladder each and every year. Last year they had the

00:31:07
heartbreak of losing. I think this year they get over

00:31:10
the home. So I think Detroit wins the

00:31:12
division again. It's going to be another really,

00:31:15
really good year for Detroit. Well, in the in the words of our

00:31:20
newly retired friend Lee Lee Corso, not so fast, my friends.

00:31:25
You guys in a very competitive division.

00:31:28
It is. You're both wrong.

00:31:31
So if you look at the Bears, well, Caleb Williams, so they're

00:31:35
out and you look at you look at Detroit, they lost both their

00:31:40
coordinators. Like you mentioned, Dan Campbell

00:31:42
is is on the razor's edge of just imploding in any game with

00:31:47
his play calls. Yeah, so I think they regret

00:31:51
he's. Reading his players, he's very

00:31:53
impressive. He's very impressive.

00:31:56
He reminds me a little bit of Mike Martz back in the day.

00:31:59
Yeah. So I think he needs his, he

00:32:02
needs his coordinators to rein him in.

00:32:03
I think that that causes problems.

00:32:05
And the Vikings and JJ McCarthy have drafted Sam Darnold 2 point

00:32:11
O. So he's the same and we're going

00:32:14
to see the same thing from him. Which leaves the Green Bay

00:32:20
Packers with newly acquired defensive captain Micah Parsons.

00:32:25
They already got a lot of talent on the offensive side of the

00:32:28
ball. They they're they've played

00:32:31
really well the last couple years.

00:32:33
I think Jordan Love takes the next step.

00:32:35
The defense is much better. O lines always solid.

00:32:39
And I think this is the year the Pack takes the division again.

00:32:43
Green Bay Packers, take it to the bank.

00:32:45
Nice with all those top tier wide receivers for Jordan Love

00:32:49
to throw to, like rookie Matthew Golden, like fourth year dud

00:32:54
Romeo Dobbs, like Christian Watson.

00:32:57
On the PUP list? Yeah.

00:32:58
Christian Watson. Probably on the PUP.

00:33:01
Exactly. So much talent to throw to.

00:33:03
I see you. Don't forget Dantavian Wicks.

00:33:05
Who? Yeah, that guy that had one good

00:33:07
game last year. So I hear you.

00:33:10
You're right. That's probably the best team.

00:33:11
Totally. They've got this thing, baby.

00:33:15
Jameer Gibbs, Alder. They locked in Josh Jacobs.

00:33:19
Boom. Huge year for Jacobs.

00:33:21
Huge year. There is one name that's right,

00:33:23
Josh Jacobs. Good luck run against that stack

00:33:26
line. I like it.

00:33:28
I like it. OK, Moving to the NFC South, the

00:33:32
sloth division of just yeah, which which slow tar bubble

00:33:37
comes up to the top and the swamps down there, it has been

00:33:41
Tampa the last couple years. So Pruitt, do you think that

00:33:44
trend continues? Who's going to win that South?

00:33:48
I do think that trend continues. I think Baker, I think Baker is

00:33:53
good enough. I think Mike Evans and Mika

00:33:56
Aguka steps in and contributes right away if and when they get

00:34:03
Godwin back, at least for part of the season.

00:34:06
And then Bucky Irving, Rashad White, I think they got plenty

00:34:09
of weapons on offense. Defense is going to be good

00:34:12
enough to keep them in most games.

00:34:15
I like them again in a close race with maybe one of the other

00:34:19
teams that I'll let you talk about all.

00:34:22
Right, Chisholm, who we got? What's the right answer to this

00:34:25
question? I mean, I think the right answer

00:34:28
is is going to be a shock to all of us but the Atlanta Falcons.

00:34:33
The Dirty best. That's right, The Dirty Birds.

00:34:37
This is the year. This is the year that Kyle Pitts

00:34:40
goes off. Oh, wait, probably not.

00:34:45
So, so OK, so maybe Kyle Pitts doesn't go off, but I do think

00:34:48
Michael Phoenix is. AI keep saying Phoenix.

00:34:53
Phoenix, like you sound like you're saying something else.

00:34:56
When you say. Michael.

00:34:58
I prefer to say Phoenix. You can't say happiness without

00:35:02
Phoenix. Right, so I think he's going to

00:35:06
have a really surprising year to most.

00:35:09
I think he he's a solid quarterback.

00:35:11
I don't think he's an MVP, but I think he's solid and I think

00:35:14
he's got good town around him. I like Drake London a lot.

00:35:17
I like what they've done on defense.

00:35:19
I think they're going to surprise some people and the

00:35:20
division is very bad and very winnable and I think Atlanta

00:35:24
pulls it off this year. So I'm going to go Falcons.

00:35:26
How about you, Dex? I'm with you.

00:35:28
That's the correct answer. I mean, it's not.

00:35:30
Yeah, that's stupid. That's right.

00:35:31
It's obviously Atlanta Dirty Birds to take the division and

00:35:34
they were on pace to do it last year, if you remember, near 6

00:35:37
and three after 9 and then Kurt got hurt and then everything

00:35:41
went kind of down the toilet. Yeah, I did.

00:35:43
I think they're still they have in the star power, right.

00:35:46
Bijon Robinson is going to run all over that division.

00:35:48
Drake London is one of the premier wide receivers in this

00:35:51
league, Atlanta and Tampa. So we got a little, little

00:35:55
controversy there. We like it there.

00:35:58
All right, so we're going to pick in the NFC East.

00:36:01
I'll start us off with this one. I'm going contrary because the

00:36:04
other ones are going to be boring and hit the big red

00:36:06
button. I mean, a lot of people are

00:36:08
going to say Philly to include my Co host because it's too

00:36:11
stupid easy. They're the most challenging

00:36:14
roster in the NFL. They're super good.

00:36:16
They're the returning champs. They've been a Super Bowl 2 * 2

00:36:18
years. OK, I got you.

00:36:19
Philly's good, but they're going to get shocked and odd by Brian

00:36:23
Table in those New York Giants. That's right.

00:36:27
I know I've got like one or two Giants fans out there going

00:36:30
what, They just spilled their coffee on their lap while

00:36:32
driving like, why would the Giants win?

00:36:36
Well, here's why. That's a.

00:36:37
Very good question because Brian.

00:36:39
Table took Daniel Jones to the playoffs a couple seasons ago

00:36:43
and even upset Minnesota in Minnesota with Daniel Jones.

00:36:47
Then they had Tommy DeVito and they're actually competitive

00:36:51
with him. And as we mentioned in our other

00:36:54
wide receiver preview, Malik Neighbors was second in the

00:36:57
league to only Jamar Chase and targets, and I think he's going

00:37:02
to be just fed the beast again. And they got Theo Johnson, a

00:37:05
tight end, Tyrone Tracy at Cam Scataboo, improved line and

00:37:11
improved defense, especially with Abdul Carter from Penn

00:37:13
State. That dudes going to wreck some

00:37:15
people and wreck some games. I think the Giants are going to

00:37:18
be tougher than people think. I like it.

00:37:20
Philly comes down a notch because we don't believe in that

00:37:24
coach. And yeah, maybe he wins it again

00:37:27
in spite of everything. But if you recall last year,

00:37:29
that was just it was turmoil the whole time.

00:37:32
That team is just so much talent.

00:37:35
But if one thing goes wrong this year, if Saquon Barkley doesn't

00:37:40
lead the league in rushing with 2000 yards and if the defense

00:37:44
takes a little bit of step back, they got really lucky with the

00:37:47
injury front last year and lost nobody at any time and all their

00:37:51
best guys played the whole season.

00:37:53
That's hard to do 2 years in a row.

00:37:55
I think the Giants are going to take a step up and take this

00:37:59
division. How about you guys?

00:38:01
I mean, it's compelling argument brew.

00:38:02
What do you think? There was a lot of lot of

00:38:06
justification there, Dex, but I. Know.

00:38:09
Last time be. A little contrary.

00:38:11
You know what? What is the phrase thou doth

00:38:13
protest too much? Last I checked, Philadelphia won

00:38:18
the world the World Series and and or the Super Bowl.

00:38:22
Hey. I'll edit that right out to you.

00:38:25
Well, and they didn't lose anybody.

00:38:28
They won the World Series of Football for sure.

00:38:30
That's right, I watched. If you haven't seen The Kingdom

00:38:34
yet, by the way, go watch The Kingdom and it talks about how

00:38:38
Lamar Hunt named the Super Bowl. All right, that's right.

00:38:41
I want to. I'm going to do this real quick,

00:38:43
guys. So who won the division last

00:38:46
year? The NFC East?

00:38:48
Hey, just just help me out. I can't.

00:38:50
Remember Washington? Washington.

00:38:53
It was the Cowboys, or was it? No, wait, I think it was the

00:38:57
Eagles. It may have been the Eagles.

00:38:58
It was the Eagles. Why do you think that was?

00:39:01
So here's what's fun. Since 2004, no team has managed

00:39:07
to win the NFC East back-to-back.

00:39:09
They haven't had a repeat since 2004.

00:39:13
Now it was the Philadelphia Eagles 4 consecutive with Andy

00:39:17
Reid as the coach who is an actual real good coach as

00:39:20
opposed to their current coach. Yeah, so I am taking coach think

00:39:26
too. I'm taking weird statistical

00:39:28
anomalies. All right, I guess. 21 years, we

00:39:31
haven't had a repeat winner, so it's not going to be Philly.

00:39:34
Trust the science. I know I got you all right, so

00:39:38
let's go mix. It up.

00:39:39
I like how you mix it up. Kind of mix it up.

00:39:41
So NFC West, our last division winner, Chisholm, since you've

00:39:46
got all the answers for us, who's winning the NFC West?

00:39:49
Well. You're right.

00:39:51
When you started talking about coaches, that part was right.

00:39:54
And if you look at the NFC West, they do have some good coaches

00:39:57
in the NFC West. But I think the best coach in

00:39:59
the NFC West belongs to the Rams.

00:40:02
Sean McVay has shown that. Like he's just better than you

00:40:07
most of the time. Yeah, he is really good.

00:40:10
And I think that when you put him against Shanahan, who's a

00:40:13
good coach as well, but Shanahan has a lot of talent whenever

00:40:18
he's won. He's got less talent this year

00:40:21
and I think that he's not as good of a coach overall.

00:40:25
McVeigh, I think has better talent this year.

00:40:29
It's all going to rely on Stafford and keeping that guy

00:40:32
upright. I hope he's getting a lot of

00:40:34
shots in that back this week. Some stem cells, a lot of stem.

00:40:38
Cells, whatever it whatever it takes to to keep that guy

00:40:41
upright, because if as long as he's upright, I think they're

00:40:44
the division is theirs to lose. So I like the Rams in that

00:40:49
division. How about you, Prue?

00:40:50
I'm taking the the opposite view of Stafford on that.

00:40:54
I think if I think that he's getting older.

00:40:57
And leave in science. I don't think he can stay

00:41:01
healthy the whole year. And I think the team, I think

00:41:04
the Rams revolve around him too much, right?

00:41:06
They'll he's their MVP easily. Yeah.

00:41:10
Aaron Williams by himself can't win that division in my opinion.

00:41:14
So I don't think the Rams are going to hold up physically.

00:41:18
Like you mentioned, the 49ers have lost too much talent.

00:41:21
I don't think they'll be able to take it.

00:41:23
I'm going to go with Seattle Seahawks.

00:41:27
Wow. Damn Darnold, better than you

00:41:31
think. Speaking of pumpkins, he's he's

00:41:34
going to take it. Doesn't matter.

00:41:36
Doesn't matter what happens in the playoffs, right?

00:41:38
He's going to get them through the playoffs.

00:41:40
That's his job. Yeah, that's right.

00:41:41
You just got to win the division.

00:41:42
You don't. This is it's post season

00:41:44
quarterbacks different than regular season.

00:41:47
JSN and I think the addition of Cooper Cup will be a big help.

00:41:52
Yeah, Kenneth Walker is a little iffy health wise, but if Kenneth

00:41:56
Walker can stay healthy plays though, he's a no damn good

00:41:59
running back. So I I think they're kind of the

00:42:02
close sneak to the front the very end of the season type.

00:42:06
OK, surprise maybe. I like it.

00:42:10
Well, I mean, if, if Darnold is better than I think, and it's

00:42:15
most probable he is, because that's how little I think of

00:42:18
him, he, he could lead that team to, to win the division because

00:42:23
I think it's a, it's a, it's a close division for you.

00:42:27
So I'm on the Rams as well. Again, I think the coach is

00:42:31
amazing. Stafford is.

00:42:34
He's getting long in the tooth, man.

00:42:36
It's going to be one of his final good years, and they

00:42:38
helped him out by getting Devante Adams to replace Cooper

00:42:42
Cup to go alongside Puka Nakua. These are two of the top

00:42:46
probably 10 receivers in the NFL lined up opposite each other.

00:42:51
And Kyron Williams doesn't suck. Blake Corum's going to have an

00:42:54
improved role. The line's still good, the

00:42:56
defense is still good and the divisions is winnable.

00:42:59
I just think the Rams have the most talent and the best

00:43:01
players. I think they can win it.

00:43:04
So I'm on the Rams if. They get all hinges on Stafford.

00:43:08
I agree with you. If he goes down, I think all

00:43:11
bets are off. Yeah, 'cause.

00:43:13
They could lose enough games for sure.

00:43:15
If he goes down I could see. Yeah, Garoppolo ain't doing it.

00:43:19
Yeah, I agree. Despite him doing well with San

00:43:21
Francisco a couple years ago. No Garoppolo.

00:43:23
No, right? All right, so that is our

00:43:26
division winner picks. Let's go into our Super Bowl

00:43:29
participants. Pruitt, who's playing in this

00:43:32
year's Super Bowl. I mean, we're just going to

00:43:34
watch the season for fun, but who's actually going to get

00:43:37
there at the end? All right, So I'm going totally

00:43:40
back on what I just said about winning the division.

00:43:43
I still think so. I.

00:43:44
They can still win the division, have all this happen.

00:43:47
Yeah, right. That's right.

00:43:48
That's where I'm going is I think Seattle wins.

00:43:51
I think LA still gets into the playoffs.

00:43:53
They prove that they are the better team, more talented team

00:43:57
in the NFC, and I think the LA Rams go to the Super Bowl, but I

00:44:04
think the Chiefs go back to the Super Bowl.

00:44:07
Travis Kelce walks off a winner and retires after 13 seasons.

00:44:13
I like it. It's good to hear, I like it. 2

00:44:16
great coaches. All right, I'm going to stay

00:44:19
with some of that. Half of it was right, Pruitt.

00:44:21
I mean, Kansas City is definitely going to take this

00:44:24
thing behind a revamped line. Every time Patrick Mahomes has

00:44:28
had a line, it's been curtains for the other teams in the NFL.

00:44:32
Yep, Kiss City got a left tackle.

00:44:36
Somebody better? Let's.

00:44:38
Go and the defense has gotten. They're young, they're hungry,

00:44:42
they're good. I just think the Chiefs are deep

00:44:44
this year. I think they're going to win it

00:44:45
and they're going to be triumphant over the team who's

00:44:48
in their window, who's going to finally get there and lose the

00:44:51
Detroit Lions. So they're going to make it all

00:44:54
the way to the mountaintop almost, and then Pat Mahomes

00:44:57
going to kick him in the face and roll him back down the

00:44:59
mountain. So Kansas City over Detroit for

00:45:02
this year's Super Bowl. Chisholm, who you got?

00:45:06
Well, I hope you guys are right. I really do.

00:45:09
And my heart, that would make me the most happy.

00:45:12
But I have this really sneaky suspicion.

00:45:14
It's not good. And it's the suspicion that this

00:45:18
is finally the year that Josh Allen makes a Super Bowl.

00:45:22
So I said in the set of Patreon, Josh Allen is Patrick Mahomes.

00:45:28
If Patrick Mahomes was not in the league and he is like, you

00:45:32
know, he's he's kind of like, he's kind of like Barkley was to

00:45:37
Jordan or you know, Clyde, the glide was to Jordan.

00:45:41
They're they're incredible and they would have won multiple

00:45:43
titles but. Jordan run into one.

00:45:47
Guy Jordan, you. Know and so like this.

00:45:50
So it's it's yeah, it just it's really tough and in my heart, I

00:45:54
hope that that this doesn't happen.

00:45:56
But I think there's a little bit of destiny that has to happen.

00:46:00
And the Bills finally make the big game.

00:46:03
Everyone goes nuts and they're going to be playing another team

00:46:07
that everyone's going to go nuts about.

00:46:09
The Pack is back. They make a surprise run to the

00:46:13
Super Bowl. We get Packers, we get Bills.

00:46:17
People go nuts. It's a crazy matchup.

00:46:19
Everyone's super excited. Josh finally gets his Super Bowl

00:46:25
bills to win the Super Bowl over the Packers.

00:46:28
All right, that would be an exciting matchup.

00:46:30
I'm not gonna lie. That'd be pretty fun to watch.

00:46:32
Yeah. Unfortunately, it's gonna be

00:46:34
Catas City, Detroit. That's all right.

00:46:36
I hope you're right. I do, too.

00:46:37
All right, let's go into our Rookie of the Year.

00:46:41
So there's a lot to choose from. Who are you gonna start?

00:46:45
Which is who's gonna be the Rookie of the Year?

00:46:47
I'm going to go a little bit off the radar from a standpoint of a

00:46:52
guy that's not going to be playing on a team that's going

00:46:54
to be very good, which is kind of rare.

00:46:58
But I really like Teterola McMillan.

00:47:01
And I think Teterola McMillan is going to give Bryce Young

00:47:06
something he hasn't had and that is a true number one big tall.

00:47:11
He's going to like that and he's going to become super reliant on

00:47:14
it. And he's going to throw Tetero

00:47:15
McMillan a lot of balls. Tetero is going to get a bunch

00:47:18
of numbers this year, even though that team's not going to

00:47:20
win a lot. They're going to be playing from

00:47:22
behind. He's going to be they're going

00:47:23
to be throwing a lot. He's going to catch a lot of

00:47:25
balls. And everyone's going to wake up

00:47:26
to the talent that he is. Even there's a lot of great

00:47:30
rookies. I think he's in the right

00:47:31
scenario to be the rookie of the year.

00:47:33
So I'm going Tetero McMillan, Rookie of the Year.

00:47:36
I like it. How about you, Prue?

00:47:39
So I had a similar line of thinking.

00:47:41
I think not Teddaroa, but I'm going with Travis Hunter.

00:47:46
I like his situation a little bit better than Teddaroa's and

00:47:50
Carolina. Travis Hunter's on the

00:47:53
Jacksonville team that's got a couple of other decent offensive

00:47:56
weapons and a more experienced quarterback.

00:47:59
So I think as long as they don't overuse him and and tear him up

00:48:04
and, you know, if they use him sparingly and mostly on the

00:48:07
offensive side of the ball, I think Travis Hunter's got a good

00:48:11
shot at winning it. I like pick.

00:48:15
I like it more because I think if he actually does play both

00:48:18
ways more often, that gives him kind of an edge because he's

00:48:20
impacting the game from both sides of the he doesn't

00:48:23
necessarily need the best stats on either side.

00:48:25
But in fact, if he does meaningful counting stats for

00:48:28
offense and then does some great work defense, you might have a

00:48:31
hands down. That's a good thing.

00:48:33
Absolutely could be him so traveling.

00:48:35
OK, so you're picking, you're picking him too?

00:48:38
Nope, I'm going oh, Marion Hampton for the Chargers.

00:48:42
OK. Plus opportunity and A1 eyed

00:48:45
backup Naji, one eye Harris. So I think with Omarion Hampton,

00:48:49
with Jim Harbaugh, this is going to be hand off, hand off, hand

00:48:53
off. Hand off good.

00:48:53
Scenario. He loves to run the ball.

00:48:55
He's going to get 300 plus carries this season and he's so

00:49:00
good. Again, we've talked about

00:49:01
multiple times for our division, for our rookie preview, running

00:49:05
back preview, a Marion Hampton keeps moving up lists for a

00:49:08
reason. He takes his bounces off and

00:49:10
keeps going. So I love a Marion Hampton to

00:49:13
take the Rookie of the year over fellow Ashton Gente for the

00:49:16
Raiders because I just think Ham is going to have more

00:49:19
opportunities, frankly, and he's going to be on a really good

00:49:21
team with a really good line. That's where I'm at.

00:49:24
All right, let's bump to our final category before we close

00:49:27
out this episode, Our MVP. So who's going to win the MVP

00:49:32
this year? And let's go kick it off to

00:49:34
Pruitt. So, Pru, starting at the

00:49:38
beginning of the end, who's the MVP?

00:49:40
All right, so the I was looking up the past winners.

00:49:43
It's seemingly someone different every year.

00:49:46
Aaron Rodgers, believe it or not.

00:49:48
Four years ago. Yeah.

00:49:50
And Mahomes, Lamar, Josh Allen this last year, I don't think

00:49:56
Josh repeats. Lamar could.

00:49:58
Mahomes obviously could, but I'm going to go somewhere different.

00:50:01
I'm going to say Joe Burrow gets one this year.

00:50:04
If he can stay healthy, he could easily put up 45 touchdowns or

00:50:09
something this year with Jason D Higgins and so forth.

00:50:15
He's got a ton of weapons. Chase Brown also on that team

00:50:19
and help from an offensive standpoint.

00:50:21
So I think all those pieces make Joe Burrow look really good.

00:50:25
If he puts it all together and gets off to an average start

00:50:29
like you said earlier, I think he could finally show up in the

00:50:34
and win that. Got enough talent to do it for

00:50:36
sure. Yeah, I think last year, I mean,

00:50:38
he's just under 5000 yards and 40 plus touchdowns was third.

00:50:43
Levar and Josh Allen both got ahead of them with that type of

00:50:47
season. So that's kind of crazy.

00:50:49
But I think he's right on the precipice and I agree he could

00:50:52
definitely win it. Which is, who do you like?

00:50:54
Man, I know that I said they're not going to the Super Bowl, but

00:50:58
you know, the last few years you don't have to go to the Super

00:51:01
Bowl to win the MVP. And I think people are sleeping

00:51:05
on on Patty. If you look at the numbers he's

00:51:08
put up historically, when he's had a good offensive line and

00:51:12
some offensive weapons, they were ridiculous.

00:51:15
Think the last two years people have kind of been lulled to

00:51:17
sleep because they've had a had a had less weapons and they've

00:51:21
had less of a line. So they've they've had to figure

00:51:24
out ways to get it done. But I think this year his

00:51:25
numbers are going to go way back up.

00:51:27
I think they're going to throw a lot.

00:51:28
Andy loves to throw and he's got a lot more tools.

00:51:31
And if you look the preseason, the offensive line has been

00:51:34
great. And so even though I don't think

00:51:36
they're going back to the Super Bowl, I think he's winning the

00:51:40
MVP. He's going to put up huge

00:51:41
numbers. People are going to remember how

00:51:43
great he is. Patrick Mahomes MVP.

00:51:46
How about you, Dex? Yeah, I'm on the same boat.

00:51:49
And Frank, I was, I had Joe Burrow in their first and then I

00:51:54
was like, God, but Pat Mahomes has a line and really good white

00:51:59
outs. They're actually deep.

00:52:00
We don't we're not throwing the sky more anymore.

00:52:02
So I think there's just a lot of dudes for him just to dump off.

00:52:06
I think even the run plays are going to be passes.

00:52:08
So I think he's going to have 5000 yards, he's going to be mid

00:52:11
40s touchdowns, and he's going to remind people who quickly

00:52:16
forgotten that he's the best quarterback to ever play this

00:52:19
game. He's gonna kind of pull one of

00:52:21
those Brady seasons, if you remember the Brady season where

00:52:23
they went undefeated and he just lit it up and set records.

00:52:28
I don't know if he'll set all the record, but boy, is he gonna

00:52:30
remind the league that he's pretty Dang good statistically

00:52:33
as well. And I love Mahomes this year for

00:52:35
that. So that's where I'm at.

00:52:36
I like it. All right.

00:52:38
I agree. I think that's going to wrap it

00:52:40
up, boys. I'm just pumped about week 1

00:52:43
starting in a couple days. So we're going to football

00:52:45
season. Yeah, Philly, Dallas, we're

00:52:47
going to see how that goes. And then we got Chiefs Chargers

00:52:51
down in Brazil, so that'll be opening our season up and then

00:52:55
we'll go into the fun stuff on Sunday for the full slate.

00:52:58
Anything else? No, just check, check, remind

00:53:01
everybody, check out the website.

00:53:04
Yep. So if you guys haven't checked

00:53:07
it out yet, it should be bookmarked already.

00:53:09
I'm assuming if it hasn't, you're going to have more

00:53:13
content throughout the season on there.

00:53:16
You can have the ability to buy those shirts you guys were

00:53:17
talking about and it's it's going to be a really good

00:53:21
resource. Plus you could stream any of our

00:53:23
stuff from there. So if you listen to it on

00:53:25
Spotify, if you listen to it on YouTube, either one of those

00:53:29
links are available. You can always find the latest

00:53:31
episodes. You can go back and listen to

00:53:32
some of the fun old episodes if you want to.

00:53:34
So check out that website, the shrewdness dot podcast page dot

00:53:40
IO. That's right, and we're going to

00:53:42
have all of our shrewdness, sleepers, spuds and our gambling

00:53:45
picks on there too. So skip right to it.

00:53:48
You can do that, but if you want to know the reasons, obviously

00:53:50
check into the show crew. Any last anecdotes before we

00:53:54
head out? Nope, super excited.

00:53:57
What do people need to do before the game though?

00:54:00
Be wise, gamble smartly, but most importantly, stay shrewd.